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比特币倡导者和JAN3首席执行官Samson Mow警告说,单位偏见的技巧使投资者认为AltCoins是更好的交易。如果XRP遵循比特币的供应模型,则每个令牌的价格约为5,800美元。
JAN3 CEO Samson Mow has issued a strong warning for crypto investors, shedding light on a common mistake many newcomers make when comparing coins.
JAN3首席执行官Samson Mow已向加密投资者发出了强烈的警告,阐明了许多新移民在比较硬币时犯的常见错误。
Many people fall into a psychological trap known as unit bias, where they believe lower-priced coins like XRP or Solana are better deals than Bitcoin, according to Mow. However, he argues that this thinking is misleading and can be quite costly.
根据MOW的说法,许多人陷入了一个被称为单位偏见的心理陷阱,他们认为像XRP或Solana这样的低价硬币比比特币更好。但是,他认为这种想法具有误导性,并且可能很昂贵。
“You can buy one twenty-one millionth of the #BTC supply for ~$85,000.
“您可以以$ 85,000的价格购买#BTC供应量的二十百万。
What happens if you remove unit bias from alts to calculate the equiv 1/21 million?
如果您从Alts中删除单位偏置以计算Equiv 1/21亿美元,会发生什么?
ETH: $9,200
ETH:9,200美元
XRP: $5,800
XRP:$ 5,800
SOL: $3,400
SOL:$ 3,400
No way these alts are worth that much. #Bitcoin dominance is going so much higher,” Mow stated.
这些Alts绝对不值得。 #bitcoin的主导地位要高得多。” Mow说。
To illustrate his point further, he did a quick comparison, taking the market capitalizations of Ethereum, XRP, and Solana and dividing them by 21 million—the same number as Bitcoin’s total supply.
为了进一步说明他的观点,他进行了快速比较,将以太坊,XRP和Solana的市值增加了2100万,与比特币的总供应数量相同。
This method shows that, on a per-unit basis, owning one “Bitcoin-equivalent” share of ETH, XRP, or SOL would actually cost much more than people assume.
该方法表明,在每个单一的基础上,拥有ETH,XRP或SOL的一个“比特币等效”份额实际上将比人们想象的要高得多。
“Many new investors get tricked by unit bias into thinking a coin is cheap just because it has a low price tag. E.g., ‘XRP is only $0.2, while Bitcoin is $85,000—that’s too expensive.’ But XRP has 58.3 billion tokens in circulation. Dividing its market cap by 21 million gives you ~$1.9, not $0.2.
“许多新的投资者被单位偏见欺骗,以为硬币的价格便宜,只是因为它的价格低。但是XRP在流通上有583亿个代币。
Those who pivot out of Bitcoin to chase altcoins are thinking about it all wrong. They’re comparing apples to oranges. It’s like saying a whole pizza is cheaper than a single slice of that pizza.”
那些从比特币中枢转的人正在考虑这一切都是错误的。他们正在将苹果与橙子进行比较。这就像说整个披萨比那个比萨饼的一片便宜。”
Once investors understand how unit bias works, Mow expects many will rethink their strategies and return to Bitcoin. In his view, Bitcoin’s limited supply and strong fundamentals continue to make it the best long-term investment in the crypto space.
一旦投资者了解单位偏见的工作原理,MOW希望许多人会重新考虑其策略并返回比特币。他认为,比特币的供应有限和强大的基本面继续使其成为加密货币领域的最佳长期投资。
His message is clear: “Bitcoin only.”
他的信息很清楚:“只有比特币。”
Mow is no stranger to making big calls. He previously predicted that Bitcoin would hit $1 million by 2021—a timeline that didn't materialize, but a target he still stands behind in the long run.
Mow对大声疾呼并不陌生。他此前曾预测,到2021年,比特币将达到100万美元,这是没有实现的时间表,但从长远来看,他仍然落后于目标。
As the market matures and more people grasp the real economics behind crypto valuations, Mow believes Bitcoin’s dominance will only grow.
随着市场的成熟和越来越多的人掌握加密估值背后的真正经济学,MOW认为比特币的统治地位只会增长。
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