比特币逼近 70,000 美元大关，同时触及创纪录的未平仓合约水平

随着投机狂潮回归市场，Solana (SOL) 在数字资产中领涨。

Bitcoin price rose 1.5% in the past 24 hours to cross the $68,000 level on October 21, 2024, as the crypto market soared in anticipation of regulatory reforms following the Trump-Harris U.S. election and amid speculation over the upcoming memecoin listings on major exchanges.

比特币价格在过去 24 小时内上涨 1.5%，于 2024 年 10 月 21 日突破 68,000 美元大关，原因是加密货币市场因特朗普-哈里斯美国大选后监管改革的预期以及对即将在主要交易所上市的 memecoin 的猜测而飙升。

Bitcoin Open Interest Hits Record $40.5 Billion, BTC Approaches $70K

比特币持仓量创历史新高 405 亿美元，BTC 逼近 7 万美元

Bitcoin open interest surged to an all-time high of $40.5 billion on October 21, 2024, as the price of BTC came close to breaching the $70,000 level.

2024 年 10 月 21 日，随着 BTC 价格接近突破 70,000 美元水平，比特币未平仓合约飙升至 405 亿美元的历史新高。

According to data from CoinGlass, the rise in open interest — the value of unsettled futures contracts — signals continued money flow into Bitcoin futures and is often an indicator of increased leverage in the market.

根据 CoinGlass 的数据，未平仓合约（未结算期货合约的价值）的上升表明资金持续流入比特币期货，并且通常是市场杠杆增加的指标。

The Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) leads the open interest in Bitcoin futures with a 40% market share, followed by Binance and Bybit. Notably, open interest in token terms stands at 592,000 BTC, the highest since December 2022, when Bitcoin traded below $20,000.

芝加哥商品交易所 (CME) 以 40% 的市场份额领先比特币期货未平仓合约，其次是币安和 Bybit。值得注意的是，代币未平仓合约数量为 592,000 BTC，这是自 2022 年 12 月以来的最高水平，当时比特币交易价格低于 20,000 美元。

This significant rise comes just ahead of the U.S. presidential elections, a key factor driving optimism and speculation in the crypto markets.

这一大幅上涨发生在美国总统大选之前，这是推动加密货币市场乐观和投机的关键因素。

Uptober Momentum: Bitcoin Rises Amid U.S. Election Speculation

Uptober势头：比特币在美国大选猜测中上涨

Bitcoin's price rose 1.5% in the past 24 hours, pushing past $68,000 and nearing $70,000, fueled by market anticipation surrounding the U.S. elections on November 5.

在市场对 11 月 5 日美国大选的预期推动下，比特币价格在过去 24 小时内上涨 1.5%，突破 68,000 美元并接近 70,000 美元。

With election polls showing Donald Trump leading with a 60% chance of winning, according to Polymarket, traders are betting on favorable outcomes for cryptocurrency regulations under a Republican administration. Market participants expect potential reforms, which could benefit digital assets, adding bullish momentum to Bitcoin's current rally.

根据 Polymarket 的数据，选举民意调查显示唐纳德·特朗普以 60% 的获胜机会领先，交易员押注共和党政府领导下的加密货币监管将会取得有利结果。市场参与者预计潜在的改革可能有利于数字资产，为比特币当前的涨势增添看涨动力。

Increased trading volumes and futures open interest also confirm the ongoing uptrend, with $2.4 billion in new BTC inflows over the past week. Augustine Fan, head of insights at SOFA, stated that the spike in open interest and inflows indicates the establishment of new long positions, solidifying the market’s upward trajectory.

交易量和期货未平仓合约的增加也证实了持续的上升趋势，过去一周 BTC 新增资金流入达 24 亿美元。 SOFA洞察主管Augustine Fan表示，未平仓合约和资金流入的激增表明新的多头头寸的建立，巩固了市场的上升轨迹。

Solana Leads Altcoin Gains as Memecoins Resurge

随着 Memecoin 的复苏，Solana 引领山寨币涨幅

The broader crypto market saw significant gains, with Solana (SOL) leading the charge with a 7% increase. SOL’s rally was driven by renewed speculative interest in memecoins, particularly those with an artificial intelligence theme.

更广泛的加密货币市场出现了显着上涨，其中 Solana (SOL) 以 7% 的涨幅领先。 SOL 的上涨是由于人们对模因币（尤其是那些具有人工智能主题的模因币）重新产生的投机兴趣所推动。

Other leading cryptocurrencies such as Ethereum (ETH), Cardano (ADA), and BNB Chain (BNB) also experienced gains of 3-4%, while ApeCoin (APE) jumped 21% following the debut of its native blockchain, ApeChain.

其他领先的加密货币，如以太坊 (ETH)、卡尔达诺 (ADA) 和 BNB 链 (BNB) 也上涨了 3-4%，而 ApeCoin (APE) 在其原生区块链 ApeChain 首次亮相后上涨了 21%。

Memecoins like Dogecoin (DOGE) and Shiba Inu (SHIB) rose by 3%, benefiting from the overall market momentum as investors anticipate further bullish moves heading into the U.S. elections.

狗狗币 (DOGE) 和柴犬 (SHIB) 等 Memecoin 上涨了 3%，受益于投资者预期美国大选将进一步看涨的整体市场势头。

Open Interest and Leverage Signal Increased Risk

未平仓合约和杠杆信号表明风险增加

As Bitcoin’s open interest surged, several analysts warned of potential volatility due to increased leverage in the market.

随着比特币未平仓合约的激增，一些分析师警告称，由于市场杠杆增加，可能会出现波动。

Historically, high levels of open interest paired with price increases often lead to "flush-outs" — events where leveraged positions are liquidated, causing sharp price declines. The last major flush-out occurred in August 2024, when BTC prices dropped by 20% in under 48 hours.

从历史上看，高水平的未平仓合约与价格上涨往往会导致“冲出”——杠杆头寸被清算的事件，导致价格急剧下跌。上一次大规模抛售发生在 2024 年 8 月，当时 BTC 价格在 48 小时内下跌了 20%。

Recent data from CryptoQuant revealed a spike in a key leverage-based ratio, increasing from 0.20 to 0.21 as Bitcoin’s price surged by $2,000. This uptick in leverage indicates a heightened risk tolerance, which could amplify market volatility in the coming weeks, especially as the election draws nearer.

CryptoQuant 的最新数据显示，随着比特币价格飙升 2,000 美元，关键杠杆比率出现飙升，从 0.20 升至 0.21。杠杆率的上升表明风险承受能力增强，这可能会加剧未来几周的市场波动，尤其是在选举临近之际。

U.S. Election Adds to Market Volatility

美国大选加剧市场波动

The upcoming U.S. presidential elections are expected to significantly impact Bitcoin and the broader crypto market. Traders are closely monitoring the potential outcomes, with many predicting that a Trump victory could bring regulatory reforms favorable to the crypto industry.

即将到来的美国总统选举预计将对比特币和更广泛的加密市场产生重大影响。交易员正在密切关注潜在的结果，许多人预测特朗普的胜利可能会带来有利于加密货币行业的监管改革。

SOFA’s Augustine Fan noted that a Republican sweep could lead to the implementation of digital asset reform plans, boosting the market’s prospects. Similarly, QCP Capital highlighted that macroeconomic factors in Japan and China, coupled with the U.S. election, could push BTC prices higher in the coming weeks.

SOFA 的 Augustine Fan 指出，共和党的大获全胜可能会导致数字资产改革计划的实施，从而提振市场前景。同样，QCP Capital 强调，日本和中国的宏观经济因素，加上美国大选，可能会在未来几周推高 BTC 价格。

“With U.S. equities near all-time highs and the Japanese yen weakening, risk-on sentiment will likely grow stronger as the election nears, further supporting Bitcoin’s historically bullish Uptober trend,” QCP Capital noted in their weekend broadcast.

QCP Capital 在周末广播中指出，“随着美国股市接近历史高点，日元走弱，随着大选的临近，风险偏好情绪可能会增强，从而进一步支撑比特币历史上看涨的 Uptober 趋势。”

Bitcoin Eyes $70K as Market Prepares for U.S. Election Outcome

市场为美国大选结果做准备，比特币瞄准 7 万美元

Bitcoin’s rally toward $70,000 is supported by record-high open interest and increased leverage, signaling strong bullish momentum but also the potential for increased volatility.

比特币涨向 70,000 美元是受到创纪录的未平仓合约和杠杆增加的支撑，这表明看涨势头强劲，但也有可能加剧波动性。

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