BTC短期持有人将推动下一个市场更正

投资者团体可以在很大程度上决定比特币的价格如何变化，而短期持有人非常重要。

Investor groups play a crucial role in determining the price movements of Bitcoin, especially short-term holders who generate trends that can be used to predict upcoming changes. Their behavior is measured mainly through Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL), which showcases the percentage of unrealized profit compared to the current Bitcoin price. This provides an insight into whether those holding coins for a few days are collectively losing or gaining money.

投资者团体在确定比特币的价格变动中发挥了至关重要的作用，尤其是短期持有人产生趋势，这些趋势可用于预测即将发生的变化。它们的行为主要是通过未实现的盈利/损失（NUPL）来衡量的，该净利润/损失（NUPL）与当前比特币价格相比展示了未实现的利润百分比。这为那些持有硬币几天的人集体损失还是赚钱的人提供了深入的了解。

Now, short-term profit remains at around 27%. For the past four years, whenever this measure goes above 40%, there has often been a rush to sell. Due to this selling activity, the price of these cryptocurrencies usually drops, making forty percent an important level.

现在，短期利润仍保持在27％左右。在过去的四年中，每当这项措施超过40％时，通常都会急于出售。由于这种销售活动，这些加密货币的价格通常会下降，使40％成为重要水平。

This situation continues to happen, meaning those with high profits often remove their coins, affecting the market’s trend.

这种情况仍在继续发生，这意味着那些利润高的人经常消除硬币，从而影响市场的趋势。

With the help of the NUPPL metric, you can spot coming market corrections based on investor sentiment in the short run. By knowing this, investors can expect when a rally may stop due to profit-taking.

在NUPPL指标的帮助下，您可以在短期内根据投资者情绪发现即将到来的市场纠正。通过知道这一点，投资者可以期望何时由于获利而停止集会。

Projected Timeline to Reach the Critical Profit Threshold and Market Impact

预计时间表以达到关键的利润门槛和市场影响

The speed of unrealized profit increase among those who hold for a short time reveals how soon this relevant threshold could be met. The NUPL is growing every day by a constant amount.

在短时间内持有的人中，未实现的利润速度提高表明可以满足相关门槛的时间。 NUPL每天都在持续增长。

Until then, it will take slightly more than two weeks for the profit indicator to reach 40%, after which selling activity usually rises. According to this timeline, mid-June 2025 is close to when we will likely see short-term holders start to cash out.

在此之前，利润指标达到40％，销售活动通常会上升，这将需要略有两周的时间。根据这个时间表，2025年6月中旬即将看到短期持有人开始兑现。

This will be driven by their highest unrealized profits. Because of this, many regard the hour as meaningful, as it may lead to greater market swings or even a correction due to more sellers participating.

这将由他们最高未实现的利润驱动。因此，许多人认为这一小时可能会导致更大的市场波动，甚至导致更多的卖家参与。

It is worth noting that the forecast assumes unrealized profits will increase in a straight line. Because markets are always changing, unforeseen incidents or political actions can disrupt the usual patterns. So, although this chart is useful, investors should closely watch for sudden changes that can affect this course.

值得注意的是，预测假设未实现的利润将在直线上增加。因为市场一直在变化，所以不可预见的事件或政治行动会破坏通常的模式。因此，尽管此图表很有用，但投资者应密切关注可能影响该课程的突然变化。

Market Outlook and Bitcoin Price Forecast

市场前景和比特币价格预测

Combining what we have seen in short-term holder profit levels and historical Bitcoin trends, it is expected that the price will touch $162K in mid-June 2025. This forecast follows the current rise in unrealized profit, which usually reflects higher Bitcoin prices as holders expect further benefits.

将我们在短期持有人的利润水平和历史比特币趋势中看到的东西结合在一起，预计价格将在2025年6月中旬触及162K $ 162K。这一预测是在目前未实现的利润的上涨之后，这通常反映出比特币价格上涨，因为持有者期望进一步的收益。

Historically, increases in the NUPL above its important threshold have often been followed by market corrections. It means that even though prices might go up a lot now, a fall often takes over, and sellers take advantage of the situation.

从历史上看，NUPL高于其重要阈值的增加通常是市场更正。这意味着，即使价格现在可能上涨了很多，跌倒也经常接管，卖方利用了这种情况。

There is both a chance and a danger for investors when it comes to inflation. The price surge ahead is evidence of strong bullish movement which makes many more optimistic about Bitcoin’s near-term prospects. At the same moment, when profit is critical, sellers should care, as it might soon lead to a rise in selling activity.

在通货膨胀方面，投资者既有机会又有危险。前方的价格飙升是强烈看涨运动的证据，这使许多人对比特币的近期前景更加乐观。同时，当利润至关重要时，卖方应该关心，因为它可能很快会导致销售活动的增加。

In the short term, traders can use this to time their market moves, and in the longer term, holders may find it just another example of changing market trends. With these fluctuations, using NUPL and related indicators as a guide helps us update our investment decisions with more self-assurance.

在短期内，交易者可以使用它来计时他们的市场移动，从而从长远来看，持有人可能会发现它只是改变市场趋势的另一个例子。随着这些波动，使用NUPL和相关指标作为指导有助于我们更加自信地更新投资决策。

Navigating Bitcoin’s Upcoming Profit Peak and Price Surge

导航比特币即将到来的利润峰值和价格上涨

The profit that Bitcoin’s short-term holders have not yet claimed tells us much about current market views and actions. Now that the profits in the Bitcoin market are increasing sharply and are expected to reach a climax in mid-June 2025, its activity will likely increase. At an expected price of $162K, the market is seeing a rising tide. However, this could make investors feel more comfortable selling, which could disrupt price stability.

比特币的短期持有人尚未声称的利润向我们讲述了当前的市场观点和行动。既然比特币市场的利润急剧增加，预计将于2025年6月中旬达到高潮，其活动可能会增加。以预期的价格为16.2万美元，市场正在涨潮。但是，这可能会使投资者感到更加自在，这可能会破坏价格稳定。

Using this metric, investors should review both the past and consider any unpredictable matters that might affect their investments. As a result, they are better prepared to make decisions since Bitcoin is continuously growing in the global financial world.

使用该指标，投资者应审查过去，并考虑可能影响其投资的任何不可预测的问题。结果，由于比特币在全球金融界不断增长，因此他们准备做出决策。