分析师表示，比特币 (BTC) 的调整可能与其 2019 年以来的价格走势类似

一位广受关注的加密货币分析师表示，比特币（BTC）当前的调整让人想起大约五年前的价格走势。

A crypto analyst says that Bitcoin’s (BTC) current correction is reminiscent of its price action about five years ago.

一位加密货币分析师表示，比特币当前的调整让人想起大约五年前的价格走势。

In a new interview with financial and tech YouTuber David Lin, crypto strategist Benjamin Cowen says that the social risk metric indicates that the crypto king is following in the footsteps of its price action from 2019.

加密货币策略师 Benjamin Cowen 在接受金融和科技 YouTuber David Lin 的新采访时表示，社会风险指标表明，加密货币之王正在追随 2019 年以来价格走势的脚步。

According to Cowen, the number of people watching crypto YouTube channels has dipped significantly, signaling that it could reverse course and rally as it did in 2021.

Cowen 表示，观看加密货币 YouTube 频道的人数大幅下降，这表明它可能会逆转趋势并像 2021 年那样反弹。

“I think it’s more similar to 2019 and there’s a couple of reasons for that – one reason [is] if you go look at one of the one of the metrics I follow, the social interest in the crypto space, [which is] essentially made up of like people that watch crypto YouTube channels…

“我认为这与 2019 年更相似，有几个原因——其中一个原因是，如果你看看我遵循的指标之一，即对加密货币领域的社会兴趣，本质上是由观看加密 YouTube 频道的类似人组成……

You’ll see that back in 2021, when we had these this mania phase, you can see that a ton of people were piling in to watch crypto YouTube, [some] channels were averaging at the time about four million views per day – now those same channels are only averaging around 850,000 views per day…

你会看到，早在 2021 年，当我们处于这个狂热阶段时，你可以看到大量的人涌入观看加密货币 YouTube，[某些] 频道当时平均每天有大约 400 万次观看——现在这些相同的频道平均每天只有大约 850,000 次观看……

You go back and you look at the social risk… you can see that social risk came down to a low and then it bounced, it looks very, very similar to me like 2019.”

你回去看看社会风险……你可以看到社会风险降到了低点，然后反弹，看起来和 2019 年非常非常相似。”

However, Cowen goes on to note that the crypto markets have yet to see the same mania displayed in 2021 as retail investors have yet to return to the industry.

然而，Cowen 继续指出，加密货币市场尚未出现 2021 年同样的狂热，因为散户投资者尚未重返该行业。

“I don’t really think that what we just experienced was a 2021 style mania phase because retail never really returned, which has been one of the interesting things, it’s been one of the really confusing things about the market I think for a lot of people because Bitcoin went to all-time highs but we never really saw that the return of retail.

“我真的不认为我们刚刚经历的是 2021 年风格狂热阶段，因为零售业从未真正回归，这是有趣的事情之一，我认为对于很多人来说，这是市场上真正令人困惑的事情之一。人们因为比特币达到了历史新高，但我们从未真正看到零售业的回归。

And again, one more piece of evidence to suggest that 2019 is not the worst comparison, it’s actually a very similar move in terms of [percentage]…

又一个证据表明 2019 年并不是最糟糕的比较，实际上在 [百分比] 方面非常相似......

If you were to take a price range from the low in 2018 till that 2019 top, about a 350% rally. Same thing we just saw from the rally in 2022 until early 2024.”

如果你考虑从 2018 年的低点到 2019 年的最高点的价格范围，大约会上涨 350%。我们从 2022 年到 2024 年初的反弹中也看到了同样的情况。”

Bitcoin is trading for $58,732 at time of writing, a 1.84% decrease during the last 24 hours.

截至撰写本文时，比特币交易价格为 58,732 美元，过去 24 小时内下跌 1.84%。