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加密货币新闻

获得SEC批准的SOLANA,LITECOIN和XRP交易所交易基金(ETF)的几率从未看起来更强大。

2025/06/11 19:07

彭博ETF分析师詹姆斯·塞法特(James Seyffart)说,围绕altcoin ETF的动力是真实的,Q4 2025可以标志着转折点。

获得SEC批准的SOLANA,LITECOIN和XRP交易所交易基金(ETF)的几率从未看起来更强大。

The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) could be nearing approval for exchange-traded funds (ETFs) tracking Solana (SOL), Litecoin (LTC), and XRP, according to a Bloomberg report.

根据彭博社报告,美国证券交易委员会(SEC)可以接近批准交易所交易资金(ETFS)跟踪Solana(Sol),Litecoin(LTC)和XRP。

The regulator is actively discussing the possibility of allowing staking provisions in a solana ETF, and has begun talks with potential issuers, ETF analyst James Seyffart said on June 10.

ETF分析师James Seyffart在6月10日表示,监管机构正在积极地讨论允许在Solana ETF中放入规定的可能性,并开始与潜在的发行人进行会谈。

Katherine Ross of Blockworks earlier reported on this ongoing back-and-forth, which Seyffart confirmed, adding that the SEC also appears open to permitting staking in ETF structures.

Blockworks的凯瑟琳·罗斯(Katherine Ross)早些时候报道了这一正在进行的来回,Seyffart证实,SEC似乎也可以允许在ETF结构中占有。

I wrote about this topic a bit today as well. Can be read at this link here if you're a Bloomberg Terminal Client:https://t.co/Tl3XfNq2Am pic.twitter.com/jAQ048Ewdr

我今天也写了一些关于这个话题的文章。如果您是彭博终端客户端:https://t.co/tl3xfnq2am pic.twitter.com/jaq048wdrdrddr,可以在此处的此链接中阅读此链接。

“Conversations around the nuances of staking solana in ETFs is getting underway between SEC and hopeful Solana ETF issuers,” Seyffart said.

Seyffart说:“围绕ETF播放Solana的细微差别的对话正在SEC和充满希望的Solana ETF发行人之间进行。”

His analysis also draws from how regulators currently view these digital assets, especially those already under CFTC oversight via crypto futures markets.

他的分析还取决于监管机构当前如何看待这些数字资产,尤其是那些通过加密期货市场受到CFTC监督的资产。

Seyffart’s internal ranking puts Solana and Litecoin at the top with 90% odds, followed by XRP and Dogecoin at 85% and 80% respectively. Cardano (ADA),Polkadot (DOT), and Avalanche (AVAX) are estimated at 75%, while Sui (SUI) lags at 60%. TRON (TRX) is still considered outside the active review process.

Seyffart的内部排名使Solana和Litecoin的赔率为90%,其次是XRP和Dogecoin分别为85%和80%。 Cardano(ADA),Polkadot(DOT)和Avalanche(Avax)估计为75%,而SUI(SUI)滞后为60%。 TRON(TRX)仍被视为在主动审查过程之外。

Meanwhile, betting markets are reflecting a similar assessment. On Polymarket, a decentralized prediction platform gaining popularity among crypto traders, participants are pricing in a 91% chance for Solana ETF approval in 2025. They also estimate an 87% chance for Ripple’s XRP ETF and an 80% probability of Litecoin ETF approval by the same year-end.

同时,投注市场反映了类似的评估。在Polymarket上,一个分散的预测平台在加密货币交易者中获得了流行,参与者在2025年获得了91%的Solana ETF批准的机会。他们还估计,Ripple的XRP ETF和80%的Litecoin ETF批准的可能性是87%。

This convergence of opinion among institutional analysts and the retail market bodes well for the prospect of altcoin ETFs launching in Q4 2025.

机构分析师和零售市场之间意见的这种融合非常好,这是Altcoin ETF在第4季度2025年推出的前景。

Seyffart has consistently been one of the more accurate voices in the ETF space, particularly when it comes to crypto fund approval cycles. His confidence in a Dogecoin ETF might surprise some, but with memecoins still driving significant trading volumes, the idea isn’t as far-fetched as it once seemed.

Seyffart一直是ETF空间中最准确的声音之一,尤其是在加密基金批准周期方面。他对Dogecoin ETF的信心可能会让某些人感到惊讶,但是由于Memecoins仍在推动大量交易,这个想法并不像曾经一样牵强。

If the SEC grants approval for these ETFs, it will mark the next stage in the increasing institutionalization of the crypto market. First came Bitcoin ETFs, then Ethereum ETFs. Now, altcoins like Solana, Litecoin, XRP, and even Dogecoin are being lined up for their introduction on Wall Street.

如果SEC批准了这些ETF,则将标志着加密市场的制度化的下一个阶段。首先是比特币ETF,然后是以太坊ETF。现在,诸如Solana,Litecoin,XRP甚至Dogecoin之类的AltCoin在华尔街的介绍中排队。

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