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XRP的最新拉力赛尝试停滞在关键体积加权平均价格(VWAP)水平之下

2025/05/20 21:30

XRP的最新拉力赛尝试停滞在关键体积加权的平均价格(VWAP)水平下,该水平追溯到资产的历史最高水平

XRP的最新拉力赛尝试停滞在关键体积加权平均价格(VWAP)水平之下

The latest rally attempt by XRP has stalled just beneath a key volume-weighted average price (VWAP) level that traces back to the asset’s all-time high, according to an X market update published earlier today by independent trader Dom (@traderview2).

根据独立Trader Dom(@traderview2)今天发布的X市场更新,XRP的最新试图停滞在关键体积加权的平均价格(VWAP)水平下,该价格追溯到资产的历史最高水平。

The 12-hour Binance chart shared by the analyst shows XRP/USDT changing hands at $2.4375 by 12:18 UTC-4, up 2.08 % on the session but still unable to reclaim what Dom labels the “ATH VWAP”—a long-term metric drawn from the April 2021 peak. A green band representing that average is currently drifting downward through ≈ $2.47, capping every intraday advance since mid-May.

分析师共享的12小时二进制图表显示,XRP/USDT以2.4375的价格换手,到12:18 UTC-4,在会议上上涨了2.08%,但仍无法收回DOM标签“ ATH VWAP”的标签,这是从2021年4月的2021年4月提出的长期度量。一支代表该平均水平的绿色乐队目前正在向下漂移至≈2.47美元,自5月中旬以来的每一个盘中前进。

There’s simply been an overload of market selling and passive buyers have really tried their best to hold it up so far.

市场销售量过多,被动买家确实尽了最大的努力来持续到目前为止。

We are also seeing some good, healthy buying interest in the lower price ranges (especially in the $2.20s–$2.30s). But ultimately, the sellers are winning this time.

我们还看到了较低的价格范围(尤其是2.20美元 - $ 2.30)的良好健康购买兴趣。但最终,卖家这次赢得了胜利。

— Dom (@traderview2) August 9, 2023

- Dom(@traderview2)2023年8月9日

The seller’s footprint is also unmistakable as we move lower in the same chart. “There’s simply been an overload of market selling and passive buyers have really tried their best to hold it up so far,” Dom wrote, citing proprietary order-flow statistics that record a net outflow of 240 million XRP across spot venues in the past week. Roughly 180 million of those units were allegedly dumped on Coinbase (NASDAQ:COIN) and South Korean exchange Upbit, while Binance has actually been decently flat, the post adds.

卖方的足迹也是明确的,因为我们在同一张图表中移动较低。 Dom写道:“根本已经有大量的市场销售,被动买家确实尽了最大的努力来坚持下去。”在过去一周中,专有订单流量统计数据记录了2.4亿XRP的净流出。该帖子补充说,据称其中约有1.8亿个单位被丢弃在Coinbase(NASDAQ:COIN)和韩国交易所Upbit上,而Binance实际上是相当平坦的。

The same chart plots two shorter-term anchored VWAPs that have become the coin’s last line of near-term support: a one-month rolling VWAP at $2.31, currently 5.22% below the session high (orange), and a three-month VWAP at $2.28, 6.40 % lower (cyan).

同一张图表绘制了两个较短的锚定VWAP,它们已成为硬币的近期支持的最后一行:一个月的滚动VWAP为$ 2.31,目前低于会话高(橙色)的5.22%,而三个月的VWAP则以$ 2.28,低2.28,6.40%降低(cyan)。

“It does appear that we are hanging on to the monthly and quarterly VWAP by a thread,” Dom warns. A decisive breach of those bands around $2.31–2.33 would leave the market “really just mid-range noise until … $2.20 is lost,” he adds, pointing to the December–February midpoint drawn on the left-hand volume profile.

Dom警告说:“似乎我们正在通过线程挂在每月和季度的VWAP上。”他补充说,对这些乐队的决定性违反了2.31–2.33美元,这将使市场“真的只是中档噪音,直到……2.20美元损失。”

While Bitcoin (BTC) has been “really just bouncing around” in a broad consolidation zone, the correlation has offered little relief to XRP bulls. Every minor rise in BTC has been met by fresh spot offers in XRP, underscoring what Dom calls the “very hard to see upward moves when we are seeing this type of market selling pressure.”

虽然比特币(BTC)在广泛的合并区域“真的只是在弹跳”,但这种相关性几乎没有减轻XRP公牛。 XRP中的Fresh Spot报价都达到了BTC的每一次小幅上升,强调了Dom所说的“当我们看到这种类型的市场销售压力时,很难向上移动”。

For now, the technical chessboard is clear: reclaim the ATH VWAP and the path opens toward the late-March swing high above $3.00; lose $2.20 and the door swings the other way, toward the confluence of high-volume nodes stacked below $2.00. Until one of those barriers gives, the analyst concludes, XRP “has lost its pep in its step” and remains caught in a tug-of-war between relentless spot sellers and a thinning layer of passive bids.

目前,技术棋盘很清楚:收回Ath VWAP,这条路通向3月后期高于$ 3.00的后期秋千;损失$ 2.20,而门的另一个方式向前挥动,朝着低于$ 2.00的高量节点的汇合。分析师得出结论,直到其中一个障碍给出的障碍,XRP“在其步骤中失去了PEP”,并且仍陷入无情的现场卖家和被动竞标薄层之间的拔河比赛中。

At press time, XRP traded at $2.36.

发稿时,XRP的交易价格为2.36美元。

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