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暗号通貨のニュース記事
Bitcoin (BTC) May Be Entering a Unique Cycle, Breaking Historical Fractal Patterns
2025/04/28 21:30
Just when crypto participants are discussing that Bitcoin seems to have entered a bearish phase due to its sharp pullback from its current all-time high and prolonged consolidation phase, the digital asset has rebounded strongly, revisiting levels like $95,000.
Even though BTC has failed to reclaim its all-time high, many believe the ongoing cycle might be unique.
A Potential Change In Bitcoin Upholding Fractal Cycle Dynamics
The recent resurgence has put Bitcoin back on track in the ongoing bull cycle as the flagship asset is seen getting closer to a key resistance level.
Also, as this BTC cycle progresses, crypto analyst Jelle has highlighted a possible timeline for it to come to an end. Since its creation, each Bitcoin cycle has lasted longer than the one before it. It is worth noting that BTC’s current high was set about 791 days after the bear market bottomed.
Based on this notion, the expert claims this cycle will top out in Q4 2025, with new all-time highs yet to come. However, since BTC has displayed notable bullish performance, the main discussion among the crypto community has been a potential disparity between this cycle and previous ones, and not when it will top out.
On-chain expert and verified author, Darkfost, recently provided insights on the heated discussion. Bitcoin’s price behavior has historically followed identifiable fractal patterns, with predictable boom-and-bust dynamics at the heel of the bull market. But crypto enthusiasts are saying the current cycle might break the fractal cycle dynamics seen in BTC’s history.
Thus, Darkfost has combined a chart with important macro statistics and Bitcoin’s price movements to further provide input on the discussion and highlight the main reason why this cycle might actually be different.
A closer look at the chart shows that the first major takeaway is that BTC has never had to rally in such a hostile environment for risky assets. The chart also highlights that BTC has reached two new all-time highs even though the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) rates have never been this high.
What The Treasury Yields Say
According to the expert, the state of US Treasury yields is another crucial aspect suggesting that this cycle may be different. This is because large institutional investors have the opportunity to earn a 5% dividend with no actual risk. “What’s even more striking is that the US2Y has been higher than long-term yields, an unusual and historically significant setup,” he added.
Considering all of these factors, Darkfost stated that it is clear that this cycle could be different. Although riskier assets haven’t received much liquidity, Bitcoin has still managed to show remarkable performance. Presently, uncertainty still lingers in the sector, especially now that US President Donald Trump is back in the picture. Nonetheless, if macro conditions improve this year and extend into 2026, the first-ever truly unique BTC cycle may unfold. In the meantime, the market is still in a normal cycle.
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