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在4月30日分享的研究报告中,21shares绘制了关于Dogecoin为投资组合增添有意义的拳的诱人叙述
Prominent asset manager 21Shares has recently completed an analysis that showcases how even a 1% allocation to Dogecoin can add meaningful returns to one’s portfolio. In a research report shared on April 30, 21Shares put together an enticing narrative about the meme coin’s ability to add a punch to a portfolio.
著名的资产经理21Shares最近完成了一项分析,该分析展示了即使对Dogecoin分配了1%的分配,也可以为自己的投资组合增加有意义的回报。在4月30日分享的一份研究报告中,21shares汇总了关于模因硬币为投资组合增添一拳的能力的诱人叙述。
The analysis dives into how diversifying a traditional 60/40 portfolio allocation with a modest percentage in Bitcoin and Dogecoin could impact returns.
该分析探讨了传统的60/40投资组合分配多样化,比特币和狗狗币的比例适中可能会影响回报。
Specifically, the analysis tested this narrative with a Bitcoin-enhanced portfolio, which allocates just 3% to Bitcoin and a meager 1% to Dogecoin in a typical 60/40 portfolio allocation (60% stocks, 40% bonds). Back-testing this rebalanced portfolio allocation against the previous performances of the four assets yielded rewarding results in all respects.
具体而言,该分析通过比特币增强的投资组合测试了这一叙述,该投资组合仅分配3%的比特币,并在典型的60/40投资组合分配中分配给Dogecoin 1%(60%的股票,40%的债券)。回顾这种重新平衡的投资组合分配针对以前的四个资产的表现,在各个方面都产生了有益的结果。
Highlighted metrics, such as cumulative returns, annualized returns, and the Sharpe ratio, increased significantly in the 1% Dogecoin-infused holdings compared to the benchmark. For instance, the cumulative returns in a monthly rebalanced portfolio increased from 32.29% to an impressive 40.89% with just a 1% allocation to Dogecoin.
与基准相比,在1%的Dogecoin含量中,强调指标,例如累计回报,年化回报和Sharpe比率,在1%的狗狗币持有量中显着增加。例如,每月重新平衡投资组合中的累积收益从32.29%增加到令人印象深刻的40.89%,仅分配了1%的Dogecoin。
Moreover, annualized returns also grew from 7.25% to 8.95%, with the percentage on all rebalancing periods trouncing the benchmark. Interestingly, the annualized volatility also increased, but the Sharpe ratio, which measures the risk-adjusted returns of a financial endeavor, saw an uptick. This indicated that, although more volatile, the reward-to-risk ratio increased with the addition of Dogecoin.
此外,年化收益也从7.25%增至8.95%,在所有重新平衡期间的百分比都损害了基准。有趣的是,年度的波动率也增加了,但是衡量金融努力的风险调整后收益的夏普比率提高了。这表明,尽管更波动,但奖励风险比增加了狗狗币。
Conclusively, the research shows that including even a modest percentage of the prominent meme coin in one’s portfolio is more rewarding than risky.
最终的研究表明,即使在一个人的投资组合中,即使在一个著名的模因硬币中也包括适中的比例,比风险更有意义。
Dogecoin Price Projections
Dogecoin价格预测
Furthermore, 21Shares projected DOGE’s price expectations by the end of the bull cycle, classifying them into bear, base, and bull cases.
此外,21shares预计,在牛周期结束时,Doge的价格预期将其分为熊,基础和牛案件。
The analysis noted that if DOGE’s post-election jetlag continues, the asset may fail to hit a new all-time high this cycle for the first time in its history. In this bearish scenario, 21Shares predicted just an over 2x surge to $0.38 by the year’s end, citing a sustained 10% CAGR from its 2021 peak at $0.73.
分析指出,如果Doge的选举后喷气lag继续进行,那么资产可能不会在其历史上首次达到这一新周期的新历史。在这种看跌的情况下,21shares预测到今年年底的增长幅度超过2倍,至0.38美元,其同期为2021年的CAGR持续10%的CAGR为0.73美元。
Nonetheless, it expects Dogecoin to trend near $1 in a base case. Per the report, this over 5.5x return would occur if the global crypto market cap reaches $5 trillion this cycle and DOGE’s market share drops from 4% in the previous cycle to 3%. With its current circulating supply of 149.07 billion and the projected cap of $150 billion, the meme coin would reach $1.00. This would mark a new all-time high.
尽管如此,它预计在基本情况下,Dogecoin将会趋向1美元。根据报告,如果全球加密市政上限在本周期达到5万亿美元,而Doge的市场份额从上一个周期中的4%下降到3%,则会发生这种超过5.5倍的回报。由于目前的循环供应量为149.7亿,预计的上限为1500亿美元,Meme Coin将达到1.00美元。这将标志着新的历史最高水平。
Meanwhile, the report projected an even better outlook in the best-case scenario. The analysis highlighted that the difference in Dogecoin’s bottom of $0.007 before last cycle’s rally and $0.0585 in this cycle is 189%. If the meme coin mirrors this price action, it would reach approximately $1.42 this cycle, which is over 7 times its current valuation.
同时,该报告在最佳场景中预测了更好的前景。分析表明,在上周期集会之前,狗狗币的底部差额为0.007美元,而在此周期中,$ 0.0585的差异为189%。如果Meme硬币反映了此价格行动,则该周期的价格将达到1.42美元,其当前估值超过7倍。
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