美联储会阻碍特朗普的比特币储备愿景吗？

唐纳德·特朗普 (Donald Trump) 当选美国第 47 任总统后，加密货币界对他早些时候的承诺持乐观态度

output: Following Donald Trump's victory as the 47th President of the United States, the cryptocurrency community is optimistic about his earlier pledge to establish a strategic Bitcoin reserve.

产出：唐纳德·特朗普当选美国第 47 任总统后，加密货币界对他早些时候承诺建立比特币战略储备持乐观态度。

During his address at the Bitcoin [BTC] 2024 conference in Nashville, Trump expressed his commitment to this initiative, fueling anticipation among crypto enthusiasts.

特朗普在纳什维尔举行的比特币 [BTC] 2024 会议上发表讲话时表达了他对这一举措的承诺，引发了加密货币爱好者的期待。

However, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's recent comments during a press conference highlighted that the central bank has no plans to participate in any government initiative to accumulate Bitcoin.

然而，美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔最近在新闻发布会上发表的言论强调，央行没有计划参与任何政府积累比特币的计划。

"We're not allowed to own Bitcoin. But the Federal Reserve Act says what we can own and we're not looking for a law change," Powell stated.

“我们不被允许拥有比特币。但美联储法案规定了我们可以拥有什么，我们并不寻求法律改变，”鲍威尔表示。

His statement, following the monetary policy meeting, created uncertainty in the market, causing BTC's price to retreat from its recent highs. At the time of writing, BTC trades at $98,703.53, indicating a 5.18% increase in the past 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.

他在货币政策会议后发表的声明给市场带来了不确定性，导致比特币价格从近期高点回落。根据 CoinMarketCap 的数据，截至撰写本文时，BTC 交易价格为 98,703.53 美元，表明过去 24 小时内上涨了 5.18%。

Following Powell's comments, the probability of a Bitcoin Strategic Reserve, according to the prediction market Polymarket, has continued to decrease. Initially peaking at 40% on December 18, the likelihood has since dropped to 32%, reflecting a reduced possibility.

鲍威尔发表上述言论后，根据预测市场Polymarket的预测，比特币战略储备的可能性持续下降。该可能性最初在 12 月 18 日达到 40% 的峰值，此后已降至 32%，反映出可能性有所降低。

Moreover, the total market value of cryptocurrencies has also seen a significant decrease, losing approximately 7.5%. This further indicates the market's uncertainty as BTC's price faces resistance at key levels.

此外，加密货币总市值也出现大幅下跌，损失约7.5%。这进一步表明市场的不确定性，因为比特币价格在关键水平面临阻力。

To provide some context, the creation of a strategic Bitcoin reserve would involve the U.S. government, specifically the Department of the Treasury, purchasing and holding a substantial amount of BTC. This initiative aims to diversify the nation's strategic reserves and potentially strengthen the dollar's status as the world's primary currency.

提供一些背景信息，创建比特币战略储备将涉及美国政府，特别是财政部，购买和持有大量比特币。该举措旨在实现国家战略储备多元化，并有可能加强美元作为世界主要货币的地位。

While the Federal Reserve maintains significant independence in monetary policy, it does not hold veto power over the creation of a Bitcoin Strategic Reserve (BSR).

尽管美联储在货币政策方面保持着显着的独立性，但它对比特币战略储备（BSR）的创建没有否决权。

If the Trump administration were to pursue this initiative, the most efficient approach would likely involve issuing an executive order upon taking office, directing the U.S. Treasury Department to utilize the Exchange Stabilization Fund (ESF) for direct BTC purchases.

如果特朗普政府要推行这一举措，最有效的方法可能是在上任后发布行政命令，指示美国财政部利用外汇稳定基金（ESF）直接购买比特币。

This approach would circumvent the need for approval from Congress or the Federal Reserve, as the ESF can be used by the Treasury Department for urgent matters without obtaining prior consent from other parties.

这种方法将绕过国会或美联储批准的需要，因为财政部可以在不事先征得其他方同意的情况下将 ESF 用于紧急事务。

However, if the administration encounters difficulties in utilizing the ESF or prefers a broader approach, it could also choose to submit a proposal to Congress for the creation of a BSR, which would require legislative approval.

然而，如果政府在利用 ESF 时遇到困难或者更喜欢更广泛的方法，它也可以选择向国会提交创建 BSR 的提案，这需要立法批准。

In conclusion, the establishment of a strategic Bitcoin reserve appears to require leadership from the Treasury Department rather than the Federal Reserve, whether through executive action or legislative support.

总之，建立比特币战略储备似乎需要财政部而不是美联储的领导，无论是通过行政行动还是立法支持。