Bitcoin (BTC) Price Analysis: What's the Outlook After Approaching the $100,000 Threshold?

Bitcoin recorded a decline of 5% after approaching the $100,000 threshold. Let's now examine the outlook for BTC.

Bitcoin price dropped by 6% last week after nearing the $100,000 threshold. Here's a closer look at BTC's outlook.

Bitcoin (BTC) Price ActionAfter peaking at $93,400, Bitcoin went through a consolidation phase, which it recently cleared. This move allowed Bitcoin to set a new all-time high at $99,661. Notably, this price level corresponds to the fourth resistance level on the monthly pivot points. While this threshold wasn't reached in the spot market, it's worth mentioning that Bitcoin futures contracts surpassed the psychological barrier of $100,000.

However, following this brief consolidation, buying interest wasn't sustained, leading to a decline of around 6% in its price at the start of the last week of November. The cryptocurrency fell back below the resistance zone, which is valued at $98,400.

At the time of writing this piece, Bitcoin's price is hovering around $93,700. BTC's short-term trend has shifted back to bearish, while its medium and long-term trends remain resolutely bullish. This observation is supported by the positioning of the 50 and 200-day moving averages, which remain oriented and crossed to the upside.

On the bullish momentum side of the cryptocurrency, we note a slight weakness through the oscillators, but nothing out of the ordinary. Indeed, it's important to recall that Bitcoin recently benefited from a strong bullish momentum, which is often followed by slight corrections, a phenomenon that's quite common.

This technical analysis was carried out in collaboration with Elie FT, an investor and trader passionate about the cryptocurrency market. Today a trainer at Family Trading, a community of thousands of active self-traders since 2017. You will find Lives, educational content, and support around financial markets in a professional and friendly atmosphere.

Focus on Derivatives (BTC/USDT)The open interest of BTC/USDT perpetual contracts evolved in phase with the price of its underlying asset, reflecting a relatively healthy market, with speculative interest mainly oriented towards buying. These observations are corroborated by a financing rate that remained positive. However, a divergence is observed on the CVD side compared to these indicators, suggesting notable selling interest on market orders. As for liquidations, they remained insignificant but indicate a gradual capitulation of buyers.

The heat map of liquidations of BTC/USDT perpetual contracts highlights significant value zones on either side of its current price. Above, a notable zone appears around $100,000. Below, a larger zone is identified between $92,500 and $90,000, even down to $85,000. Lower down, a zone around $80,000 is noteworthy, although the most important is around $75,000 and $74,000. If the price approaches these levels, this could trigger a large number of orders, thereby increasing the risk of volatility for the cryptocurrency. These zones therefore constitute crucial points of interest for investors.

Bitcoin Price (BTC) ForecastIt's important to note that reaching a new all-time high makes it more difficult to identify resistance levels.

ConclusionBitcoin recently went through a consolidation phase and a slight correction after a period of strong progression, indicating a loss of momentum in the short term. Although this may seem concerning, it's important to note that the medium and long-term trends remain clearly bullish, supported by technical indicators. This type of correction, typical of market cycles after significant movements, suggests a potential recovery in a favorable long-term context. It will therefore be crucial to closely monitor price reactions at key levels to validate or adjust the current forecasts. Finally, let's remember that these analyses are based solely on technical criteria, and the price of cryptocurrencies can evolve quickly depending on other more fundamental factors.

Maximize your Cointribune experience with our "Read to Earn" program! For every article you read, earn points and access exclusive rewards. Sign up now and start earning benefits.Family Trading is a Community of self-traders active since 2017 offering Lives, educational content and entraides around financial markets including that of cryptocurrencies with Elie FT, an investor and passionate trader in the crypto market at its side.