Altseason即將到來：BTC的優勢已經達到頂峰，為爆炸性的Altcoin增長打開了大門

許多投資者在問：“ Altseason在哪裡？$ BTC正在飛行，但是Altcoins卻很安靜！”答案在於市場週期，更具體地說是比特幣的主導地位。

Many investors are asking: “Where’s the altseason? $BTC is flying, but altcoins are dead quiet!” The answer lies in market cycles — and more specifically, Bitcoin Dominance.

許多投資者在問：“ Altseason在哪裡？$ BTC正在飛行，但是Altcoins卻很安靜！”答案在於市場週期，更具體地說是比特幣的主導地位。

Let’s break it down based on historical patterns and what’s unfolding now.

讓我們根據歷史模式和現在正在發生的事情將其分解。

1. Altcoin season only begins when Bitcoin Dominance breaks down after a long uptrend

1。 Altcoin季節才始於比特幣在漫長的上升趨勢之後的主導地位破裂

Looking back at the two most recent market cycles (2017–2021 and 2022–2025), we notice a repeating pattern:

回顧兩個最新的市場週期（2017-2021和2022–2025），我們注意到了一個重複模式：

BTC Dominance tends to climb steadily for about 1,000 days before sharply reversing — and that’s usually when the real altseason begins.

BTC的優勢傾向於穩定穩定地攀升約1000天，然後急劇逆轉 - 通常是真正的季后賽開始的時候。

In the last cycle, BTC dominance dropped hard right after Bitcoin hit its peak in late 2021.

在最後一個週期中，在比特幣在2021年底達到頂峰之後，BTC的優勢下降了。

Right now, BTC Dominance has already risen for exactly 1,066 days — matching the previous cycle almost perfectly.

目前，BTC的優勢已經上升了1,066天 - 幾乎完美地匹配了上一個週期。

The turning point might be closer than we think.

轉折點可能比我們想像的要近。

2. Altseason tends to happen at the end of Bitcoin’s bull cycle

2。季節往往發生在比特幣牛週期結束時

Altcoins don’t run first. They run last — as the final wave of the entire market.

AltCoins不會先運行。他們最後一次是整個市場的最後一波。

Early bull runs: Bitcoin dominates capital flow.

早期公牛運行：比特幣主導資本流。

Late-stage runs: BTC slows → capital rotates into altcoins → altseason explodes.

晚期運行：BTC減慢→資本旋轉到Altcoins→Altseason爆炸。

If you’ve been patient with Bitcoin, you’ll need double the patience with altcoins.

如果您對比特幣有耐心，則需要對AltCoins的耐心加倍。

3. Altcoins are in a deep accumulation phase

3。 AltCoins處於深度積累階段

The current altcoin market feels boring. But beneath the surface, things are coiling. Many altcoins are quietly consolidating at low valuations — especially low-cap gems. This phase often precedes explosive growth.

當前的Altcoin市場感到無聊。但是在表面下，事情盤繞。許多山寨幣都以低估的靜音（尤其是低帽子的寶石）悄悄地合併。這個階段通常在爆炸性生長之前。

Just because they’re quiet doesn’t mean they’re weak.

僅僅因為它們安靜並不意味著他們很虛弱。

4. My Personal Outlook

4。我的個人前景

Based on cycles, dominance structure, and macro liquidity trends, I believe:

我認為，基於週期，優勢結構和宏觀流動性趨勢：

A true altcoin season will likely kick off in Q3 or Q4 of 2025, coinciding with:

真正的Altcoin季節可能會在2025年第三季度或第四季度開始，與：

The Fed’s first interest rate cuts

美聯儲的第一個降低利率降低

Clear signs of economic slowdown in the U.S.

在美國，經濟放緩的明顯跡象

Inflation trending back to 2%

通貨膨脹趨勢回到2％

Risk-on sentiment returning across global markets

在全球市場上返回風險的情緒

Final Thoughts

最後的想法

Altseason is the reward for those who wait. If you’ve made it this far with conviction, don’t give up before the rotation begins. But remember one golden rule:

對於那些等待的人來說，Altseason是獎勵。如果您堅信這麼遠，請不要在旋轉開始之前放棄。但是請記住一個黃金法則：

Take profits while you’re smiling. Altcoins don’t forgive greed.

微笑時要利潤。 AltCoins不會原諒貪婪。

#Altseason #BTCdominance #CryptoCycle #Bitcoin

#altseason #btcdominance #cryptocycle #bitcoin