AAVE（AAVE）代幣正處於累積階段，但能否突破狹窄的交易區間？

8 月 8 日星期四，AAVE (AAVE) 的交易價格為 97.75 美元，較 2022 年的最低點上漲 100%，但遠低於 708 美元的歷史高點。

AAVE (AAVE) price has remained in a two-year consolidation phase, but some analysts believe that it could be ripe for a breakout as some technical indicators show accumulation.

AAVE (AAVE) 價格仍處於兩年盤整階段，但一些分析師認為，由於一些技術指標顯示積累，突破的時機可能已經成熟。

AAVE price action in detail

AAVE 價格走勢詳細信息

AAVE’s recent gains come as the market seems to be waking up to the network’s popularity and profitability. Data from DeFi Llama shows that AAVE is the third-biggest player in the decentralized finance (DeFi) industry with over $10.7 billion in assets.

AAVE 最近的上漲之際，市場似乎正在意識到該網絡的受歡迎程度和盈利能力。 DeFi Llama 的數據顯示，AAVE 是去中心化金融（DeFi）產業的第三大參與者，資產超過 107 億美元。

It also generates substantial fees, being the third most-profitable DeFi platform and having generated over $222 million in fees this year. AAVE makes most of its money from the interest rate spread between what it pays to lenders and what it charges its borrowers. It also makes money through flash loans and liquidation fees.

它還產生大量費用，是第三大最賺錢的 DeFi 平台，今年產生的費用超過 2.22 億美元。 AAVE 的大部分收入來自向貸款人支付的利率與向借款人收取的利率之間的利差。它還透過閃電貸和清算費賺錢。

Some analysts are bullish on AAVE due to the ongoing accumulation. In an X post, Michael van de Poppe, a popular X analyst, highlighted AAVE’s weekly chart as one of the most promising in the crypto industry.

由於 AAVE 持續積累，一些分析師看好 AAVE。在 X 貼文中，受歡迎的 X 分析師 Michael van de Poppe 強調 AAVE 的周線圖是加密貨幣行業中最有前途的圖表之一。

One of the most promising charts in crypto is $AAVE.

加密貨幣領域最有前途的圖表之一是 $AAVE。

DeFi is looking awesome for a big run. pic.twitter.com/3oNylMixNv

DeFi 的大發展看起來非常棒。 pic.twitter.com/3oNylMixNv

This view was shared by several other analysts, including Otsukimi, who pointed to the ongoing accumulation and the fact that the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has risen above the neutral point of 50.

包括 Otsukimi 在內的其他幾位分析師也同意這一觀點，他指出了持續的增持以及相對強弱指數 (RSI) 已升至 50 中性點之上的事實。

$AAVE

$幽靈

Not the best looking weekly chart, but not that bad either.

週線圖不是最好看的，但也不是那麼糟。

One that I'm keeping my eye on if it ever reclaims this level.

我正在密切關注它是否能恢復這一水平。

Current candle looks great, RSI holding as well.

目前的蠟燭看起來很棒，RSI 也保持不變。

High bullish cross at 75% is usually hopeful. pic.twitter.com/QJxOX7tzQF

75% 的高看漲交叉通常是有希望的。 pic.twitter.com/QJxOX7tzQF

Other analysts cited additional reasons for their bullish outlook on AAVE. Dalin Anderson suggested that the token was in the process of forming an impulse wave of the Elliot Wave pattern. This pattern has five phases, with the third one being the most bullish.

其他分析師也列舉了看好 AAVE 前景的其他原因。達林·安德森（Dalin Anderson）表示，該代幣正在形成艾略特波浪模式的推動波。此形態有五個階段，其中第三階段最為看漲。

A possible catalyst for AAVE is that there are signs that whales have been accumulating the token in the past few months. Last week, a whale reportedly accumulated AAVE tokens to the tune of over $6.47 million in a two-day period.

AAVE 的一個可能的催化劑是，有跡象表明鯨魚在過去幾個月裡一直在積累該代幣。據報道，上週，一頭鯨魚在兩天內累積了超過 647 萬美元的 AAVE 代幣。

The accumulation concept has worked well among other cryptocurrencies in the past. Shiba Inu (SHIB) stayed in two prolonged consolidation phases in 2021 and in 2022 and 2023. Each of them resulted in a strong bullish breakout.

過去，累積概念在其他加密貨幣中表現良好。柴犬 (SHIB) 在 2021 年、2022 年和 2023 年經歷了兩個長期盤整階段。

Risks to the bullish AAVE thesis

看漲 AAVE 論點面臨的風險

The main risk to the bullish thesis is that the two-year consolidation phase could continue for a few more months or even years.

看漲論點的主要風險是兩年盤整階段可能會持續幾個月甚至幾年。

Moreover, there are technical signs that the token has formed a rising wedge and a bearish pennant chart pattern. In most cases, these patterns lead to a bearish breakout, especially when the two trendlines come close to converging, like they are about to do.

此外，有技術跡象表明該代幣已形成上升楔形和看跌三角旗圖表模式。在大多數情況下，這些模式會導致看跌突破，特別是當兩條趨勢線接近收斂時，就像它們即將要做的那樣。