比特幣逼近 7 萬美元大關，同時觸及創紀錄的未平倉合約水平

隨著投機狂潮回歸市場，Solana (SOL) 在數位資產中領漲。

Bitcoin price rose 1.5% in the past 24 hours to cross the $68,000 level on October 21, 2024, as the crypto market soared in anticipation of regulatory reforms following the Trump-Harris U.S. election and amid speculation over the upcoming memecoin listings on major exchanges.

比特幣價格在過去24 小時內上漲1.5%，於2024 年10 月21 日突破68,000 美元大關，原因是加密貨幣市場因川普-哈里斯美國大選後監管改革的預期以及對即將在主要交易所上市的memecoin 的猜測而飆升。

Bitcoin Open Interest Hits Record $40.5 Billion, BTC Approaches $70K

比特幣持倉量創歷史新高 405 億美元，BTC 逼近 7 萬美元

Bitcoin open interest surged to an all-time high of $40.5 billion on October 21, 2024, as the price of BTC came close to breaching the $70,000 level.

2024 年 10 月 21 日，隨著 BTC 價格接近突破 70,000 美元水平，比特幣未平倉合約飆升至 405 億美元的歷史新高。

According to data from CoinGlass, the rise in open interest — the value of unsettled futures contracts — signals continued money flow into Bitcoin futures and is often an indicator of increased leverage in the market.

根據 CoinGlass 的數據，未平倉合約（未結算期貨合約的價值）的上升表明資金持續流入比特幣期貨，並且通常是市場槓桿增加的指標。

The Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) leads the open interest in Bitcoin futures with a 40% market share, followed by Binance and Bybit. Notably, open interest in token terms stands at 592,000 BTC, the highest since December 2022, when Bitcoin traded below $20,000.

芝加哥商品交易所 (CME) 以 40% 的市佔率領先比特幣期貨未平倉合約，其次是幣安和 Bybit。值得注意的是，代幣未平倉合約數量為 592,000 BTC，這是自 2022 年 12 月以來的最高水平，當時比特幣交易價格低於 20,000 美元。

This significant rise comes just ahead of the U.S. presidential elections, a key factor driving optimism and speculation in the crypto markets.

這一大幅上漲發生在美國總統大選之前，這是推動加密貨幣市場樂觀和投機的關鍵因素。

Uptober Momentum: Bitcoin Rises Amid U.S. Election Speculation

Uptober勢頭：比特幣在美國大選猜測中上漲

Bitcoin's price rose 1.5% in the past 24 hours, pushing past $68,000 and nearing $70,000, fueled by market anticipation surrounding the U.S. elections on November 5.

受市場對 11 月 5 日美國大選的預期推動，比特幣價格在過去 24 小時內上漲 1.5%，突破 68,000 美元，接近 70,000 美元。

With election polls showing Donald Trump leading with a 60% chance of winning, according to Polymarket, traders are betting on favorable outcomes for cryptocurrency regulations under a Republican administration. Market participants expect potential reforms, which could benefit digital assets, adding bullish momentum to Bitcoin's current rally.

Polymarket 的數據顯示，選舉民調顯示唐納德·川普以 60% 的獲勝機會領先，交易員押注共和黨政府領導下的加密貨幣監管將會取得有利結果。市場參與者預計潛在的改革可能有利於數位資產，為比特幣當前的漲勢增添看漲動力。

Increased trading volumes and futures open interest also confirm the ongoing uptrend, with $2.4 billion in new BTC inflows over the past week. Augustine Fan, head of insights at SOFA, stated that the spike in open interest and inflows indicates the establishment of new long positions, solidifying the market’s upward trajectory.

交易量和期貨未平倉合約的增加也證實了持續的上升趨勢，過去一周 BTC 新增資金流入達 24 億美元。 SOFA洞察主管Augustine Fan表示，未平倉合約和資金流入的激增表明新的多頭頭寸的建立，鞏固了市場的上升軌跡。

Solana Leads Altcoin Gains as Memecoins Resurge

隨著 Memecoin 的復甦，Solana 引領山寨幣漲幅

The broader crypto market saw significant gains, with Solana (SOL) leading the charge with a 7% increase. SOL’s rally was driven by renewed speculative interest in memecoins, particularly those with an artificial intelligence theme.

更廣泛的加密貨幣市場出現了顯著上漲，其中 Solana (SOL) 以 7% 的漲幅領先。 SOL 的上漲是由於人們對迷因幣（尤其是那些具有人工智慧主題的迷因幣）重新產生的投機興趣所推動。

Other leading cryptocurrencies such as Ethereum (ETH), Cardano (ADA), and BNB Chain (BNB) also experienced gains of 3-4%, while ApeCoin (APE) jumped 21% following the debut of its native blockchain, ApeChain.

其他領先的加密貨幣，如以太坊(ETH)、卡爾達諾(ADA) 和BNB 鏈(BNB) 也上漲了3-4%，而ApeCoin (APE) 在其原生區塊鏈ApeChain 首次亮相後上漲了21%。

Memecoins like Dogecoin (DOGE) and Shiba Inu (SHIB) rose by 3%, benefiting from the overall market momentum as investors anticipate further bullish moves heading into the U.S. elections.

狗狗幣 (DOGE) 和柴犬 (SHIB) 等 Memecoin 上漲了 3%，受益於投資者預期美國大選將進一步看漲的整體市場勢頭。

Open Interest and Leverage Signal Increased Risk

未平倉合約和槓桿訊號顯示風險增加

As Bitcoin’s open interest surged, several analysts warned of potential volatility due to increased leverage in the market.

隨著比特幣未平倉合約的激增，一些分析師警告稱，由於市場槓桿增加，可能會出現波動。

Historically, high levels of open interest paired with price increases often lead to "flush-outs" — events where leveraged positions are liquidated, causing sharp price declines. The last major flush-out occurred in August 2024, when BTC prices dropped by 20% in under 48 hours.

從歷史上看，高水準的未平倉合約與價格上漲往往會導致「衝出」——槓桿部位被清算的事件，導致價格急劇下跌。上一次大規模拋售發生在 2024 年 8 月，當時 BTC 價格在 48 小時內下跌了 20%。

Recent data from CryptoQuant revealed a spike in a key leverage-based ratio, increasing from 0.20 to 0.21 as Bitcoin’s price surged by $2,000. This uptick in leverage indicates a heightened risk tolerance, which could amplify market volatility in the coming weeks, especially as the election draws nearer.

CryptoQuant 的最新數據顯示，隨著比特幣價格飆升 2,000 美元，關鍵槓桿比率飆升，從 0.20 升至 0.21。槓桿率的上升表明風險承受能力增強，這可能會加劇未來幾週的市場波動，尤其是在選舉臨近之際。

U.S. Election Adds to Market Volatility

美國選舉加劇市場波動

The upcoming U.S. presidential elections are expected to significantly impact Bitcoin and the broader crypto market. Traders are closely monitoring the potential outcomes, with many predicting that a Trump victory could bring regulatory reforms favorable to the crypto industry.

即將到來的美國總統選舉預計將對比特幣和更廣泛的加密市場產生重大影響。交易員正在密切關注潛在的結果，許多人預測川普的勝利可能會帶來有利於加密貨幣行業的監管改革。

SOFA’s Augustine Fan noted that a Republican sweep could lead to the implementation of digital asset reform plans, boosting the market’s prospects. Similarly, QCP Capital highlighted that macroeconomic factors in Japan and China, coupled with the U.S. election, could push BTC prices higher in the coming weeks.

SOFA 的 Augustine Fan 指出，共和黨的大獲全勝可能會導致數位資產改革計畫的實施，從而提振市場前景。同樣，QCP Capital 強調，日本和中國的宏觀經濟因素，加上美國大選，可能會在未來幾週推高 BTC 價格。

“With U.S. equities near all-time highs and the Japanese yen weakening, risk-on sentiment will likely grow stronger as the election nears, further supporting Bitcoin’s historically bullish Uptober trend,” QCP Capital noted in their weekend broadcast.

QCP Capital 在周末廣播中指出，“隨著美國股市接近歷史高點，日圓走弱，隨著大選的臨近，風險偏好情緒可能會增強，從而進一步支撐比特幣歷史上看漲的 Uptober 趨勢。”

Bitcoin Eyes $70K as Market Prepares for U.S. Election Outcome

市場為美國大選結果做準備，比特幣瞄準 7 萬美元

Bitcoin’s rally toward $70,000 is supported by record-high open interest and increased leverage, signaling strong bullish momentum but also the potential for increased volatility.

比特幣漲向 70,000 美元是受到創紀錄的未平倉合約和槓桿增加的支撐，這表明看漲勢頭強勁，但也有可能加劇波動性。

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