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加密货币新闻

比特币价格:选项数据揭示了尽管ETF流动的持怀疑态度

2025/09/28 10:16

选项数据显示,比特币市场中的怀疑日益增长,尽管ETF稳定流入,交易者仍针对潜在的下跌。这对Q4意味着什么?

比特币价格:选项数据揭示了尽管ETF流动的持怀疑态度

Bitcoin Price: Options Data Reveals Growing Skepticism Despite ETF Flows

比特币价格:选项数据揭示了尽管ETF流动的持怀疑态度

Bitcoin's price action is painting a mixed picture, with options data revealing growing skepticism. Traders are hedging their bets, bracing for potential dips even as ETF inflows remain a structural support. This is a summary of current dynamics surrounding 'Bitcoin price, options data, skepticism outlook'.

比特币的价格动作正在绘制混合图片,选项数据揭示了越来越多的怀疑。贸易商正在对冲他们的赌注,即使ETF流入仍然是结构性的支持,也可以为潜在的倾角做好准备。这是关于“比特币价格,期权数据,怀疑前景”的当前动态的摘要。

Diverging Views in the Bitcoin Market

比特币市场的观点分歧

Bitcoin traders are entering Q4 with significantly different expectations. Recent analysis indicates a split between bullish and bearish positions, suggesting caution. While some anticipate Bitcoin reaching lofty targets, options market activity tells a more nuanced story.

比特币交易者的期望明显不同。最近的分析表明,看涨和看跌位置之间的分歧,表明谨慎。尽管有些人预计比特币达到了崇高的目标,但期权市场活动讲述了一个更细微的故事。

Specifically, some traders have sold call options around $110,000, effectively betting against a near-term breakout. Simultaneously, others have purchased put options near $109,000, a defensive maneuver designed to profit from potential price declines. This opposing activity underscores the uncertainty permeating the market.

具体来说,一些交易者已出售了约110,000美元的电话期权,实际上是在近期突破的情况下下注。同时,其他人购买了PROT期权接近109,000美元,这是一种防御性机动,旨在从潜在价格下降中获利。这种相反的活动强调了市场渗透的不确定性。

Options Data and Skepticism

选项数据和怀疑论

GreeksLive's analysis points to a contraction in volatility, further dampening the likelihood of significant price swings. Many traders have opted to secure profits by closing out positions, signaling a preference for risk reduction in quieter market conditions. The put/call ratio for Bitcoin options also indicates that sell orders outnumber buy orders, suggesting a bearish sentiment among options traders.

希腊人的分析指出了波动性的收缩,进一步削弱了价格波动的可能性。许多交易者选择通过结束职位来获得利润,这表明偏爱较安​​静的市场状况的风险降低。比特币选项的观点/呼叫比率还表明,出售订单的人数超过购买订单,这表明期权交易者的看跌态度。

ETF Flows: A Silver Lining?

ETF流:一线希望?

Despite the skepticism reflected in options data, spot ETF inflows continue to provide a structural pillar for Bitcoin. Large issuers hold significant amounts of Bitcoin in spot funds, creating consistent demand that can cushion drawdowns during periods of deleveraging. The steady allocations from wealth platforms and advisors are helping the market.

尽管反映在期权数据中的怀疑主义,但斑点ETF流入继续为比特币提供结构性支柱。大型发行人在现货基金中持有大量比特币,从而产生一致的需求,可以在去杠杆化期间缓解降低。财富平台和顾问的稳定分配正在帮助市场。

Looking Ahead: What Could Drive Bitcoin?

向前看:什么可以驱动比特币?

Several factors could influence Bitcoin's price trajectory. Continued ETF inflows will be crucial for sustaining demand. Macroeconomic factors, such as moves in real yields and the dollar, will also play a role. Additionally, keep an eye on liquidity conditions and breadth across large-cap tokens.

几个因素可能会影响比特币的价格轨迹。持续的ETF流入对于维持需求至关重要。宏观经济因素(例如实际产量和美元的举动)也将发挥作用。此外,请密切关注大型代币的流动性条件和宽度。

My Two Sats

我的两个坐着

While the options market is flashing caution signs, the consistent demand from spot ETFs can not be ignored. The market has treated the recent turbulence as a leverage reset, so it is important to focus on the fundamentals.

尽管选项市场闪烁着警告迹象,但无法忽略点ETF的一致需求。市场将最近的动荡视为杠杆重置,因此专注于基本面很重要。

So, buckle up, folks! It looks like Bitcoin's gearing up for a potentially wild ride. Whether it's a smooth cruise or a rollercoaster remains to be seen, but one thing's for sure: it's never a dull moment in the world of crypto!

所以,搭扣,伙计们!看起来比特币正在为潜在的狂野骑行做好准备。无论是平稳的巡游还是过山车还有待观察,但可以肯定的是:这在加密货币世界中从来都不是一个沉闷的时刻!

原文来源:coindoo

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