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Chainlink (LINK) Shows Promising Signs of an Imminent Breakout as It Consolidates Around the $15 Level

2025/04/30 15:22

Chainlink (LINK) is showing promising signs of an imminent breakout as it consolidates around the $15 level. After surging over 50% from its April lows, LINK is now testing a critical resistance zone that could determine its next major move.

The cryptocurrency is trading at $15.02, showing a slight increase of 0.55% in the past 24 hours. Bulls are attempting to overcome the stubborn $15.30 resistance level, which also coincides with the neckline of an inverse head-and-shoulders pattern spotted on the 4-hour chart.

This pattern, if completed, could propel LINK towards the $17 mark, paving the way for further gains in the coming weeks.

Several technical indicators are aligning in LINK’s favor, hinting at a possible bullish phase. The SuperTrend indicator has flashed a buy signal on the daily chart, which is often a reliable tool for identifying the start of new bullish phases or trend reversals.

Furthermore, the 9 EMA has crossed above the 21 EMA, confirming short-term momentum strength and suggesting that bulls are regaining control of LINK’s price action.

On-Chain Metrics Provide Clues to Brewing Momentum

On-chain data provides further evidence of the brewing bullish momentum. Exchange reserves have decreased slightly by 1.03% over the past seven days, reflecting reduced sell-side pressure and a less bearish long-term outlook.

Transfer volume has surged significantly by 73.2% over the last 24 hours, indicating elevated coin movement and activity. Active addresses have also increased, showing a 11.06% rise, which reflects greater wallet participation and user engagement.

The derivatives market shows mild bullish sentiment with a funding rate of 0.0090%, indicating that long positions dominate but without excessive leverage. This measured optimism is constructive as it limits the risk of sudden liquidations.

However, some caution is warranted as exchange netflows spiked sharply by 37.46% in the last 24 hours, indicating a short-term increase in deposit activity. Such spikes can sometimes signal increased near-term selling pressure.

LINK has been range-bound between $10 and $16 since March, consolidating after a volatile start to the year. The current setup occurs amid high-risk macroeconomic conditions, with increasing global tensions, especially between the US and China.

If LINK manages to break above the critical $15.30 resistance level, it could then target the $17 mark in the short term.

This move would require clearing both the inverse head-and-shoulders neckline and the 200-day moving average and exponential moving average, which have clustered in the $16-$17 range, presenting a formidable barrier for bulls.

Some analysts believe that LINK may be preparing for a fifth wave rally, which could see the token break through crucial resistance zones and surge towards higher targets at $31.85 and potentially $45.50.

Strong Fundamentals Underpin Bullish Case

The bullish case for LINK is further supported by its strong fundamentals. Chainlink’s role as a leading DeFi oracle is evident in partnerships with major institutions like Fidelity International and Sygnum. Its integration into DeFi and NFT projects drives demand for the token.

Currently, Chainlink secures 54% of the total value secured by oracles. The increasing total value secured and network usage, driven by Decentralized Oracle Networks, ultimately increase demand for LINK tokens.

The upcoming Chainlink 2.0 and its staking roadmap could reduce circulating supply by locking tokens, potentially exerting further upward price pressure.

If bulls fail to maintain strength and close above key support levels, LINK could face a deeper pullback. A break below the $14 support could accelerate selling pressure, potentially dragging the price towards lower demand zones around $12 or even $10.

The position of LINK around this key resistance will likely determine its short-term trend, with a decisive move in either direction shaping price action in the coming weeks.

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