Bitcoin (BTC) Price Is Less Correlated To On-Chain Activity, Firm Alphractal Suggests

Crypto analytics platform Alphractal has weighed in on how and why this is possible for the flagship cryptocurrency.

Historically, the Bitcoin (BTC) price is an indicator of the blockchain’s health, with high activity often correlating with strong and positive price action. However, the largest cryptocurrency market seems to have witnessed a significant shift, with prices now less responsive to changes in on-chain activity.

For instance, the Bitcoin price continues to hold above $95,000 and looks set to reclaim the $100,000 level despite the sustained dip in blockchain activity. An on-chain analytics firm has now weighed in on how and why this is possible for the flagship cryptocurrency.

Why BTC Price Is Less Correlated To On-Chain Activity

Crypto analytics platform Alphractal shared in a new post on X the major reasons why the Bitcoin price has managed to stay afloat despite transaction volume and active addresses being at low levels. According to the firm, BTC’s price rise doesn’t necessarily correlate to increased blockchain usage.

Firstly, Alphractal acknowledged that the Bitcoin market experienced a dynamic shift when the US spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) were approved in January 2024. The value of BTC is now being driven by capital inflows through these financial products rather than blockchain activity.

The on-chain firm also mentioned that the historically low volatility in the market has had a major part to play in the low Bitcoin network activity. With relatively little price movement, traders are less incentivized to take new positions, leading to lower on-chain activity.

Additionally, Alphractal mentioned that the Bitcoin price has been kept afloat largely by the activities of speculative traders through derivatives and other financial instruments. As a result, there has been a reduced everyday adoption and limited practical demand for the Bitcoin network.

Alphractal also alluded to the macroeconomic uncertainty that has clouded the global financial markets in recent weeks. According to the on-chain analytics firm, this market condition, even though improving, has most investors waiting for clearer bullish signals before making any move.

Finally, Alphractal highlighted artificial exchange volumes amongst the main reasons for the Bitcoin price staying afloat. “Some exchange volume may be inflated, creating a misleading sense of activity while real network usage stays modest,” the on-chain platform added.

Bitcoin Price At A Glance

As of this writing, the price of BTC stands at around $96,150, reflecting an over 1% decline in the past 24 hours. Despite the choppy price action this weekend, the premier cryptocurrency is still up by nearly 2% on the weekly timeframe, according to data from CoinGecko.