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Bitcoin (BTC) is forming a notable signal that has historically been an early indicator of large market increases, according to on-chain analytics.
As noted by respected cryptocurrency analyst Ali Martinez, a golden cross is forming between Bitcoin’s MVRV Ratio and its 365-day Simple Moving Average.
This crossover is one to watch as the last time it occurred, BTC went on to experience a 100% or greater increase in the months that followed.
Bitcoin is currently trading at around the $95,000 mark, remaining in a holding pattern as it continues to trade above key moving averages.
The daily chart shows price action firmly above both the 21-day EMA ($89,632) and 200-day SMA ($89,527), with momentum indicators confirming bullish pressure. RSI is hovering around 68, while the MACD remains in a strong positive alignment.
Bitcoin’s Fourth Weekly Cycle
The golden cross in the MVRV ratio arrives as Bitcoin completes its fourth week of a new weekly cycle, according to analyst Bob Loukas.
If this cycle follows historical averages, BTC is expected to remain in an uptrend for the next 10 to 11 weeks.
This confluence of signals adds to the bullish thesis, especially when considering recent ETF inflows and improving macro conditions.
Additionally, a declining U.S. dollar and renewed interest from institutional investors are further tilting market sentiment in favor of Bitcoin. Capital rotation from altcoins into BTC is also being observed, suggesting a broad repositioning into higher-conviction assets.
If the MVRV golden cross holds and price continues to trade above the $89K support zone, BTC could be setting up for its next major leg higher.
With the current macro backdrop, ETF demand, and historical momentum behind this signal, market participants may be witnessing the opening act of a renewed bull phase. As Martinez emphasized, this is one to track closely—especially with $100K now within striking distance if momentum continues to build.
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