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如果您最近一直关注HBAR,那么您可能会注意到一些熟悉的东西:4H上的明确看涨结构。
If you've been following HBAR on the 4H, you've probably noticed something familiar: a clear bullish structure with higher highs and higher lows.
如果您一直在4H上关注HBAR,那么您可能会注意到一些熟悉的东西:一个清晰的看涨结构,高高和更高的低点。
Classic. Almost too classic.
经典的。几乎太经典。
You know those moments when the price respects the structure a bit too perfectly and you get that gut feeling that it might just pull a fast one? Yeah. That's exactly where I think we are.
您知道那些时刻的价格尊重结构太完美了,并且您会感觉到它可能只是拉一个快速的结构吗?是的。那正是我认为我们所在的地方。
We're sitting on a staircase of higher moves — no doubt — but the way it's climbing feels like it's leaving too much liquidity underneath, and if there's one thing the market loves more than anything... it's grabbing that sweet, obvious liquidity.
我们坐在更高动作的楼梯上 - 毫无疑问 - 但是它的攀登方式感觉就像它在下面留下了太多的流动性,而且如果市场比什么都喜欢的一件事……它会抓住那可爱,明显的流动性。
I wouldn't be surprised if HBAR dips below those recent swing lows before continuing the ride upward. You know how it goes — sometimes it needs to fake a breakdown just to fuel the next move.
如果HBAR在继续前进之前,HBAR在最近的秋千低点下方下降以下,我不会感到惊讶。您知道它的发展 - 有时需要假装崩溃,以助长下一步。
That's why I'm personally watching that demand zone down below. I want to see how the price reacts there. Will it bounce clean? Will it slice through like butter? Either way, it's the reaction that gives the signal — not the setup alone.
这就是为什么我个人看着下面的需求区域的原因。我想看看价格在那里的反应。它会弹跳吗?它会像黄油一样切成薄片吗?无论哪种方式,都会发出信号的反应 - 而不是单独设置。
But here's a catch.
但这是一个陷阱。
For any long setup to make sense from that demand, I want to see some liquidity left above first. Give price a reason to come back up. If everything gets cleaned up before we reach that demand, then I'll need to reassess. No liquidity above = less incentive for price to push back.
对于任何长时间的设置都可以从该需求中有意义,我希望首先看到一些流动性。给价格一个回来的理由。如果一切都在达到需求之前就清理了,那么我需要重新评估。上面没有流动性=较少的价格推迟动力。
What's the takeaway?
收获是什么?
I'm not calling this with 100% certainty — that would be insane in this market. This is just how I'm seeing it right now based on structure and logic. If the price respects the play, I'll ride it. If it doesn't ... we adapt. No ego.
我并不是100%确定的,这在这个市场上会很疯狂。这就是我现在根据结构和逻辑来看到它的方式。如果价格尊重这场比赛,我将骑。如果没有...我们适应。没有自我。
It's like that time I waited days for a clean long on another coin — setup was textbook. But price decided to clear all the lows first, then took off. Had I jumped early, I would've been the liquidity.
就像那个时候我等了几天在另一枚硬币上花了几天的时间 - 设置是教科书。但是普莱斯决定先清除所有低点,然后起飞。如果我早点跳跃,我将是流动性。
HBAR might be doing the same dance.
HBAR可能正在做同样的舞蹈。
So keep your eyes on that liquidity trap. Watch how it behaves if we get that sweep. And as always — don't marry a bias. Stay nimble.
因此,请注意该流动性陷阱。观察如果我们得到这一扫描,它的举止。一如既往 - 不要嫁给偏见。保持灵活。
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