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加密货币新闻

SUI价格,波动性和大量解锁:该层1区块链的下一步是什么?

2025/07/02 17:38

分析最近的SUI令牌解锁及其对价格,波动性和投资者情绪的影响。 SUI会恢复其损失,还是在地平线上更加波动?

Sui Price, Volatility, and Massive Unlock: What's Next for This Layer-1 Blockchain?

SUI价格,波动性和大量解锁:该层1区块链的下一步是什么?

Sui's been a hot topic in the crypto sphere, especially with the recent token unlock event adding a layer of intrigue to its price action. Let's break down what's happening.

Sui一直是加密货币领域的热门话题,尤其是在最近的令牌解锁事件中为其价格行动增加了一层阴谋。让我们分解发生的事情。

Sui's Current Standing: A Mixed Bag

Sui目前的地位:一个混合的袋子

As of late June 2025, Sui (SUI) is trading around $2.81, showing a modest daily increase of 0.58% and a weekly gain of 3.39%. Trading volume has surged, jumping nearly 50% to over $906 million in 24 hours. This increased activity suggests renewed investor interest, but also hints at underlying concerns about the recent token unlock.

截至2025年6月下旬,SUI(SUI)的交易约为2.81美元,显示每日幅度不高0.58%,每周增长3.39%。交易量激增,在24小时内跃升了近50%,至9.06亿美元以上。这项增加的活动表明投资者的兴趣增加了,但也暗示了对最近的令牌解锁的根本关注。

The Massive Unlock: 44 Million Tokens Released

大量解锁:4400万个令牌发布

On July 1, 2025, the Sui Network executed a pre-scheduled unlock, releasing 44 million SUI tokens (worth about $77.35 million) into circulation. These tokens were distributed among Series B investors, the Community Reserve, Early Contributors, and the Mysten Labs Treasury. This unlock increased Sui’s circulating supply to approximately 3.45 billion tokens, representing roughly 34.46% of the total supply. Over half of the total supply remains locked, with another 5.22 billion tokens slated for future release.

2025年7月1日,SUI网络执行了预先安排的解锁,发行了4400万个SUI令牌(价值约7735万美元)。这些代币分布在B系列投资者,社区储备,早期贡献者和Mysten Labs财政部中。这种解锁将SUI的循环供应增加到约34.5亿个令牌,约占总供应量的34.46%。超过一半的总供应仍被锁定,另有52.2亿个代币计划将来发布。

Technical Analysis: Resistance and Support Levels

技术分析:抵抗和支持水平

Traders are closely watching the $2.90 resistance level. A daily close above this could signal a bullish breakout, potentially targeting $3.40 initially, with a further extension to $4.20. Sui has found support in the $2.45 to $2.70 range, bouncing back from these levels recently. However, the token is currently trading below key exponential moving averages (50 EMA at $2.82, 100 EMA at $2.98, and 200 EMA at $3.08) on the 8-hour chart. The MACD indicator shows bearish signals, suggesting downward momentum in the short term.

交易者正在密切关注$ 2.90的电阻水平。每天接近这一点可能标志着看涨的突破,最初可能针对3.40美元,进一步延长至4.20美元。 Sui在2.45美元至2.70美元的范围内找到了支持,最近从这些水平弹起。但是,该令牌目前在8小时的图表上以低于关键的指数移动平均值(50 EMA为$ 2.82,100 EMA,$ 2.98,$ 3.08)。 MACD指示器显示看跌信号,暗示在短期内向下势头。

Futures Market: Declining Interest

期货市场:兴趣下降

Open Interest in Sui futures has decreased significantly from a peak of $2.05 billion in May to $1.19 billion. This decline indicates reduced appetite among derivatives traders and generally signals bearish sentiment, especially in the absence of positive catalysts. Sui has lost about 37% of its value since hitting a high of $4.29 in May, influenced by broader market weakness and geopolitical jitters.

SUI期货的开放兴趣已从5月的20.5亿美元的峰值下降到11.9亿美元。这种下降表明衍生品交易者的食欲降低,通常表示看跌情绪,尤其是在没有阳性催化剂的情况下。自从5月达到4.29美元以来,SUI损失了其价值的37%,受到更广泛的市场疲软和地缘政治烦恼的影响。

Expert Opinions and Price Forecasts

专家意见和价格预测

Crypto analyst Sonia S. sold her SUI holdings at $4 following May’s Cetus protocol hack. Despite short-term concerns, she remains optimistic about Sui's long-term potential as a strong Layer-1 project, anticipating a return to $4 or higher post-summer. Price predictions for 2025 vary widely. DigitalCoinPrice projects a potential rise to $5.35-$6.18 by December 2025, while Changelly offers a more conservative estimate, forecasting a yearly high of $2.42.

加密分析师Sonia S.在5月的CETUS协议黑客攻击之后以4美元的价格出售了她的Sui Holdings。尽管有短期的担忧,但她仍然对Sui作为强大的Layer-1项目的长期潜力保持乐观,预计将恢复到4美元或更高的夏季夏季。 2025年的价格预测差异很大。 DigitalCoinPrice预计到2025年12月,可能会上涨至5.35-6.18美元,而Changelly提供了更保守的估计,预测每年的高价为2.42美元。

Personal Take: Is Sui Worth the Risk?

个人摄入:Sui值得冒险吗?

The recent token unlock has undoubtedly injected volatility into Sui's price action. While increased trading volume suggests interest, the declining futures market and bearish technical indicators raise caution. However, Sonia S.'s continued faith in Sui as a Layer-1 project, combined with a Total Value Locked near $2 billion, provides some reassurance. It really seems to be a matter of time and patience for the layer 1 protocol.

最近的令牌解锁无疑已将波动注入了SUI的价格行动。尽管增加的交易量表明利息,但期货市场下降和看跌技术指标引起了谨慎。但是,Sonia S.继续对SUI作为第1层项目的信念,再加上锁定在20亿美元的总价值,这给您带来了一些保证。对于第1层协议,这确实是时间和耐心问题。

The Bottom Line

底线

Sui's situation is complex. The massive unlock event is a double-edged sword, potentially creating both selling pressure and opportunities for accumulation. Whether Sui can weather the storm and return to its former glory remains to be seen. Keep an eye on that $2.90 resistance level, folks! It could be the key to unlocking Sui's next chapter. Good luck out there, and remember to always do your own research, ya hear?

Sui的情况很复杂。大规模的解锁活动是一把双刃剑,有可能既造成销售压力又产生了积累的机会。 Sui是否可以度过风暴并返回其以前的荣耀还有待观察。伙计们,请密切关注$ 2.90的电阻水平!这可能是解锁Sui下一章的关键。祝您好运,还记得总是自己的研究,您听到吗?

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