Altcoin Season Index Dips Below 25, Suggesting Bitcoin Season Despite Recent Altcoin Run

The Altcoin Season Index, which measures the performance of the top altcoins against Bitcoin over 90 days

Crypto Rover shared two separate charts on X, both showing some interesting turns of events. The first one is something that everyone has been talking about lately – the altcoin season. It shows the Altcoin Season Index, which measures the performance of the top altcoins against Bitcoin over 90 days. This particular one is from Blockchaincenter.net, and it measures the 50 top-performing altcoins without including any stablecoins or asset-backed tokens.

Regarding the Altcoin Season Index, an official altcoin season happens if 75% of the top 50 altcoins performed better than Bitcoin over the last 90 days. To put it simply, a score above 75 on the index signifies altcoins season, while a score below 25 indicates Bitcoin season.

Interestingly enough, the Altcoin Season Index is below 25, suggesting a Bitcoin season, but the poster warns against being fooled by this. There might be some merit to that claim, considering that recently, altcoins have been having a great run. For instance, according to CoinMarketCap, altcoins now account for 42.5% of the total cryptocurrency market capitalization, up from 38.2% a week earlier, while Bitcoin’s market share has decreased to 54.3% during the same period.

Additionally, the total market capitalization of altcoins has surged by 12.7% over the last seven days, reaching $1.18 trillion. Most of the major altcoins have seen huge price increases up to 40%, in addition to having a big boost in trading volumes. Namely, ETH recorded a 24-hour trading volume of $28.4 billion, which is 18% more than the previous day.

This brings us to the second chart, which is more Bitcoin-related. Two days ago, a sharp negative spike in Bitcoin’s exchange netflow on Binance occurred, with approximately 35,000 BTC being withdrawn from the platform (approximate value was $3.5 billion at the time).

This could suggest a potential shift in investor behavior, possibly indicating accumulation by large holders or institutions moving assets to cold storage. However, it can also coincide with the altcoin season, as whales withdrawing Bitcoin may be seen as them planning to diversify into altcoins.

These withdrawals reduce BTC’s immediate exchange liquidity, potentially limiting downside while fueling altcoin pumps.

Naturally, this is all speculation at the moment, and we’ll probably know better in the upcoming days and weeks. That said, a lot of crypto enthusiasts think the altcoin season is just around the corner, and there’s no denying most altcoins are doing rather well at the moment.