Can Bitcoin exceed 1 million yuan in 2025: Forecast and Market Wisdom

I believe talk is cheap, show me the money. I believe that group wisdom is far better than individual speculation. If you are like me and want to know how much Bitcoin can rise in 2025, it is better to see if there is a way to use real money to "vote" for predictions in this question. The answer is: Yes. How to predict the market: Crypto forecasting market + Fund weighting The data we quote comes from a decentralized forecasting platform where anyone can use stablecoins to participate in betting on future events, that is, use funds to vote on your judgment. There have been nearly $10 million bets on the issue of "what will Bitcoin's highest price reach in 2025". Here are the latest key figures in the market (updated in 2025): Price range (USD) Betting amount return estimate (odds) $1,000,000 $769,024 3% $250,000 $696,125 10% $200,000 $1,117,916 17% $150,000 $1,068,960 33% $130,000 $767,810 67% $120,000 $894,332 73% $110,000 $1,791,326 89% $70,000 $981,843 35% $50,000 $1,003,647 17% $20,000 $256,209 5% How to derive “real price expectations” from these betting data? We use the weighted average method, multiply each price range by its weight (bet amount × probability estimate), and then add and divide by the total weight to obtain an expected price that the market believes is most reasonable. Step 1: Calculate the weight of each price point (betting amount × odds) Price betting amount probability estimated weight = betting amount × probability $1,000,000 769,024 0.03 23,071 $250,000 696,125 0.10 69,613 $200,000 1,117,916 0.17 189,046 $150,000 1,068,960 0.33 352,757 $130,000 767,810 0.67 514,433 $120,000 894,332 0.73 652,862 $110,000 1,791,326 0.89 1,593,280 $70,000 981,843 0.35 343,645 $50,000 1,003,647 0.17 170,620 $20,000 256,209 0.05 12,810 Total weight: 3,921,137 Step 2: Weighted sum (price × weight) Price weight Price × Weight $1,000,000 23,071 23,071,000,000 $250,000 69,613 17,403,250,000 $200,000 189,046 37,809,200,000 $150,000 352,757 52,913,550,000 $130,000 514,433 66,876,290,000 $120,000 652,862 78,343,440,000 $110,000 1,593,280 175,260,800,000 $70,000 343,645 24,055,150,000 $50,000 170,620 8,531,000,000 $20,000 12,810 256,200,000 Total weight: 484,519,880,000 Step 3: Weighted average price forecast price = 484,519,880,0003,921,137≈$123,525text{predicted price} = frac{484,519,880,000}{3,921,137} approx $123,525 Forecast price = 3,921,137484,519,880,000≈$123,525 Conclusion: The market predicts that the highest price of Bitcoin in 2025 is $123,525 Considering that the group sentiment may be slightly overestimated in the past six months, according to experience, the final prediction is corrected by 10% off, and the final prediction is obtained: 123,525×90%=$111,172123,525 × 90% = $111,172123,525×90%=$111,172 According to the current exchange rate ($1 ≈ ¥7.3252): 111,172×7.3252≈ ¥814,690111,172×7.3252≈ ¥814,690111,172×7.3252≈ ¥814,690 ✅ Final conclusion: According to the latest Polymarket forecast market data and weighted calculations, the highest price of Bitcoin in 2025 is expected to reach: approximately US$111,172, equivalent to approximately RMB 815,000. Market consensus is still bullish, but luck and miracles still need to go hand in hand after exceeding one million yuan. You are welcome to use this set of numbers to slap the future in the face. Note: This article is for reference only. Investing in crypto assets is extremely risky, please make prudent decisions.