索拉纳价格检查：看跌信号还是链链强度？

Solana的价格是降低的吗？我们剖析了看跌前景，OnChain数据以及对SOL意味着什么。

Solana (SOL) has been making waves, but lately, it's been a mixed bag. A potential price drop is on the horizon, but onchain data tells a different story. Let's dive into the details.

Solana（Sol）一直在浪潮，但最近，这是一个混合的袋子。潜在的价格下降即将到来，但OnChain数据讲述了另一个故事。让我们研究细节。

Bearish Outlook on the Daily Chart

每日图表上的看跌前景

The daily chart for SOL paints a somewhat grim picture. A bearish engulfing pattern has formed, suggesting a possible drop to $120. There's also a head-and-shoulders pattern, a classic bearish reversal signal. If SOL breaks below the $140 neckline with a surge in volume, we could see further downward movement. The downside target from this pattern is around $126.

SOL的每日图表描绘了一些严峻的图片。看跌的吞噬模式已经形成，这表明可能会降至120美元。还有一个头和露肩图案，是经典的看跌逆转信号。如果SOL在$ 140的领口中折断，音量增加了，我们可以看到进一步的下降移动。这种模式的缺点约为126美元。

However, there's a demand zone between $95 and $120 that could be tested in the coming weeks. Keep an eye on the $157 resistance level; a daily close above that could invalidate the bearish pattern.

但是，在接下来的几周内，有一个需求区域之间的需求区域之间可以进行测试。密切关注157美元的电阻水平；每天的近距离可能使看跌模式无效。

Bitcoin's Influence

比特币的影响

Solana has shown a strong correlation with Bitcoin (BTC). If BTC retests support near the $100,000 level (which, let's be honest, feels like a typo—hopefully, they meant a lower support level!), increased sell-side pressure could drag SOL down further.

Solana与比特币（BTC）显示了很强的相关性。如果BTC重新测试了100,000美元水平的支持（老实说，感觉就像是错字 - 希望，这意味着较低的支持水平！），卖方压力的增加可能会进一步拖延。

Onchain Data: A Ray of Hope?

OnChain数据：希望吗？

Despite the bearish technicals, onchain data offers a more optimistic perspective. The Network Value to Transactions Ratio (NVT) has dropped to its lowest score since February 2025, indicating strong network usage relative to its market value. This is a good sign for long-term potential, even with SOL's price under $150.

尽管有看跌技术，但OnChain数据提供了更加乐观的观点。自2025年2月以来，网络价值与交易比率（NVT）已下降到其最低分数，表明相对于其市场价值，网络使用强。即使Sol的价格低于150美元，这也是长期潜力的好兆头。

Additionally, exchange net position change data reveals consistent SOL withdrawals from exchanges. This suggests growing investor confidence, as holding SOL off exchanges often signals accumulation for future gains. While there's been a recent uptick in deposits (aligning with the price dip), the overall trend shows significant net outflows.

此外，交换净位置变化数据揭示了交换中的Sol提取一致。这表明投资者的信心越来越大，因为阻止SOL交流通常会为未来收益积累。尽管最近的存款上涨（与价格下跌保持一致），但总体趋势显示出明显的净流出。

Neo Pepe Coin's Rise: A Distraction?

Neo Pepe硬币的崛起：分心？

While Solana navigates these choppy waters, new projects like Neo Pepe Coin ($NEOP) are grabbing attention. $NEOP's presale has surpassed $1.3 million, attracting investors seeking potentially higher returns. The rise of $NEOP highlights a shift towards new digital assets and Layer-1 protocols, creating an interesting dynamic in the crypto space.

索拉纳（Solana）在这些波涛汹涌的水域中航行时，诸如Neo Pepe Coin（$ neop）之类的新项目引起了人们的关注。 $ NEOP的预售超过了130万美元，吸引了寻求更高回报的投资者。 $ neop的兴起突出了向新的数字资产和第1层协议的转变，在加密空间中创造了有趣的动态。

Final Thoughts

最后的想法

Solana's price faces potential headwinds, but underlying network activity and investor behavior suggest resilience. The bearish outlook is tempered by positive onchain data, making it a situation worth watching closely. Of course, the crypto market is never boring. Will SOL defy the bearish predictions, or will it succumb to the downward pressure? Only time (and the charts) will tell.

Solana的价格面临着潜在的逆风，但潜在的网络活动和投资者行为表明了韧性。看跌的前景受到积极的OnChain数据的调整，这使得它值得关注。当然，加密货币市场从来都不是无聊的。索尔会反对看跌的预测，还是会屈服于向下压力？只有时间（以及图表）会说明。