The long-term impact of Trump's tariff policy: the end of the Kondratieff cycle and the qualitative change of Bitcoin

In many panels and meetings, everyone asked questions and thought about how Trump's tariff policy would affect the Crypto market and the price of Bitcoin.

The long-term impact of Trump’s tariff policy: the end of the Kondratieff cycle and the qualitative change of Bitcoin

In many panels and meetings, everyone asked questions and thought about how Trump’s tariff policy would affect the Crypto market and the price of Bitcoin.

Many people believe that Trump’s tariff policy is one of the key factors that led to the current economic downturn and the emergence of the new bull market in the cryptocurrency market. However, few people have analyzed the essence of Trump’s tariff policy and its impact on the long-term trends of the economy and cryptocurrency markets.

From a macro perspective, Trump’s tariff policy can be seen as an attempt to shift the Kondratieff cycle and create a new economic order. The Kondratieff cycle is a long-term economic cycle that lasts for 50 to 60 years and is characterized by periods of rapid technological advance and economic growth, followed by periods of stagnation and decline.

According to the Russian economist Kondratiev, each complete cycle of technological revolution and economic prosperity can be divided into four stages:

* The first stage is the stage of rapid technological advance and economic growth, which is usually driven by a new technology or invention.

* The second stage is the stage of broad diffusion of the new technology and the formation of a new economic paradigm, which leads to sustained economic expansion and a rise in living standards.

* The third stage is the stage of technological exhaustion and economic slowdown, as the new technology reaches its limits and the economic expansion begins to wane.

* The fourth stage is the stage of economic crisis and technological regression, which marks the end of the Kondratieff cycle and paves the way for a new cycle to begin.

Since the 18th century, the world has experienced five Kondratieff cycles. The first cycle was driven by the textile industry and began around 1770. The second cycle was driven by the steam engine and began around 1830. The third cycle was driven by electricity and began around 1890. The fourth cycle was driven by the internal combustion engine and mass production and began around 1930. The fifth cycle was driven by information technology and began around 1980.

Each Kondratieff cycle has brought about significant changes in the economic, social, and political landscape of the world. For example, the first Kondratieff cycle saw the rise of the industrial revolution, the second Kondratieff cycle saw the emergence of the nation-state, and the third Kondratieff cycle saw the integration of the global economy.

The current Kondratieff cycle is drawing to a close, and we are already seeing signs of a new cycle emerging. This new cycle will be driven by artificial intelligence, blockchain technology, and other emerging technologies.

Trump’s tariff policy can be seen as an attempt to intervene in the Kondratieff cycle and shift the economic power from China to the United States. By imposing tariffs on Chinese goods, Trump aimed to increase the competitiveness of American products and jobs.

However, Trump’s tariff policy also had several negative consequences. For example, it led to higher prices for consumers, reduced economic activity, and strained relations between the United States and China.

Ultimately, Trump’s tariff policy was a desperate attempt to defer the inevitable—the end of the Kondratieff cycle and the qualitative change of Bitcoin.

As the Kondratieff cycle winds down, we can expect to see a return of inflation, a decline in economic activity, and an increase in social unrest. In this environment, Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies will become increasingly attractive as a hedge against inflation and economic uncertainty.

We are already seeing signs of this trend. In recent months, Bitcoin has soared to new all-time highs, while the stock market has become increasingly volatile.

The long-term impact of Trump’s tariff policy will be felt for many years to come. It is still too early to say what this impact will be, but it is clear that this policy will have a significant impact on the global economy and the cryptocurrency market.

Trump’s tariff policy was a desperate attempt to defer the inevitable—the end of the Kondratieff cycle and the qualitative change of Bitcoin. However, this policy only served to deepen the economic crisis and hasten the downfall of the U.S. empire.

Only Bitcoin can save humanity from the impending doom. As the saying goes, "Only I, Trump, can save America." But in this case, it should be "Only Bitcoin can save humanity." Let us hope that humanity will make the right choice.