Bitcoin Rebounds as Trump's Trade War Comments Ignite Market Rally

Bybit, the world's second-largest cryptocurrency exchange by trading volume, has released its latest weekly crypto derivatives analytics report

DUBAI, UAE, April 28, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- Bybit, the world’s second-largest cryptocurrency exchange by trading volume, has launched a new weekly crypto derivatives analysis report in partnership with Block Scholes. The report provides insights into the market trends and trader sentiment during the period, highlighting a shift in mood following upbeat remarks from US President Trump on trade negotiations with China, which coincided with a broad rally in both crypto and equity markets.

Earlier last week, Bitcoin showed signs of decoupling from US equities. Following the announcement of a 145% tariff on Chinese goods and comments from Trump, BTC climbed by more than 7% from April 21, 2025, alongside broader risk assets. Short-tenor implied volatility rose, and put-call skew turned upward by 5%, indicating that traders had been positioning for further gains at the time.

Perpetual open interest rises across tokens

Perpetual futures open interest climbed significantly by 20% last week, particularly for ETH. Trading volumes also increased, with April 7, 2025 recording the highest daily volume for the month. The spike followed Trump’s comment: "Forget markets for a second, we have all the advantages."

BTC option open interest shows a mixed picture; put-call skew in short tenor sends positive signals

President Trump’s recent willingness to negotiate a trade deal with China’s President Xi triggered a relief rally across asset classes, including crypto. Bitcoin had already risen 7% since Apr 21, 2025 prior to Trump’s comments. Despite this rally, open interest in puts has outpaced calls, with options volume remaining relatively balanced.

It’s unclear if the demand for puts reflects a hedge against downside risks, or a bet against the upward movement. Meanwhile, perpetual funding rates are providing limited insight into sentiment. However, the recovery of the put-call skew at short tenors indicates that traders are seeking upside exposure to the rally — and are willing to pay for it.

ETH outperforms BTC by 1% in the past week, signals rebound expectations

ETH led last week’s rally in spot markets — a rare occurrence in past relief rallies. Options data shows ETH calls nearly double puts in open interest, with calls also dominating volume. This suggests traders expect ETH to close its recent performance gap with BTC and competing chains like SUI and SOL. ETH’s term structure also inverted again, reflecting expectations of near-term price action.

Access the Full Report

For detailed insights, readers may download the full report.

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