Polkadot (DOT) 价格预测：随着 DOT 重新测试 8.60 美元的关键支撑，历史会重演吗？

Polkadot [DOT] 已成功收盘于周线图上的关键阻力位 8.60 美元之上。这一级别在历史上曾发挥过举足轻重的作用

Cryptocurrency price analysis platform Rekt Capital has highlighted a crucial level of support for Polkadot [DOT] that could determine its next price direction.

加密货币价格分析平台 Rekt Capital 强调了对 Polkadot [DOT] 的关键支持水平，这可能决定其下一个价格方向。

According to Rekt Capital, DOT’s price action at this level has historically influenced the cryptocurrency’s price trajectory.

据 Rekt Capital 称，DOT 在这一水平上的价格走势在历史上影响了加密货币的价格轨迹。

The analysis showed that a successful retest of this level could lead to significant gains for DOT, whereas a failure to hold this support could result in further price declines.

分析显示，成功重新测试该水平可能会导致 DOT 大幅上涨，而未能保持这一支撑可能会导致价格进一步下跌。

At press time, Polkadot was trading at $8.86, with a 4.24% gain in the last 24 hours and a 16.97% rise over the past seven days.

截至发稿，波卡交易价格为 8.86 美元，近 24 小时涨幅为 4.24%，近 7 天涨幅为 16.97%。

The cryptocurrency had a 24-hour trading volume of $1.03 billion, and a circulating supply of 1.5 billion, giving it a market capitalization of $13.48 billion, according to CoinMarketCap.

根据 CoinMarketCap 的数据，该加密货币的 24 小时交易量为 10.3 亿美元，流通量为 15 亿，市值为 134.8 亿美元。

The analysis highlighted that in 2021, a similar retest of this level led to a rally to new all-time highs above $50.

该分析强调，2021 年，对该水平的类似重新测试导致价格反弹至 50 美元以上的历史新高。

However, earlier in 2023, DOT failed to hold this support, leading to a steep decline to its yearly low of $4.15.

然而，2023 年初，DOT 未能守住这一支撑，导致价格急剧下跌至 4.15 美元的年度低点。

This level has historically played a pivotal role in determining DOT’s price trajectory.

从历史上看，这一水平在确定 DOT 的价格轨迹方面发挥了关键作用。

Should the retest succeed, we can expect DOT to aim for the next major resistance at $12.61.

如果重新测试成功，我们预计 DOT 将瞄准下一个主要阻力位 12.61 美元。

From its current position, this marks a potential 101.53% gain, based on historical price behavior.

根据历史价格行为，从当前位置来看，这标志着潜在的 101.53% 收益。

However, if $8.60 fails to hold, traders could see the price revisit lower levels, including the $4.15 support.

然而，如果未能守住 8.60 美元，交易者可能会看到价格重新回到较低水平，包括 4.15 美元的支撑位。

Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Open Interest (OI) metrics also indicated bullish momentum for Polkadot.

相对强度指数 (RSI) 和未平仓合约 (OI) 指标也表明 Polkadot 的看涨势头。

The RSI was positioned in overbought territory, indicating strong demand for the cryptocurrency.

RSI 位于超买区域，表明对加密货币的强劲需求。

Meanwhile, the OI showed a rise and was positively correlated with the price movement, further suggesting trader preference for long positions.

与此同时，持仓量呈上升趋势，并与价格走势呈正相关，进一步表明交易者偏好多头头寸。

OI had a minimal 8.74% increase to $499.25 million, while the 24-hour trading volume showed a moderate rise of 22.03% to $915.97 million.

OI 微幅上涨 8.74%，至 4.9925 亿美元，而 24 小时交易量小幅上涨 22.03%，至 9.1597 亿美元。

Additionally, the OI-Weighted Funding Rate for DOT remained positive since mid-November, reflecting strong demand for long positions.

此外，自 11 月中旬以来，DOT 的 OI 加权融资利率一直保持正值，反映出对多头头寸的强劲需求。

Spikes in funding rates on the 12th and 18th of November indicated heightened bullish sentiment. This aligns with the ongoing breakout above $8.60.

11 月 12 日和 18 日融资利率飙升表明看涨情绪高涨。这与持续突破 8.60 美元相一致。

On-chain activity showed mixed signals for Polkadot.

Polkadot 的链上活动显示出好坏参半的信号。

According to DefiLlama, the Total Value Locked (TVL) in Polkadot stood at $55.89 million, with a 24-hour decrease of 27.44%.

据 DefiLlama 数据显示，波卡总锁定价值（TVL）为 5589 万美元，24 小时下跌 27.44%。

The network’s stablecoin market capitalization was $89.13 million.

该网络的稳定币市值为 8913 万美元。

Despite the TVL decline, the positive funding rates and rising open interest suggested traders were positioning for further upside.

尽管TVL下降，但积极的资金利率和不断上升的未平仓合约表明交易者正在为进一步上涨做好准备。

Technically, Polkadot recently broke out of a bullish falling wedge pattern, which often precedes upward momentum.

从技术上讲，Polkadot 最近突破了看涨的下降楔形模式，该模式通常先于上升势头。

This breakout aligns with the move above $8.60, reinforcing optimism among traders.

此次突破与 8.60 美元上方的走势一致，增强了交易者的乐观情绪。

Market participants are now watching the monthly close, which could strengthen the breakout if it holds above $8.60.

市场参与者现在正在关注月度收盘价，如果其保持在 8.60 美元上方，可能会加强突破。