印度入侵巴基斯坦的几率上升到了加密博投注平台Polymarket上的41％，因为巴基斯坦国防部长宣布从印度的军事入侵是“即将出现的”。

路透社今天报道说，巴基斯坦国防部长卡瓦贾·穆罕默德·阿西夫（Khawaja Muhammad Asif）声称：“我们加强了我们的部队，因为这是现在即将来临的事情。”

The odds of India invading Pakistan rose to 41% on crypto betting platform Polymarket today as Pakistan’s defence minister declared military incursion from India was “imminent.”

印度入侵巴基斯坦的几率上升到了加密博投注平台Polymarket上的41％，因为巴基斯坦国防部长宣布从印度的军事入侵是“即将出现的”。

Reuters reported earlier today that Khawaja Muhammad Asif, Pakistan’s defence minister, claimed: “We have reinforced our forces because it is something which is imminent now.”

路透社今天早些时候报道说，巴基斯坦国防部长Khawaja Muhammad Asif声称：“我们加强了部队，因为现在这是即将来临的事情。”

On Polymarket, the chances of the invasion subsequently shot up to 41%. It currently stands at around 37%.

在多聚市场上，入侵的机会随后攻击了41％。目前，它约为37％。

Last week, in the Indian-administered region of Kashmir, a gunman shot 26 tourists, an incident that India claims was the work of militants supported by Pakistan. However, it hasn’t named the group.

上周，在克什米尔的印度管理地区，一名枪手开枪射击了26个游客，这一事件是印度声称这是巴基斯坦支持的武装分子的工作。但是，它没有命名该小组。

Since then, India has reportedly demolished the houses of alleged militants and detained 1,500 people in the region. Pakistan denies any role in the attack and, along with China, has called for a “neutral investigation” into the matter.

从那以后，据报道，印度拆除了所谓的武装分子的房屋，并拘留了该地区1,500人。巴基斯坦否认在袭击中的任何作用，并与中国一起呼吁对此事进行“中性调查”。

Read more: The Vatican isn’t excommunicating crypto gamblers

阅读更多：梵蒂冈没有驱逐加密赌徒

Polymarket claims the bet will be resolved if “India commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Pakistan between April 23 and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.”

Polymarket声称，如果“印度开始进行军事进攻，旨在在2025年4月23日至6月30日下午11:59之间建立对巴基斯坦任何部分的控制权”。

The platform says its resolution will be based on “official confirmation” from India, Pakistan, the United Nations, or other permanent UN Security Council members, adding that “a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.”

该平台表示，其决议将基于印度，巴基斯坦，联合国或其他永久安全委员会成员的“官方确认”，并补充说：“也将使用可靠的报告达成共识”。

It’s worth noting the “chance” percentage in this market is based on binary options gamblers placing bets on whether or not UMA token holders would attest to an Indian invasion of Pakistan before July.

值得注意的是，该市场中的“机会”百分比是基于二元期权赌徒赌注，该赌徒押注了乌玛令牌持有人是否会在7月之前证明印度对巴基斯坦的入侵。

Despite the rising threat of war, Pakistan has been the center of a recent crypto push. Earlier today, Donald Trump’s World Liberty Financial signed a “memorandum of understanding” with the country’s national crypto council.

尽管战争威胁不断增加，但巴基斯坦一直是最近加密推动力的中心。今天早些时候，唐纳德·特朗普（Donald Trump）的世界自由金融（World Liberty Financial）与该国国家加密委员会（National Crypto Council）签署了“谅解备忘录”。

Not only that, Changpeng Zhao, the former CEO of Binance, became a crypto advisor for the Pakistan Crypto Council this month.

不仅如此，Binance的前首席执行官Changpeng Zhao本月成为巴基斯坦加密委员会的加密顾问。