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在4月30日分享的研究報告中,21shares繪製了關於Dogecoin為投資組合增添有意義的拳的誘人敘述
Prominent asset manager 21Shares has recently completed an analysis that showcases how even a 1% allocation to Dogecoin can add meaningful returns to one’s portfolio. In a research report shared on April 30, 21Shares put together an enticing narrative about the meme coin’s ability to add a punch to a portfolio.
著名的資產經理21Shares最近完成了一項分析,該分析展示了即使對Dogecoin分配了1%的分配,也可以為自己的投資組合增加有意義的回報。在4月30日分享的一份研究報告中,21shares匯總了關於模因硬幣為投資組合增添一拳的能力的誘人敘述。
The analysis dives into how diversifying a traditional 60/40 portfolio allocation with a modest percentage in Bitcoin and Dogecoin could impact returns.
該分析探討了傳統的60/40投資組合分配多樣化,比特幣和狗狗幣的比例適中可能會影響回報。
Specifically, the analysis tested this narrative with a Bitcoin-enhanced portfolio, which allocates just 3% to Bitcoin and a meager 1% to Dogecoin in a typical 60/40 portfolio allocation (60% stocks, 40% bonds). Back-testing this rebalanced portfolio allocation against the previous performances of the four assets yielded rewarding results in all respects.
具體而言,該分析通過比特幣增強的投資組合測試了這一敘述,該投資組合僅分配3%的比特幣,並在典型的60/40投資組合分配中分配給Dogecoin 1%(60%的股票,40%的債券)。回顧這種重新平衡的投資組合分配針對以前的四個資產的表現,在各個方面都產生了有益的結果。
Highlighted metrics, such as cumulative returns, annualized returns, and the Sharpe ratio, increased significantly in the 1% Dogecoin-infused holdings compared to the benchmark. For instance, the cumulative returns in a monthly rebalanced portfolio increased from 32.29% to an impressive 40.89% with just a 1% allocation to Dogecoin.
與基準相比,在1%的Dogecoin含量中,強調指標,例如累計回報,年化回報和Sharpe比率,在1%的狗狗幣持有量中顯著增加。例如,每月重新平衡投資組合中的累積收益從32.29%增加到令人印象深刻的40.89%,僅分配了1%的Dogecoin。
Moreover, annualized returns also grew from 7.25% to 8.95%, with the percentage on all rebalancing periods trouncing the benchmark. Interestingly, the annualized volatility also increased, but the Sharpe ratio, which measures the risk-adjusted returns of a financial endeavor, saw an uptick. This indicated that, although more volatile, the reward-to-risk ratio increased with the addition of Dogecoin.
此外,年化收益也從7.25%增至8.95%,在所有重新平衡期間的百分比都損害了基準。有趣的是,年度的波動率也增加了,但是衡量金融努力的風險調整後收益的夏普比率提高了。這表明,儘管更波動,但獎勵風險比增加了狗狗幣。
Conclusively, the research shows that including even a modest percentage of the prominent meme coin in one’s portfolio is more rewarding than risky.
最終的研究表明,即使在一個人的投資組合中,即使在一個著名的模因硬幣中也包括適中的比例,比風險更有意義。
Dogecoin Price Projections
Dogecoin價格預測
Furthermore, 21Shares projected DOGE’s price expectations by the end of the bull cycle, classifying them into bear, base, and bull cases.
此外,21shares預計,在牛週期結束時,Doge的價格預期將其分為熊,基礎和牛案件。
The analysis noted that if DOGE’s post-election jetlag continues, the asset may fail to hit a new all-time high this cycle for the first time in its history. In this bearish scenario, 21Shares predicted just an over 2x surge to $0.38 by the year’s end, citing a sustained 10% CAGR from its 2021 peak at $0.73.
分析指出,如果Doge的選舉後噴氣lag繼續進行,那麼資產可能不會在其歷史上首次達到這一新周期的新歷史。在這種看跌的情況下,21shares預測到今年年底的增長幅度超過2倍,至0.38美元,其同期為2021年的CAGR持續10%的CAGR為0.73美元。
Nonetheless, it expects Dogecoin to trend near $1 in a base case. Per the report, this over 5.5x return would occur if the global crypto market cap reaches $5 trillion this cycle and DOGE’s market share drops from 4% in the previous cycle to 3%. With its current circulating supply of 149.07 billion and the projected cap of $150 billion, the meme coin would reach $1.00. This would mark a new all-time high.
儘管如此,它預計在基本情況下,Dogecoin將會趨向1美元。根據報告,如果全球加密市政上限在本週期達到5萬億美元,而Doge的市場份額從上一個週期中的4%下降到3%,則會發生這種超過5.5倍的回報。由於目前的循環供應量為149.7億,預計的上限為1500億美元,Meme Coin將達到1.00美元。這將標誌著新的歷史最高水平。
Meanwhile, the report projected an even better outlook in the best-case scenario. The analysis highlighted that the difference in Dogecoin’s bottom of $0.007 before last cycle’s rally and $0.0585 in this cycle is 189%. If the meme coin mirrors this price action, it would reach approximately $1.42 this cycle, which is over 7 times its current valuation.
同時,該報告在最佳場景中預測了更好的前景。分析表明,在上週期集會之前,狗狗幣的底部差額為0.007美元,而在此週期中,$ 0.0585的差異為189%。如果Meme硬幣反映了此價格行動,則該週期的價格將達到1.42美元,其當前估值超過7倍。
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