比特币的“ Uptober”希望与销售压力发生冲突：纽约人

比特币爱好者正在关注潜在的收益，但增加的销售压力和弱化的网络活动可能会引起扳手。模因足以加剧集会吗？

Bitcoin's got everyone buzzing about 'Uptober,' that magical month where green candles supposedly sprout like pumpkins. But is this year's crop ripe for picking, or are we heading for a crypto corn maze? Let's dive in.

比特币让每个人都对“ Uptober”感到嗡嗡作响，这是一个神奇的月份，据说绿色的蜡烛像南瓜一样发芽。但是，今年的采摘是成熟的，还是我们要去加密玉米迷宫？让我们潜水。

Uptober: Myth vs. Reality

到底：神话与现实

For years, October has been Bitcoin's best friend, historically delivering gains in 10 of the last 12 years. We're talking serious upticks—like 60% in 2013 or nearly 40% in 2021. So, naturally, the crypto crowd gets a little giddy this time of year. But, hey, even the best Broadway shows have their off nights, right? October 2014 and 2018 were reminders that seasonality is just a nudge, not a guarantee.

多年来，十月一直是比特币最好的朋友，从历史上看，在过去12年中的10年中，它可以带来收益。我们正在谈论严重的上升，例如2013年的60％或2021年的近40％。因此，自然而然地，加密货币人群每年的这个时候变得有些头晕。但是，嘿，即使是最好的百老汇表演也有休息的夜晚，对吗？ 2014年10月和2018年提醒人们，季节性只是一种微调，而不是保证。

Selling Pressure: The Buzzkill

销售压力：嗡嗡声

Here's where things get a little dicey. Recent reports are showing some worrying trends. Network activity is down while the price has been rising. It's like throwing a party, but no one's showing up—except the bill. This divergence can be an early warning sign that the bull run is losing steam.

这是事情变得有点傻的地方。最近的报告显示了一些令人担忧的趋势。当价格上涨时，网络活动降低了。这就像举办聚会，但没有人出现 - 除了法案。这种差异可能是公牛奔跑失去蒸汽的预警信号。

Then there's the selling pressure. Data from Binance shows more sell orders than buys. Buyers tried to push the price past $113,000, but they couldn't muster the strength. For the bulls to regain control, they need to turn that buy-side pressure positive.

然后是销售压力。来自Binance的数据显示的销售订单多于购买。买家试图将价格推到113,000美元以上，但他们无法召集实力。为了使公牛重新获得控制权，他们需要将购买端压力变为正面。

Strategic Reserves and Market Manipulation

战略储备和市场操纵

And if that wasn't enough, the idea of a national Bitcoin strategic reserve is making waves. While some think it's the path to Bitcoin becoming the global reserve currency, others worry about governments dumping their holdings and crashing the market. Imagine Uncle Sam deciding to flood the market—yikes! According to OKX's Haider Rafique, it could even trigger a loss of confidence in the dollar.

而且，如果这还不够，那么国家比特币战略储备的想法正在引起轰动。有些人认为这是比特币成为全球储备货币的途径，而另一些人则担心政府倾倒自己的持股并崩溃了市场。想象一下，山姆大叔决定淹没市场 - 复活！根据Okx的Haider Rafique，它甚至可能引发对美元的信心。

Ethereum's Woes: A Cautionary Tale

以太坊的困扰：一个警示的故事

Ethereum's recent struggles offer a parallel narrative. Despite a slight recovery, institutional demand is weakening, with significant outflows from ETH ETFs. Long-term holders are also selling off their positions, adding downward pressure. If demand doesn't pick up, Ethereum could drop below key support levels.

以太坊最近的斗争提供了一种平行的叙述。尽管恢复略有恢复，但机构需求正在减弱，而ETH ETF的大量流出。长期持有人还卖掉了自己的职位，增加了向下压力。如果需求不足，以太坊可能会下降到关键支持水平以下。

The Takeaway

外卖

So, what's a crypto enthusiast to do? Well, 'Uptober' is a fun meme, but it's not a crystal ball. Seasonality is a factor, but market fundamentals matter more. Keep an eye on those buy-side pressures, network activity, and any potential government shenanigans. Breakouts that hold, constructive retests, and higher lows—those are the signals to watch.

那么，一个加密助人的爱好者要做什么？好吧，“向上”是一个有趣的模因，但这不是水晶球。季节性是一个因素，但市场基本面更重要。密切关注这些买方压力，网络活动和任何潜在的政府恶作剧。保留，建设性的重新测试和更高低点的突破 - 这些是要观看的信号。

Final Thoughts

最后的想法

Look, nobody knows what the future holds. Maybe 'Uptober' will deliver another green month, or maybe we're in for a bumpy ride. Either way, remember to keep your risk management in check and your sense of humor intact. After all, in the world of crypto, a little laughter can be the best hedge against the inevitable market rollercoaster. Now, let's see if Bitcoin can turn that +1% September into higher highs next month!

看，没人知道未来的情况。也许“向上”会再带一个绿色的月份，或者我们要碰碰颠簸。无论哪种方式，请记住要检查风险管理和幽默感完好无损。毕竟，在加密货币世界中，对不可避免的市场过山车来说，一点笑声可能是最好的对冲。现在，让我们看看比特币是否可以将9月1％的人转变为下个月更高的高点！