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道琼斯指数在周四连续第三届会议上下降,在撰写本文时读取了41860分,因为人们对美国经济健康状况的担忧。
The Dow Jones Index declined for the third successive session on Thursday reading 41,860 points at the time of writing, as concerns mount over the health of the US economy.
道琼斯指数在周四连续第三届会议上下降了,在撰写本文时,读书41,860分,因为人们对美国经济健康状况的担忧。
House of Representatives narrowly passed President Donald Trump’s tax bill that could potentially add $3.8 trillion to the current $36.2 trillion Federal debt. The implications of the bill for the economy and markets will be closely watched.
众议院狭窄地通过了唐纳德·特朗普总统的税收法案,该法案可能会增加3.8万亿美元的362万亿美元联邦债务。该法案对经济和市场的影响将受到密切关注。
Risk aversion has declined significantly in recent days, underlined by Bitcoin’s rise to an all-time high price above $111k. The cryptocurrency’s gains come despite the volatility in the stock market.
最近几天,避免风险的厌恶大幅下降,这是由于比特币的上涨高于11.1万美元的历史高价。尽管股票市场波动,但加密货币的收益仍在。
Six of the top ten weighted stocks in the Dow Jones Index registered declines on Wednesday, with only two of the thirty-stocks in the index recording gains of more than 1%.
道琼斯指数中的十大加权股票中有六个在周三登记下降,指数记录的三十股中只有两个股票超过1%。
Yields on benchmark 10-year US Treasury bonds have risen to 4.69% as of this writing, hitting three-month highs. The rising yields have made the safe haven assets more attractive than high-risk equities, putting downward pressure on equities, hence the downward pressure on the Dow Jones Index.
在撰写本文时,基准10年的美国国库债券的收益率上升到4.69%,达到了三个月的高点。上升的收益率使避风港资产比高风险股票更具吸引力,对股票施加了下降压力,因此对道琼斯琼斯指数的下降压力。
Also, there are concerns over higher-for-longer Fed interest rates, which could keep inflation elevated. However, the Dow has support from Initial Jobless Claims figures released on Thursday, which came in at 227k, lower than analysts forecast figure of 230k.
此外,人们担心更高的美联储利率,这可能会使通货膨胀提高。但是,道琼斯指数得到了最初的失业索赔数字,该数据在周四发布,该数字为227K,低于分析师的预测数字为230K。
Later on Thursday, S&P Global PMI and New Home Sales figure will inject fresh propulsion into the Dow Jones Index momentum. Also, FOMC Member John Williams will speak, and traders will be keen to pick cues on Fed interest rate policy direction ahead of next week’s release of Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) figures.
星期四晚些时候,标准普尔全球PMI和新的家庭销售人物将向道琼斯指数势头注入新的推进。此外,FOMC成员约翰·威廉姆斯(John Williams)将发表讲话,在下周发布个人消费支出(PCE)数字之前,交易者将渴望在FED利率政策指导方面选择线索。
Dow Jones Index Forecast
道琼斯指数预测
Dow Jones Index pivots at 41,920 points and the momentum currently points to the downside. The first support will likely be at 41,690 points. However, an extended control by the sellers will break below that level and could potentially send the action lower to test 41,490 points.
道琼斯指数指数为41,920分,目前的势头指向不利。第一个支持可能为41,690分。但是,卖方的扩展控制将突破低于该水平,并有可能将动作降低到测试41,490分。
Alternatively, the Index could shift to the upside if it breaks above 41,920 points. That will likely see the first resistance encountered at 42,100 points. Breaking above that level will invalidate the downside narrative and could potentially send the index lower to test 42,320.
另外,如果指数突破41,920点,则该指数可能会转移到上行空间。这可能会看到第一个阻力在42,100点处遇到。超过该水平将使下行叙述无效,并有可能将索引下部发送到测试42,320。
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