加密货币分析师预测，到 2025 年初，比特币 (BTC) 可能会创下 200,000 美元的历史新高

这一预测是在比特币 (BTC) 持续上涨之后做出的，比特币即将收复关键的 70,000 美元阻力位。

A cryptocurrency trading analyst has suggested that Bitcoin (BTC) could reach new all-time highs in January 2025.

一位加密货币交易分析师表示，比特币 (BTC) 可能会在 2025 年 1 月创下历史新高。

The projection comes amid Bitcoin’s ongoing rally, which has seen the asset positioned to reclaim the critical $70,000 resistance.

这一预测是在比特币持续上涨之际做出的，该资产已准备好收复 70,000 美元的关键阻力位。

However, rather than settling for conservative targets of $130,000, Alan Santana has proposed that BTC could reach the $155,000 to $200,000 range by early 2025, as highlighted in an analysis shared on TradingView on October 19.

然而，正如 10 月 19 日在 TradingView 上分享的分析所强调的那样，Alan Santana 并没有满足于 130,000 美元的保守目标，而是提出 BTC 到 2025 年初可能会达到 155,000 美元至 200,000 美元的范围。

According to the expert, two possible trajectories could emerge for Bitcoin’s future.

这位专家表示，比特币的未来可能出现两种可能的轨迹。

One scenario suggests an early blow-off top, with a rapid bullish surge peaking around April or May 2025. However, this outcome is less likely due to the speed such a rally would entail.

一种情况表明，价格会提前见顶，并在 2025 年 4 月或 5 月左右迅速看涨并达到顶峰。然而，由于这种反弹所需的速度，这种结果的可能性较小。

Alternatively, the more probable scenario indicates that Bitcoin will break out of its current consolidation and enter a lengthy accumulation phase before rising parabolically.

或者，更可能的情况表明，比特币将突破当前的盘整状态，并在抛物线上涨之前进入漫长的积累阶段。

This final surge could drive prices to $155,000 or even as high as $208,000, particularly if inflation worsens or significant geopolitical events occur.

最后的上涨可能会将价格推至 155,000 美元，甚至高达 208,000 美元，特别是在通胀恶化或发生重大地缘政治事件的情况下。

"Not $130,000 but actually much higher, think more of a price number around $155,000 or even $180,000 – $200,000 if inflation gets out of control, the only part that needs adjustment is the date,” the expert noted.

“不是13万美元，但实际上要高得多，更多地考虑155,000美元左右的价格数字，甚至18万至20万美元，如果通货膨胀失控，唯一需要调整的部分是日期，”专家指出。

Santana also highlighted that Bitcoin will likely experience a "blow-off top" in late 2025, contrasting with the 2021 double-top formation. This blow-off top is typical of Bitcoin’s historical cycles, reminiscent of the 2017 bull market.

Santana 还强调，比特币可能会在 2025 年末经历“爆炸顶”，与 2021 年的双顶形成形成鲜明对比。这种爆发式的顶部是比特币历史周期的典型特征，让人想起 2017 年的牛市。

A key component of this forecast is Bitcoin’s technical outlook, which outlines notable phases of consolidation followed by a massive rally. The expert highlighted a pattern pointing toward Bitcoin testing support around the 200-day moving average (MA 200), which may create a short-term correction. This correction could bring Bitcoin to around $42,000 before a major bull run starts.

这一预测的一个关键组成部分是比特币的技术前景，它概述了随后大幅反弹的重要盘整阶段。这位专家强调了一种模式，表明比特币正在测试 200 日移动平均线（MA 200）附近的支撑，这可能会造成短期修正。在大牛市开始之前，这一调整可能会使比特币价格升至 42,000 美元左右。

Additionally, the Fibonacci retracement levels align with crucial support and resistance points. The 0.618 Fibonacci and 0.786 levels could act as strong support zones.

此外，斐波那契回撤水平与关键支撑点和阻力点一致。 0.618 斐波那契水平和 0.786 水平可以作为强有力的支撑区域。

Bitcoin’s path to next record high

比特币迈向下一个历史新高的道路

Attaining such price targets requires Bitcoin to clinch the crucial $70,000 resistance. To this end, historical data shows that this target might be achievable in the near term.

要实现这样的价格目标，比特币需要守住关键的 70,000 美元阻力位。为此，历史数据表明，这一目标可能在短期内实现。

In particular, analysis by Cycles Fan shows that the maiden cryptocurrency has consistently reached its monthly high toward the end of the month, specifically between the 25th and 29th.

特别是，Cycles Fan 的分析表明，这种首次出现的加密货币在月底时一直达到月度高点，特别是在 25 日至 29 日之间。

This trend has been observed for the past three months, suggesting that Bitcoin might hit its October high again during this period. If this scenario plays out, Bitcoin might be trading at this level in the coming days.

过去三个月一直观察到这一趋势，表明比特币可能在此期间再次触及 10 月高点。如果这种情况发生，比特币可能会在未来几天内以这个水平进行交易。

Meanwhile, an artificial intelligence (AI) tool’s analysis, as per a Finbold report, backs the outlook of trading above $70,000 by the end of October.

与此同时，根据 Finbold 的报告，人工智能 (AI) 工具的分析支持到 10 月底交易价格将突破 70,000 美元的前景。

As the asset trades above the $65,000 support zone, some in the market maintain that the next bull run is already here. The focus remains on the conservative next record high of $100,000.

随着该资产交投于 65,000 美元支撑区域之上，市场中的一些人坚持认为下一轮牛市已经到来。焦点仍然保守地放在 100,000 美元的下一个历史高点上。

Although analysts are expressing bullishness, several sentiments point to caution regarding Bitcoin’s price outlook. For instance, interest in the asset is subdued, considering that Google searches for ‘Bitcoin’ have hit a yearly low. At the same time, the asset could face a regulatory hurdle, with the European Central Bank declaring ‘war’ on Bitcoin.

尽管分析师表达了看涨情绪，但也有一些观点对比特币的价格前景持谨慎态度。例如，考虑到谷歌对“比特币”的搜索量已降至年度最低点，人们对该资产的兴趣就减弱了。与此同时，随着欧洲央行向比特币宣战，该资产可能面临监管障碍。

Bitcoin price analysis

比特币价格分析

At press time, Bitcoin was trading at $68,372 with daily gains of 0.20%, while on the weekly chart, BTC has rallied over 9%.

截至发稿，比特币交易价格为 68,372 美元，日涨幅为 0.20%，而周线图上，BTC 涨幅超过 9%。

As things stand, Bitcoin continues to show strength both in the short and long term, comfortably trading above its 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages. However, caution is needed, considering that the asset’s 14-day relative strength index is nearing the overbought territory, standing at 68.04 as of press time.

就目前情况而言，比特币在短期和长期都继续表现出强势，轻松交易于 50 日和 200 日简单移动平均线上方。然而，考虑到该资产的 14 天相对强弱指数已接近超买区域，截至发稿时为 68.04，因此需要谨慎。