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加密货币新闻

“ Moonshot”集会到以太坊的新高点

2025/05/12 03:01

如果ETH超过上升的楔形模式,则资深商人彼得·布兰特(Peter Brandt)建议将以太坊的拉力召集至$ 3800- $ 4800。

Veteran trader Peter Brandt is suggesting a potential rally for Ethereum (ETH) to $3,800–$4,800 if the altcoin breaks through a key “congestion” pattern. In a recent X post, Brandt identified a rising wedge formation on the chart, a pattern that is often considered bearish. According to him, a breakout above this pattern could propel ETH toward the descending resistance line, targeting a range between $3,800 and $4,800. This analysis marks a notable shift in Brandt’s outlook for 2024, aligning with the renewed optimism for the world’s second-largest cryptocurrency.

如果Altcoin突破了关键的“拥塞”模式,资深商人彼得·布兰特(Peter Brandt)建议以太坊(ETH)的潜在集会至3,800- $ 4,800。在最近的X帖子中,勃兰特在图表上确定了上升的楔形形成,这种模式通常被认为是看跌的。据他介绍,超出这种模式的突破可以推动ETH朝着下降的阻力线推动,目标范围在3,800美元至4,800美元之间。这种分析标志着勃兰特对2024年的前景的显着转变,与对世界第二大加密货币的新乐观情绪保持一致。

“Rising wedge, usually a bear pattern, but a breakout (not necessarily a close above) of the wedge cound [sic] set up a mkts to the rising wedge x2 top at 3800-4800,” said Brandt.

布兰特说:“楔形的楔形物,通常是熊图案,但楔形的楔形物(不一定要在上方)突破(sic)在3800-4800的上升楔形X2顶部设置了MKTS。”

Chart of Ethereum (ETH) with analysis by trader Peter Brandt. Source: X

以太坊图表(ETH)以及交易者彼得·布兰特(Peter Brandt)分析。来源:X

Brandt’s comments come as Ethereum futures saw a 42% surge in open interest (OI), climbing from $21.3 billion to $30.4 billion between May 8 and May 11. Approaching its all-time high of $32 billion, this spike reflects heightened market activity and growing trader engagement. The rapid increase in OI signals strong interest in Ether futures, potentially paving the way for increased price volatility.

当以太坊期货的开放利息激增42%时,勃兰特的评论从213亿美元上升到5月8日至5月11日之间的304亿美元。接近其历史最高点320亿美元,这种峰值反映了市场活动的增强和不断增长的交易者参与。 OI的迅速增加信号对以太期货的浓厚兴趣,可能为提高价格波动铺平了道路。

“The total futures OI has surged to $30.4 billion. A massive spike in 7 days. Last time we saw such a rise in OI, it went up by $31 billion in 14 days,” said Glassnode analysts in part.

GlassNode分析师在某种程度上说:“ OI的总期货飙升至304亿美元。在7天内的巨大飙升。上次我们看到OI的增长,在14天内增加了310亿美元。”

Examining the higher-time frame (HTF) chart for Ethereum reveals a price rise on the weekly chart, where the altcoin has jumped toward the 50 and 100-week exponential moving averages (EMAs) over the past couple of weeks.

检查以太坊的较高时间框架(HTF)图表显示,每周图表上的价格上涨,在过去的几周中,Altcoin跃入了50周和100周的指数移动平均值(EMA)。

Historically, such a recovery marks a price bottom but could also signal the beginning of a small correction period after the EMAs retest. Using Fibonacci retracement levels, ETH has retested the 0.5 to 0.618 range (orange box), which aligns with a price level of $2,500. This retest represents the first leg of the recovery, but a short-term pullback may occur before further bullish action unfolds.

从历史上看,这种恢复标志着价格最低的,但也可能标志着EMAS重新测试后较小的更正期的开始。 ETH使用斐波那契反回级,对0.5至0.618范围(橙色盒)进行了重新测试,该范围与价格水平为2,500美元。这项重新测试是恢复的第一站,但是在进一步看涨行动展开之前,可能会发生短期回调。

Chart of Ethereum (ETH) highlighting key derivatives metrics. Source: Glassnode

以太坊图表(ETH)突出显示关键导数指标。来源:玻璃节

As seen in the chart above, most of the buying pressure for ETH came from Binance, which is currently the most active exchange for ETH traders. As the chart shows, there was a spike in activity on May 7, when ETH’s native token opened its weekly candle at $1,807. Now, it is close to recording its highest seven-day returns of 38% since December 2020.

如上图所示,ETH的大部分购买压力来自Binance,这是目前对ETH交易者的最积极交流。如图所示,5月7日的活动激增,当时ETH的原住民令牌以1,807美元的价格开放其每周蜡烛。现在,自2020年12月以来,它将接近其最高的7天回报率为38%。

Ether also surpassed its realized price for accumulating addresses ($1,900), which is the average cost basis for holders, signaling profits for users.

Ether还超过了其积累地址的实现价格(1,900美元),这是持有人的平均成本基础,用户的信号利润。

The rising activity at Binance and outflows reflect strong trader confidence, liquidity, and sustained bullish momentum in the current market.

Binance和流出的活动上升反映了当前市场上强烈的交易者信心,流动性和持续的看涨势头。

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