Solana（Sol）Price完成了“死亡交叉”模式，为潜在的下降以下100美元以下

自2024年2月以来，这可能会在短期内以低于100美元的速度降至100美元以下。

Solana (SOL) price completed a “death cross” on the one-day chart on March 12, as the altcoin consolidated near its long-term support level at $125.

Solana（Sol）Price在3月12日的为期一天的图表上完成了一个“死亡十字架”，因为Altcoin在其长期支持水平接近125美元的长期支持水平上合并。

This could potentially accelerate the SOL price sell-off in the near term for a drop below $100 for the first time since February 2024.

自2024年2月以来，这可能会在短期内以低于100美元的速度降至100美元以下。

Solana's 1-day chart. Source :TradingViewA death cross occurs when a bearish crossover occurs between the 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs), with the long-term indicator above the short-term indicator.

Solana的1天图表。资料来源：交易viewa死亡交叉发生在50天和200天简单的移动平均值（SMA）之间发生看跌式交叉时，长期指标高于短期指标。

Last month, the 50-day and 200-day exponential moving averages (EMAs) triggered a death cross on Solana’s one-day chart, after which prices dropped 17%, from $137 to $122.

上个月，50天和200天的指数式移动平均值（EMAS）引发了索拉纳（Solana）一日图上的死亡十字架，此后，价格从137美元下降到122美元。

While the SMA and EMA death crosses carry similar implications, the EMA triggers the death cross faster since it responds more quickly to price changes. A double death cross from the SMA and EMA will likely increase the possibility of a correction.

尽管SMA和EMA死亡杂交具有相似的含义，但EMA触发死亡的速度更快，因为它对价格变化的反应更快。 SMA和EMA的双重死亡交叉可能​​会增加校正的可能性。

Historically, the odds are neutral for Solana. Since its inception, SOL’s price has witnessed a death cross three times (including 2025) when prices have been on a 90-day or higher downtrend.

从历史上看，索拉纳的几率是中性的。自成立以来，索尔的价格已经见证了死亡人数三次（包括2025年），当时价格达到90天或更高的下降趋势。

The first death cross in 2022 triggered a 90% collapse, but the FTX’s fiasco escalated its severity. The second death cross occurred in September 2024, but it reversed within a month, leading to the Trump rally.

2022年的第一次死亡交叉引发了90％的崩溃，但FTX的惨败升级了其严重程度。第二个死亡十字架发生在2024年9月，但在一个月内扭转，导致特朗普集会。

But the current structure and sentiment mirror the 2022 death cross when we compare market conditions. On both occasions, a new all-time high preceded the downtrend, which led to the death cross.

但是，当我们比较市场状况时，当前的结构和情感反映了2022年死亡十字架。在两种情况下，新的历史最高高于下降趋势，这导致了死亡十字架。

As Cointelegraph reported, Solana’s revenue dropped 93% since January, dropping from $238 million to $32 million. This indicates a current lack of activity on Solana’s network after the end of the memecoin frenzy.

正如Cointelegraph所报道的那样，自1月以来，Solana的收入下降了93％，从2.38亿美元下降到3200万美元。这表明在Memecoin Frenzy结束后，目前在Solana网络上缺乏活动。

Can Solana traders defend $125?

索拉纳贸易商可以为$ 125辩护吗？

Based on its technicals, Solana remains in a tricky spot when comparing previous death cross returns and collective market sentiment.

根据其技术，Solana在比较先前的死亡交叉回报和集体市场情绪时仍然处于棘手的位置。

Solana must hold support between $125 and $110 for a bullish reversal. Since March 2024, SOL prices have rebounded six times after testing the support range, closing above $125 on each weekly retest.

Solana必须支付125美元至110美元的支持，以换取看涨的逆转。自2024年3月以来，SOL价格在测试支持范围后六次反弹，每周的重新测试收盘超过125美元。

A weekly close below $125 will signal market weakness, potentially increasing the likelihood of a drop below $100. The immediate price target after $110 is around $80 for Solana, which is a significant 30% correction. The downtrend target carries confluence with the weekly 0.5 Fibonacci retracement line.

每周的收盘价低于$ 125，将表明市场疲软，可能会增加跌至100美元以下的可能性。索拉纳（Solana）的$ 110后立即目标价格约为80美元，这是一个显着的30％更正。下降目标与每周0.5斐波那契反回接头线汇合。

Solana bullish divergences on the 1-day and 4-hour chart.

Solana在1天和4小时的图表上看涨了分歧。

However, the bulls will pin their hopes on a bullish divergence between the price and relative strength index (RSI) on the 1-day and 4-hour charts.

但是，公牛队将在1天和4小时的图表上将他们的希望寄托在价格和相对强度指数（RSI）之间的看涨差异。

If Solana manages to avoid another lower low, the divergences will remain valid, which can push prices higher above $125, enabling Solana to avoid a drop below $100 and possibly establish a bottom at $112.

如果Solana设法避免了另一个较低的低点，则分歧将保持有效，这可能会将价格提高到125美元以上，从而使Solana避免下降到100美元以下，并可能以112美元的价格确定底部。