XRP Could Push Past the Short-term Range Highs Soon

In a recent report, it was highlighted that XRP registered a neutral MVRV score, but also an elevated NVT metric. These conflicting signals showed that although the altcoin aligned with accumulation phases from the past

Recent data showed that XRP registered a neutral MVRV score but also an elevated NVT metric. These conflicting signals showed that although the altcoin aligned with accumulation phases from the past, its network utility has not been expanding as rapidly as the price.

According to a recent report by Glassnode, the MVRV ratio, which compares the market value of XRP to its realized value, stood at -0.74. This reading aligned with historical ranges that were typically seen during market bottoms and phases of accumulation.

However, despite the MVRV signals, the NVT ratio, which measures the network value compared to the total transaction volume, stood at 7.8. This reading was elevated compared to historical norms. In the past, such high NVT scores were usually observed during phases of irrational exuberance, which were often followed by sharp price corrections.

Together, these mixed signals indicated that while XRP’s price action aligned with past instances of bottom formations and accumulations, the expansion of network utility was not keeping pace with the rate of price increase.

XRP price action

According to cryptocurrency market data, XRP could break out of the short-term range highs soon. After bouncing back from the lows of 2024 and breaking out of the descending trendline resistance (white), the token has been on a steady uptrend. It has set consistent higher highs and higher lows since mid-April. Additionally, the OBV has also been on an uptrend.

Image Source: XRP/USDT on TradingView.com

This showed that buying volume has been greater than the selling volume over the past four months. Together, these observations suggest that the slow recovery of XRP was backed by steady demand.

The moving averages showed that momentum was bullish and marked out dynamic support levels.

The MACD agreed with the bullish momentum’s finding, but it was on the verge of making a bearish crossover above the zero line. This would signal a slowdown in the upward momentum.

The Fibonacci retracement levels at $2.47 and $2.7 were the next key resistance levels. They underlined that the apparent recovery of XRP over the past month might just be a pullback before the next leg south, as seen from higher-timeframe price charts.

Image Source: XRP/USDT on TradingView.com

The 4-hour chart revealed a range formation between $2.3 and $2.44. Over the past couple of days, the range high has rebuffed the bulls, while the mid-range level at $2.37 has served as a solid support. It may be possible that XRP would oscillate between these levels over the next week as well.

However, it must be noted that the bullish momentum of Bitcoin [BTC] could spur XRP higher. In the last few hours, BTC has shot past the $104.8k short-term resistance. On the other hand, the low trading volume implied that traders could wait for a high volume move to make their decision.

Image Source: Coinglass

The 2-week liquidation heatmap highlighted the region below the range lows, at $2.26, as the next magnetic zone of note. However, it is still unclear if XRP would push lower, since the $2.37-level was a sturdy short-term support.

The upward BTC momentum might push XRP higher. In that case, the short liquidations around $2.46 could fuel XRP gains. Traders should be prepared for either scenario, with a northbound move appearing more likely at press time.