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加密货币新闻

链上分析师预测,比特币将呈指数级飙升

2024/05/04 05:04

链上分析师 Willy Woo 预测,比特币 (BTC) 的价值可能在未来 11 年内飙升 1,500% 以上,达到 100 万美元。 Woo 将这种潜在增长主要归因于比特币采用率的不断提高,他认为比特币将继续遵循可预测的模式。从历史上看,比特币的价值与用户数量密切相关,Woo 根据他的增长曲线模型预计这一趋势将持续存在。

链上分析师预测,比特币将呈指数级飙升

Bitcoin Poised for Exponential Growth, Predicts On-Chain Analyst

链上分析师预测,比特币将呈指数级增长

[Date] - Prominent on-chain analyst Willy Woo has projected a significant surge in Bitcoin's value, anticipating an increase of over 1,500% in the next decade.

[日期] - 著名的链上分析师 Willy Woo 预计比特币的价值将大幅飙升,预计未来十年将增长 1,500% 以上。

Woo's analysis is anchored in the historical correlation between Bitcoin's value and its user base. He postulates that Bitcoin's intrinsic value, known as "fair value," is directly proportional to the number of individuals utilizing the cryptocurrency. Based on his growth curve model, this user adoption is expected to continue at a steady pace.

吴的分析基于比特币价值与其用户群之间的历史相关性。他假设比特币的内在价值(称为“公允价值”)与使用该加密货币的个人数量成正比。根据他的增长曲线模型,这种用户采用率预计将继续保持稳定的速度。

"Bitcoin is on track to reach a 'fair value' of $1 million per unit by 2035," Woo declared on the social media platform X, where he commands a following of 1.1 million. "This projection is predicated on the assumption that user growth continues along its established trajectory."

“到 2035 年,比特币的‘公允价值’有望达到每单位 100 万美元,”Woo 在社交媒体平台 X 上宣称,他在该平台上拥有 110 万粉丝。 “这一预测是基于用户增长继续沿着既定轨迹增长的假设。”

Woo emphasizes that his estimate represents a conservative calculation, distinct from the potential price peaks witnessed during market exuberance.

Woo 强调,他的估计是保守的计算,与市场繁荣期间看到的潜在价格峰值不同。

In the early stages of Bitcoin's development, its value trailed its user base. However, he attributes the availability of high-resolution data from blockchain forensics to a more accurate understanding of actual user counts.

在比特币发展的早期阶段,其价值落后于其用户基础。然而,他将区块链取证中高分辨率数据的可用性归因于对实际用户数量的更准确理解。

"Price discovery emerged through early exchanges such as New Liberty Standard and Mt. Gox," Woo explains. "By August 2011, the launch of Bitstamp and the presence of multiple international exchanges allowed for a more reliable valuation of the asset."

“价格发现是通过 New Liberty Standard 和 Mt. Gox 等早期交易所出现的,”Woo 解释道。 “到 2011 年 8 月,Bitstamp 的推出以及多个国际交易所的出现使得该资产的估值变得更加可靠。”

Currently, Woo contends that Bitcoin's adoption is in its early stages, drawing parallels with the growth curve of the Internet.

目前,Woo 认为比特币的采用还处于早期阶段,与互联网的增长曲线相似。

"Bitcoin has a global adoption rate of approximately 4.7%, which is comparable to the Internet's adoption rate in January 1999," Woo observes. "This indicates that Bitcoin is still in its nascent phase, with ample room for growth."

“比特币的全球采用率约为 4.7%,与 1999 年 1 月互联网的采用率相当,”Woo 观察到。 “这表明比特币仍处于萌芽阶段,有充足的增长空间。”

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $61,581, reflecting a 4% increase over the past 24 hours.

截至撰写本文时,比特币交易价格为 61,581 美元,在过去 24 小时内上涨了 4%。

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