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Cryptocurrency News Articles

Bitcoin (BTC) Bull Run Predicted to Start in Q3 2024, Historical Patterns Suggest

Jul 09, 2024 at 09:20 pm

CryptoQuant analyst predicts a Bitcoin bull run starting in Q3 2024 based on on-chain data. Historical trends from 2016 and 2020 show similar profitability

Bitcoin (BTC) Bull Run Predicted to Start in Q3 2024, Historical Patterns Suggest

CryptoQuant's analysis reveals a unique pattern in Bitcoin's price movements that occurs only once within a bull cycle. This indicator, miners' profitability, has shown to be a valuable tool in predicting the end of correction periods within bull markets.

According to CryptoQuant's analysis, an opportunity arises once within a bull cycle. This indicator fell significantly during the bull cycles in 2016 and 2020, which were followed by the beginnings of Bitcoin's strong price increases. Currently, similar movements have been detected.

This indicator, highlighted by Crypto Dan (@DanCoinInvestor), is typically used to identify the bottom of a bear market; however, it also proves useful for predicting the end of correction periods within bull markets.

Highlighting the instances where miners' profitability drops sharply within a bull cycle, leading to a significant price increase in Bitcoin, the data shows that in both 2016 and 2020, this indicator fell substantially, followed by the start of Bitcoin’s powerful upward movement.

Now, zooming out to get a better view of the complete bull cycles, we can see a pattern emerging. This indicator also showed signs of reaching its end during the bull cycles in 2016 and 2020.

Although pinpointing the exact end of the adjustment period is difficult, the data suggests that it is not far away. The current trend indicates that we may witness the beginning of a new bull rally within Q3 of 2024.

In other news, blockchain analytical platform Santiment recently reported on the decreasing number of non-empty Bitcoin wallets, which now stand at 54.09 million. Since June 15, there has been a net decrease of 566,000 wallets.

According to Santiment, this recent decline is a positive sign for patient bulls. This decrease in wallets is largely due to self-liquidation by impatient non-believers, which usually bodes well for FUD-driven market bottoms, like the one we saw in January.

Non-empty Bitcoin wallets on the network have dropped by 566,000 since June 15, now at 54.09M. This period of self-liquidation is a sign of FUD-causing market bottoms, like the one we saw in January. Could this be the final sweep before a bull rally? ? pic.twitter.com/h2jK9YvCf9

Furthermore, Santiment reports that both the 30-day and 365-day Bitcoin Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) indicators are currently in negative territory. This signals a buying opportunity, as it shows that current purchases are being made when other traders are experiencing losses. Notably, the last time both MVRP ratios were negative, investors who bought Bitcoin at the time saw a 132% return.

As of now, Bitcoin is trading at $57,249, reflecting a surge of 0.4% in the last 24 hours.

Original source:coinpedia

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