AAVE（AAVE）代币正处于积累阶段，但能否突破狭窄的交易区间？

8 月 8 日星期四，AAVE (AAVE) 的交易价格为 97.75 美元，较 2022 年的最低点上涨 100%，但远低于 708 美元的历史高点。

AAVE (AAVE) price has remained in a two-year consolidation phase, but some analysts believe that it could be ripe for a breakout as some technical indicators show accumulation.

AAVE (AAVE) 价格仍处于两年盘整阶段，但一些分析师认为，由于一些技术指标显示积累，突破的时机可能已经成熟。

AAVE price action in detail

AAVE 价格走势详细信息

AAVE’s recent gains come as the market seems to be waking up to the network’s popularity and profitability. Data from DeFi Llama shows that AAVE is the third-biggest player in the decentralized finance (DeFi) industry with over $10.7 billion in assets.

AAVE 最近的上涨之际，市场似乎正在意识到该网络的受欢迎程度和盈利能力。 DeFi Llama 的数据显示，AAVE 是去中心化金融（DeFi）行业的第三大参与者，资产超过 107 亿美元。

It also generates substantial fees, being the third most-profitable DeFi platform and having generated over $222 million in fees this year. AAVE makes most of its money from the interest rate spread between what it pays to lenders and what it charges its borrowers. It also makes money through flash loans and liquidation fees.

它还产生大量费用，是第三大最赚钱的 DeFi 平台，今年产生的费用超过 2.22 亿美元。 AAVE 的大部分收入来自向贷方支付的利率与向借款人收取的利率之间的利差。它还通过闪电贷和清算费赚钱。

Some analysts are bullish on AAVE due to the ongoing accumulation. In an X post, Michael van de Poppe, a popular X analyst, highlighted AAVE’s weekly chart as one of the most promising in the crypto industry.

由于 AAVE 持续积累，一些分析师看好 AAVE。在 X 帖子中，受欢迎的 X 分析师 Michael van de Poppe 强调 AAVE 的周线图是加密货币行业中最有前途的图表之一。

One of the most promising charts in crypto is $AAVE.

加密货币领域最有前途的图表之一是 $AAVE。

DeFi is looking awesome for a big run. pic.twitter.com/3oNylMixNv

DeFi 的大发展看起来非常棒。 pic.twitter.com/3oNylMixNv

This view was shared by several other analysts, including Otsukimi, who pointed to the ongoing accumulation and the fact that the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has risen above the neutral point of 50.

包括 Otsukimi 在内的其他几位分析师也同意这一观点，他指出了持续的增持以及相对强弱指数 (RSI) 已升至 50 中性点之上的事实。

$AAVE

$幽灵

Not the best looking weekly chart, but not that bad either.

周线图不是最好看的，但也不是那么糟糕。

One that I'm keeping my eye on if it ever reclaims this level.

我正在密切关注它是否能恢复这一水平。

Current candle looks great, RSI holding as well.

目前的蜡烛看起来很棒，RSI 也保持不变。

High bullish cross at 75% is usually hopeful. pic.twitter.com/QJxOX7tzQF

75% 的高看涨交叉通常是有希望的。 pic.twitter.com/QJxOX7tzQF

Other analysts cited additional reasons for their bullish outlook on AAVE. Dalin Anderson suggested that the token was in the process of forming an impulse wave of the Elliot Wave pattern. This pattern has five phases, with the third one being the most bullish.

其他分析师还列举了看好 AAVE 前景的其他原因。达林·安德森（Dalin Anderson）表示，该代币正在形成艾略特波浪模式的推动波。该形态有五个阶段，其中第三个阶段最为看涨。

A possible catalyst for AAVE is that there are signs that whales have been accumulating the token in the past few months. Last week, a whale reportedly accumulated AAVE tokens to the tune of over $6.47 million in a two-day period.

AAVE 的一个可能的催化剂是，有迹象表明鲸鱼在过去几个月里一直在积累该代币。据报道，上周，一头鲸鱼在两天内积累了超过 647 万美元的 AAVE 代币。

The accumulation concept has worked well among other cryptocurrencies in the past. Shiba Inu (SHIB) stayed in two prolonged consolidation phases in 2021 and in 2022 and 2023. Each of them resulted in a strong bullish breakout.

过去，累积概念在其他加密货币中表现良好。柴犬 (SHIB) 在 2021 年、2022 年和 2023 年经历了两个长期盘整阶段。每个阶段都导致了强劲的看涨突破。

Risks to the bullish AAVE thesis

看涨 AAVE 论点面临的风险

The main risk to the bullish thesis is that the two-year consolidation phase could continue for a few more months or even years.

看涨论点的主要风险是两年盘整阶段可能会持续几个月甚至几年。

Moreover, there are technical signs that the token has formed a rising wedge and a bearish pennant chart pattern. In most cases, these patterns lead to a bearish breakout, especially when the two trendlines come close to converging, like they are about to do.

此外，有技术迹象表明该代币已形成上升楔形和看跌三角旗图表模式。在大多数情况下，这些模式会导致看跌突破，特别是当两条趋势线接近收敛时，就像它们即将要做的那样。