Analysis of Bitcoin Early Trading Market on September 16 #Bitcoin#Blockchain#Correspondence Circle#Transaction#Financial#Finance#Ethereum#Bull Market

BTC's market trend today: Macro information: Gold broke through a record high of $3,672, and the market expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points this week; Michael Saylor's company Strategy increased its holdings by 525 BTC, with a position of 638,985 BTC (worth $73 billion). 📈 Today's market judgment: oscillating is too long💡 Core reason: Technical long and short interweaving: The 4-hour chart shows that StochRSI (1-49) bullish arrangement, but KDJ forms a death cross (1-49 range), and MACD maintains the short-term short-term short-term short-term short-term adjustment pressure; it stands firm in the 60-day, 120-day, and 240-day moving averages in the medium and long term, supporting the US$114,000-115,000 range (Coinglass data). Market sentiment differentiation: Most KOLs are bullish in the long term (Arthur Hayes predicts $200,000 and Pantera Capital target $750,000), but there is pressure to take profits in the short term, with a key resistance near $116,500 (views by X platform analyst Tai Bai). On-chain funding trends: Institutions continue to increase their holdings (Strategy, Fidelity ETF inflows of 2,703 BTC per day), but the whale address transfers 1,176 BTC (about US$136 million) to Hyperliquid, which may trigger short-term selling pressure (Lookonchain data). 📊 Key data reference: Latest price: USD 115,028.25 (Binance, updated 10 seconds ago) Support level: First support 114,885 USD / Second support 114,459 USD Resistance level: First resistance 115,471 USD / Second resistance 116,000 USD Market sentiment: Positive (68%)▰▰▰▰▰▰▰▰▰▰▱▱▱ On-chain capital flow: Institutional net inflow of USD 602 ​​million (24 hours, CoinGecko data) 🛠 Operation suggestions: Stable traders: Mainly wait-and-see. If they stabilize near USD 114,500, they can try long with a light position and stop loss of 112,500 USD (breaking below key support), take profit target of USD 116,500 (the strongest resistance). Aggressive traders: Go long with a light position below US$115,500, increase your position after breaking through US$115,500, stop loss of US$114,000, and take profit of US$117,000 (near the previous high). ⚠️ Risk warning: Short-term fluctuation risk: There are a large number of profitable orders above US$116,000. If the trading volume fails to cooperate, a false breakthrough may occur and then a pullback may occur. Impact of macro events: The market may maintain fluctuations before the FOMC meeting on Thursday, and we need to be wary of the rise in volatile caused by policy expectations. Whale Funding Movement: Single large transfers (such as 1,176 BTC transfers to exchanges) may intensify short-term price fluctuations (Lookonchain Monitor). --- The above information is processed by AI big data, for reference only, and is not used as a basis for trading, and you will be responsible for your own profits and losses.