XRP，Dogecoin，Cardano ETFS：我们在那里吗？

彭博分析师对SEC批准的XRP，Dogecoin和Cardano ETF越来越有信心。是什么推动了这种乐观，对市场意味着什么？

Hold onto your hats, crypto enthusiasts! The buzz around XRP, Dogecoin, and Cardano ETFs is getting louder. Are we finally on the verge of seeing these altcoins join Bitcoin and Ethereum in the ETF arena?

抓住您的帽子，加密爱好者！ XRP，Dogecoin和Cardano ETF周围的嗡嗡声越来越大。我们终于濒临看到这些山寨币在ETF竞技场加入比特币和以太坊吗？

Optimism Surges for Altcoin ETF Approvals

altcoin ETF批准的乐观激增

Top Bloomberg ETF analysts James Seyffart and Eric Balchunas have significantly raised their expectations for spot crypto ETF approvals, citing increased engagement with the SEC as a key factor. They now estimate a whopping 90% chance for most spot crypto ETF filings to get the green light, including those for XRP, Dogecoin, and Cardano. This optimism stems from the SEC's recent actions, including acknowledging 19b-4 forms and seemingly viewing these altcoins as commodities.

顶级彭博ETF分析师詹姆斯·塞夫特（James Seyffart）和埃里克·巴尔库纳斯（Eric Balchunas）显着提高了对现货加密ETF批准的期望，理由是与SEC的参与成为关键因素。现在，他们估计大多数现场加密ETF文件获得绿灯的机会高达90％，包括XRP，Dogecoin和Cardano的绿灯。这种乐观源于SEC最近的行动，包括承认19b-4形式，看似将这些山寨币视为商品。

Seyffart tweeted, "Eric Balchunas & I are raising our odds for the vast majority of the spot crypto ETF filings to 90% or higher. Engagement from the SEC is a very positive sign in our opinion."

Seyffart在推特上说：“ Eric Balchunas＆i正在为绝大多数现货加密ETF申请提出的几率提高到90％或更高。在我们看来，SEC的参与是一个非常积极的信号。”

What's Driving the Change?

是什么推动了变化？

Several factors are contributing to this shift in sentiment. The successful launch of spot Bitcoin ETFs earlier in 2024 paved the way, demonstrating investor appetite for regulated crypto investment products. Furthermore, the appointment of Paul Atkins as the new SEC chair in April, who has promised a more lenient approach to digital assets, has further fueled optimism.

有几个因素导致了这种情绪转变。 2024年早些时候成功推出了现货比特币ETF，这表明了投资者对受监管的加密投资产品的需求。此外，4月份任命保罗·阿特金斯（Paul Atkins）为新的SEC主席，他承诺对数字资产采取更宽松的方法，这进一步激发了乐观。

The existence of Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC)-regulated futures markets for many of these assets also strengthens the case for ETF approval.

商品期货贸易委员会（CFTC）受调节的期货市场的存在也加强了ETF批准的案例。

XRP Leads the Charge (Maybe)

XRP领导（也许）

While all three are in the spotlight, XRP seems to be generating particular buzz. Prediction markets like Polymarket show a surge in confidence for an XRP ETF approval by the end of the year, with odds reaching 90%. However, the SEC delayed its decision on the Grayscale Cardano Spot ETF application. While there's still a delay in approving the spot XRP ETF in the US, the 3iQ XRP ETF was launched on the Toronto Stock Exchange on Wednesday.

虽然这三个都是聚光灯，但XRP似乎正在生成特定的嗡嗡声。诸如Polymarket之类的预测市场表明，到今年年底，对XRP ETF批准的信心激增，赔率达到90％。但是，SEC推迟了其对Cardano Cardano Spot ETF应用程序的决定。尽管在美国批准了XRP ETF的位置仍然存在延迟，但3IQ XRP ETF周三在多伦多证券交易所发射。

The Impact of ETF Approval

ETF批准的影响

The approval of XRP, Dogecoin, and Cardano ETFs could have a transformative impact on the crypto market. It would allow mainstream investors to gain exposure to these altcoins through traditional stock exchanges, without the need to directly manage crypto wallets. This could unlock significant institutional capital and drive further adoption of these digital assets.

XRP，Dogecoin和Cardano ETF的批准可能会对加密货币市场产生变革性的影响。这将使主流投资者能够通过传统的证券交易所获得这些山寨币的曝光率，而无需直接管理加密钱包。这可以释放大量的机构资本，并推动这些数字资产的进一步采用。

A Word of Caution

谨慎

While the outlook is promising, it's important to remember that regulatory approvals are never guaranteed. The SEC could still delay or reject these applications. For example, the SEC said it would take an extra 35 days to decide whether to accept or reject Franklin Templeton’s spot XRP filing.

尽管前景是有希望的，但重要的是要记住，监管部门永远不会得到保证。 SEC仍然可以延迟或拒绝这些申请。例如，美国证券交易委员会（SEC）表示，要决定是接受还是拒绝富兰克林·邓普顿（Franklin Templeton）的XRP申请，需要额外的35天。

So, When Will It Happen?

那么，什么时候会发生？

Analysts suggest that approvals could arrive within weeks or closer to final deadlines later this year, with most applications facing SEC decisions in October and November. The next few months could be very important for getting ready for what could be the biggest crypto event of the year.

分析师建议，批准可以在今年晚些时候在数周或更接近最终期限内到达，大多数申请在10月和11月面临SEC的决定。接下来的几个月对于准备可能是一年中最大的加密赛事可能非常重要。

Final Thoughts

最后的想法

The potential approval of XRP, Dogecoin, and Cardano ETFs is an exciting development for the crypto industry. While uncertainties remain, the increasing optimism from analysts and the SEC's evolving stance suggest that we may be closer than ever to seeing these altcoins enter the mainstream investment world. Buckle up, folks – it's gonna be a wild ride!

XRP，Dogecoin和Cardano ETF的潜在认可是加密行业的一个令人兴奋的发展。尽管不确定性仍然存在，但分析师和SEC不断发展的立场的乐观情绪提高表明，我们可能比以往任何时候都更接近这些山寨币进入主流投资世界。搭扣，伙计们 - 这将是一个疯狂的旅程！