Altseason即将到来：BTC的优势已经达到顶峰，为爆炸性的Altcoin增长打开了大门

许多投资者在问：“ Altseason在哪里？$ BTC正在飞行，但是Altcoins却很安静！”答案在于市场周期，更具体地说是比特币的主导地位。

Many investors are asking: “Where’s the altseason? $BTC is flying, but altcoins are dead quiet!” The answer lies in market cycles — and more specifically, Bitcoin Dominance.

许多投资者在问：“ Altseason在哪里？$ BTC正在飞行，但是Altcoins却很安静！”答案在于市场周期，更具体地说是比特币的主导地位。

Let’s break it down based on historical patterns and what’s unfolding now.

让我们根据历史模式和现在正在发生的事情将其分解。

1. Altcoin season only begins when Bitcoin Dominance breaks down after a long uptrend

1。Altcoin季节才始于比特币在漫长的上升趋势之后的主导地位破裂

Looking back at the two most recent market cycles (2017–2021 and 2022–2025), we notice a repeating pattern:

回顾两个最新的市场周期（2017-2021和2022–2025），我们注意到了一个重复模式：

BTC Dominance tends to climb steadily for about 1,000 days before sharply reversing — and that’s usually when the real altseason begins.

BTC的优势倾向于稳定稳定地攀升约1000天，然后急剧逆转 - 通常是真正的季后赛开始的时候。

In the last cycle, BTC dominance dropped hard right after Bitcoin hit its peak in late 2021.

在最后一个周期中，在比特币在2021年底达到顶峰之后，BTC的优势下降了。

Right now, BTC Dominance has already risen for exactly 1,066 days — matching the previous cycle almost perfectly.

目前，BTC的优势已经上升了1,066天 - 几乎完美地匹配了上一个周期。

The turning point might be closer than we think.

转折点可能比我们想象的要近。

2. Altseason tends to happen at the end of Bitcoin’s bull cycle

2。季节往往发生在比特币牛周期结束时

Altcoins don’t run first. They run last — as the final wave of the entire market.

AltCoins不会先运行。他们最后一次是整个市场的最后一波。

Early bull runs: Bitcoin dominates capital flow.

早期公牛运行：比特币主导资本流。

Late-stage runs: BTC slows → capital rotates into altcoins → altseason explodes.

晚期运行：BTC减慢→资本旋转到Altcoins→Altseason爆炸。

If you’ve been patient with Bitcoin, you’ll need double the patience with altcoins.

如果您对比特币有耐心，则需要对AltCoins的耐心加倍。

3. Altcoins are in a deep accumulation phase

3。AltCoins处于深度积累阶段

The current altcoin market feels boring. But beneath the surface, things are coiling. Many altcoins are quietly consolidating at low valuations — especially low-cap gems. This phase often precedes explosive growth.

当前的Altcoin市场感到无聊。但是在表面下，事情盘绕。许多山寨币都以低估的静音（尤其是低帽子的宝石）悄悄地合并。这个阶段通常在爆炸性生长之前。

Just because they’re quiet doesn’t mean they’re weak.

仅仅因为它们安静并不意味着他们很虚弱。

4. My Personal Outlook

4。我的个人前景

Based on cycles, dominance structure, and macro liquidity trends, I believe:

我认为，基于周期，优势结构和宏观流动性趋势：

A true altcoin season will likely kick off in Q3 or Q4 of 2025, coinciding with:

真正的Altcoin季节可能会在2025年第三季度或第四季度开始，与：

The Fed’s first interest rate cuts

美联储的第一个降低利率降低

Clear signs of economic slowdown in the U.S.

在美国，经济放缓的明显迹象

Inflation trending back to 2%

通货膨胀趋势回到2％

Risk-on sentiment returning across global markets

在全球市场上返回风险的情绪

Final Thoughts

最后的想法

Altseason is the reward for those who wait. If you’ve made it this far with conviction, don’t give up before the rotation begins. But remember one golden rule:

对于那些等待的人来说，Altseason是奖励。如果您坚信这么远，请不要在旋转开始之前放弃。但是请记住一个黄金法则：

Take profits while you’re smiling. Altcoins don’t forgive greed.

微笑时要利润。 AltCoins不会原谅贪婪。

#Altseason #BTCdominance #CryptoCycle #Bitcoin

#altseason #btcdominance #cryptocycle #bitcoin