加密貨幣分析師預測，到 2025 年初，比特幣 (BTC) 可能會創下 20 萬美元的歷史新高

這項預測是在比特幣 (BTC) 持續上漲之後做出的，比特幣即將收復關鍵的 7 萬美元阻力位。

A cryptocurrency trading analyst has suggested that Bitcoin (BTC) could reach new all-time highs in January 2025.

一位加密貨幣交易分析師表示，比特幣 (BTC) 可能會在 2025 年 1 月創下歷史新高。

The projection comes amid Bitcoin’s ongoing rally, which has seen the asset positioned to reclaim the critical $70,000 resistance.

這項預測是在比特幣持續上漲之際做出的，該資產已準備好收復 7 萬美元的關鍵阻力位。

However, rather than settling for conservative targets of $130,000, Alan Santana has proposed that BTC could reach the $155,000 to $200,000 range by early 2025, as highlighted in an analysis shared on TradingView on October 19.

然而，正如 10 月 19 日在 TradingView 上分享的分析所強調的那樣，Alan Santana 並沒有滿足於 130,000 美元的保守目標，而是提出 BTC 到 2025 年初可能會達到 155,000 美元至 200,000 美元的範圍。

According to the expert, two possible trajectories could emerge for Bitcoin’s future.

這位專家表示，比特幣的未來可能會出現兩種可能的軌跡。

One scenario suggests an early blow-off top, with a rapid bullish surge peaking around April or May 2025. However, this outcome is less likely due to the speed such a rally would entail.

一種情況表明，價格會提前見頂，並在 2025 年 4 月或 5 月左右迅速看漲並達到頂峰。

Alternatively, the more probable scenario indicates that Bitcoin will break out of its current consolidation and enter a lengthy accumulation phase before rising parabolically.

或者，更可能的情況表明，比特幣將突破當前的盤整狀態，並在拋物線上漲之前進入漫長的累積階段。

This final surge could drive prices to $155,000 or even as high as $208,000, particularly if inflation worsens or significant geopolitical events occur.

最後的上漲可能會將價格推至 155,000 美元，甚至高達 208,000 美元，特別是在通膨惡化或發生重大地緣政治事件的情況下。

"Not $130,000 but actually much higher, think more of a price number around $155,000 or even $180,000 – $200,000 if inflation gets out of control, the only part that needs adjustment is the date,” the expert noted.

「不是13萬美元，但實際上要高得多，更多地考慮155,000美元左右的價格數字，甚至18萬至20萬美元，如果通貨膨脹失控，唯一需要調整的部分是日期，」專家指出。

Santana also highlighted that Bitcoin will likely experience a "blow-off top" in late 2025, contrasting with the 2021 double-top formation. This blow-off top is typical of Bitcoin’s historical cycles, reminiscent of the 2017 bull market.

Santana 也強調，比特幣可能會在 2025 年底經歷“爆炸頂”，與 2021 年的雙頂形成形成鮮明對比。這種爆發式的頂部是比特幣歷史週期的典型特徵，讓人想起 2017 年的牛市。

A key component of this forecast is Bitcoin’s technical outlook, which outlines notable phases of consolidation followed by a massive rally. The expert highlighted a pattern pointing toward Bitcoin testing support around the 200-day moving average (MA 200), which may create a short-term correction. This correction could bring Bitcoin to around $42,000 before a major bull run starts.

這項預測的關鍵組成部分是比特幣的技術前景，它概述了隨後大幅反彈的重要盤整階段。這位專家強調了一種模式，表明比特幣正在測試 200 日移動平均線（MA 200）附近的支撐，這可能會造成短期修正。在大牛市開始之前，這項調整可能會使比特幣價格升至 42,000 美元左右。

Additionally, the Fibonacci retracement levels align with crucial support and resistance points. The 0.618 Fibonacci and 0.786 levels could act as strong support zones.

此外，斐波那契回檔水準與關鍵支撐點和阻力點一致。 0.618 斐波那契水準和 0.786 水準可以作為強有力的支撐區域。

Bitcoin’s path to next record high

比特幣邁向下一個歷史新高的道路

Attaining such price targets requires Bitcoin to clinch the crucial $70,000 resistance. To this end, historical data shows that this target might be achievable in the near term.

要實現這樣的價格目標，比特幣需要守住關鍵的 7 萬美元阻力位。為此，歷史數據表明，這一目標可能在短期內實現。

In particular, analysis by Cycles Fan shows that the maiden cryptocurrency has consistently reached its monthly high toward the end of the month, specifically between the 25th and 29th.

特別是，Cycles Fan 的分析表明，這種首次出現的加密貨幣在月底時一直達到月度高點，特別是在 25 日至 29 日之間。

This trend has been observed for the past three months, suggesting that Bitcoin might hit its October high again during this period. If this scenario plays out, Bitcoin might be trading at this level in the coming days.

過去三個月一直觀察到這一趨勢，顯示比特幣可能在此期間再次觸及 10 月高點。如果這種情況發生，比特幣可能會在未來幾天內以這個水平進行交易。

Meanwhile, an artificial intelligence (AI) tool’s analysis, as per a Finbold report, backs the outlook of trading above $70,000 by the end of October.

同時，根據 Finbold 的報告，人工智慧 (AI) 工具的分析支援到 10 月底交易價格將突破 7 萬美元的前景。

As the asset trades above the $65,000 support zone, some in the market maintain that the next bull run is already here. The focus remains on the conservative next record high of $100,000.

隨著該資產交投於 65,000 美元支撐區域之上，市場中的一些人堅持認為下一輪牛市已經到來。焦點仍然保守地放在 100,000 美元的下一個歷史高點上。

Although analysts are expressing bullishness, several sentiments point to caution regarding Bitcoin’s price outlook. For instance, interest in the asset is subdued, considering that Google searches for ‘Bitcoin’ have hit a yearly low. At the same time, the asset could face a regulatory hurdle, with the European Central Bank declaring ‘war’ on Bitcoin.

儘管分析師表達了看漲情緒，但也有一些觀點對比特幣的價格前景持謹慎態度。例如，考慮到Google對「比特幣」的搜尋量已降至年度最低點，人們對該資產的興趣就減弱了。同時，隨著歐洲央行向比特幣宣戰，該資產可能面臨監管障礙。

Bitcoin price analysis

比特幣價格分析

At press time, Bitcoin was trading at $68,372 with daily gains of 0.20%, while on the weekly chart, BTC has rallied over 9%.

截至發稿，比特幣交易價格為 68,372 美元，日漲幅為 0.20%，而周線圖上，BTC 漲幅超過 9%。

As things stand, Bitcoin continues to show strength both in the short and long term, comfortably trading above its 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages. However, caution is needed, considering that the asset’s 14-day relative strength index is nearing the overbought territory, standing at 68.04 as of press time.

就目前情況而言，比特幣在短期和長期都繼續表現出強勢，輕鬆交易於 50 日和 200 日簡單移動平均線上方。然而，考慮到該資產的 14 天相對強弱指數已接近超買區域，截至發稿時為 68.04，因此需要謹慎。