Dogecoin (DOGE) Price Could See Further Declines As Open Interest Falls 24%

The total open interest of any asset can help to narrow down what traders are doing when it comes to a coin, and Dogecoin is no different.

The total open interest of an asset can be used to gauge the activity of traders in a particular coin, including Dogecoin. A rise or fall in open interest over a period of time can be significant as traders choose to enter or exit positions in an asset. In the case of Dogecoin, a recent decline in open interest could have some implications for the future direction of the DOGE price.

Tracking Open Interest

According to data from Coinglass, the Dogecoin open interest has fallen by 24% in the last week alone. This figure is calculated from July 18, when the open interest stood at $707 million, and into August, with a total open interest value of $420 million.

This decline in Dogecoin open interest follows the market crash that saw the crypto market cap drop below $1 trillion and the DOGE price fall to below $0.09 by Monday. The chart shows a drastic reduction in the number of open positions, indicating a reduced interest in keeping positions open.

However, this is not the lowest that the Dogecoin open interest has fallen this year. But it is noteworthy given the current market conditions, with the Dogecoin price erasing most of its gains from last year and pushing back toward February 2024 lows.

Dogecoin Price Correlation

The correlation between the Dogecoin price and open interest has become more evident with this crash. In the time that the open interest has fallen by 24%, the Dogecoin price has seen a around 40% decrease in price.

Historical data could be used to deduce what might be next for Dogecoin, given the correlation between open interest and the Dogecoin price. For instance, the last time that the Dogecoin open interest saw a sharp drop, the price followed suit.

In March 2024, the DOGE open interest peaked at $2.21 billion, and the price also saw its highest level so far this year. Following this, there was a crash in open interest and the DOGE price went from $0.22 to $0.18 alongside it, all within the month of March.

This suggests that a rise in open interest would be a positive sign for a recovery in the Dogecoin price. If the open interest were to flatten out from here, the Dogecoin price could enter a phase of consolidation that might see it trade around the $0.08 level for some time.

Ultimately, a recovery in the Bitcoin price would likely drive a recovery in the Dogecoin price, given their close correlation. In this case, a market-wide rally would see Dogecoin follow, breaking the current bearish trend.