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自由主義者總統哈維爾·米萊的財政休克療法將崩潰的貨幣變成了該地區最強大的貨幣之一。但不要讓頭條新聞欺騙了你。這種經濟大轉變可能會對阿根廷深受喜愛的比特幣造成比任何人預期更嚴重的打擊。
Argentina's peso has seen a remarkable surge in value against its trading partners' currencies this year, rising by over 40%. This surge is largely attributed to libertarian President Javier Milei's fiscal shock therapy, which has managed to stabilize the peso despite the country's economic woes.
今年,阿根廷比索兌貿易夥伴貨幣大幅升值,漲幅超過 40%。這一飆升很大程度上歸因於自由主義總統哈維爾·米萊的財政休克療法,儘管該國經濟陷入困境,但該療法仍成功穩定了比索。
However, this peso rally is now dealing a blow to one of Argentina's beloved assets - Bitcoin. With the peso becoming stronger, Argentina is losing its appeal as a budget-friendly tourist destination.
然而,比索的上漲現在正在對阿根廷深受喜愛的資產之一——比特幣造成打擊。隨著比索走強,阿根廷正在失去作為經濟型旅遊目的地的吸引力。
After attracting bargain-hungry tourists with cheap wine and steaks, the tables have turned. Tourists are now steering clear of Argentina's inflated prices. Tourism, once a golden ticket for Argentina's economy, is now taking the first hit.
在用廉價的葡萄酒和牛排吸引了渴望討價還價的遊客後,情況發生了轉變。遊客現在正在避開阿根廷高昂的物價。旅遊業曾經是阿根廷經濟的金票,現在卻首當其衝。
Locals, meanwhile, are swapping their vacation dreams for shopping sprees abroad. Bitcoin, which had been a lifeline for Argentinians battling a crumbling peso, is also caught in the crossfire of this new economic reality.
同時,當地人正在放棄度假夢想,轉而去國外瘋狂購物。比特幣曾是阿根廷人與崩潰的比索抗爭的生命線,但它也陷入了這種新經濟現實的交火中。
A peso on steroids flips the script
類固醇的比索翻轉了腳本
Milei's policies have made the peso a giant contender in the global currency ring. By clamping down on monetary emission and keeping the official exchange rate steady, he's fueled an economic transformation.
米萊的政策使比索成為全球貨幣圈的巨大競爭者。透過限制貨幣排放和維持官方匯率穩定,他推動了經濟轉型。
On the black market, where the peso had long been battered, Milei's stabilization plans have done the impossible — strengthened it. Demand for the greenback has plummeted as Argentinians begin trusting their currency again.
在比索長期遭受重創的黑市上,米雷的穩定計畫完成了不可能的任務──強化了比索。隨著阿根廷人再次開始信任其貨幣,對美元的需求大幅下降。
Inflation has slowed slightly, dropping to 24% in November, but not enough to ease the overall pain. The strong peso is expensive for everyone, especially tourists. The number of visitors spending at least one night in Argentina has nosedived by 20.2% compared to the same period in 2023.
通膨略有放緩,11 月降至 24%,但不足以緩解整體痛苦。堅挺的比索對每個人來說都很昂貴,尤其是遊客。與 2023 年同期相比,在阿根廷至少住一晚的遊客數量驟降 20.2%。
Uruguayans, Bolivians, and Chileans led the exodus, with arrivals falling by 50.9%, 33.4%, and 28.3%, respectively. Even Argentinians are running for the border, with outbound travel jumping by 37.7% in the same period.
烏拉圭人、玻利維亞人和智利人的出境人數最多,入境人數分別下降了 50.9%、33.4% 和 28.3%。就連阿根廷人也在奔向邊境,同期出境旅遊激增 37.7%。
Meanwhile, Americans and Canadians showed more resilience, with a smaller drop of 11.5%. And here's a twist—Europeans are bucking the trend. The number of European tourists actually increased by 3.5%, proving there's always someone willing to pay for overpriced empanadas.
同時,美國人和加拿大人表現出更強的韌性,降幅較小,為 11.5%。但這裡有一個轉折點——歐洲人正在逆潮流而行。歐洲遊客數量實際上增加了 3.5%,證明總是有人願意為價格過高的肉餡捲餅買單。
Bitcoin's balancing act
比特幣的平衡行為
Now, let's talk Bitcoin. Argentina's relationship with crypto is as volatile as its economic history. Over the past year, Bitcoin's price in pesos has surged by 566.69%, despite recent market fluctuations. As of press time, one Bitcoin trades for 95.7 million ARS.
現在,我們來談談比特幣。阿根廷與加密貨幣的關係與其經濟歷史一樣不穩定。過去一年,儘管近期市場波動,比特幣的比索價格仍飆升了 566.69%。截至發稿時,1 個比特幣可交易 9,570 萬阿根廷比索。
In the years of hyperinflation and peso freefall, Bitcoin became a safe haven. Argentinians turned to it to escape the chaos, with many opting for stablecoins to hedge against local economic disasters. By mid-2024, Argentina accounted for 61.8% of Latin America's stablecoin transaction volume.
在惡性通貨膨脹和比索自由落體的年代,比特幣成為避風港。阿根廷人轉向它來逃避混亂,許多人選擇穩定幣來對沖當地的經濟災難。到2024年中期,阿根廷佔拉丁美洲穩定幣交易量的61.8%。
But now, the peso's resurgence is reducing the need for alternatives like Bitcoin. Fewer people are looking to ditch their pesos for crypto, even as Bitcoin continues to grow in value.
但現在,比索的復甦正在減少對比特幣等替代品的需求。儘管比特幣的價值持續成長,但希望放棄比索轉而購買加密貨幣的人卻越來越少。
This doesn't mean Bitcoin is irrelevant. Far from it. For many Argentinians, it remains a hedge against uncertainty. The scars of decades of economic instability don't heal overnight.
這並不意味著比特幣無關緊要。遠非如此。對許多阿根廷人來說,它仍然是抵禦不確定性的屏障。數十年經濟不穩定的傷痕不會在一夜之間痊癒。
Even as the peso stabilizes, trust in traditional systems is still shaky. Analysts predict Bitcoin could stabilize at around 105.3 million ARS by Q1 2025, but that depends on both local economic policies and global crypto trends.
即使比索穩定,對傳統系統的信任仍然不穩定。分析師預測,到 2025 年第一季度,比特幣可能穩定在 1.053 億阿根廷比索左右,但這取決於當地經濟政策和全球加密貨幣趨勢。
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