分析师预测减半事件后比特币预计将飙升

距离比特币减半仅剩几天，分析师 Eric Krown Crypto 预测价格将在减半后上涨，就像过去一样。他表示，最低价格点可能会在减半前后出现，71,400 美元是值得关注的关键水平。比特币仍处于修正阶段，回落至 60,000 美元低位或 50,000 美元高位可能会带来买入机会。然而，跌破 59,000 美元可能表明市场周期发生变化，可能导致跌至 50,000 美元低点。

Bitcoin Price Poised for Post-Halving Surge, Analyst Predicts

分析师预测比特币价格将在减半后飙升

With the highly anticipated Bitcoin halving event just days away, cryptocurrency analyst Eric Krown Crypto has provided his insights into the potential price trajectory of Bitcoin ahead of the significant milestone.

距离备受期待的比特币减半事件仅剩几天，加密货币分析师 Eric Krown Crypto 在这一重要里程碑之前提供了他对比特币潜在价格轨迹的见解。

Historical Halving Patterns Suggest Post-Event Price Rise

历史减半模式表明事件后价格上涨

Krown meticulously analyzed past Bitcoin halving events in 2012, 2016, and 2020. He observed a consistent pattern: Bitcoin's price has exhibited a strong tendency to rise following these events, never reverting to pre-halving levels.

Krown 仔细分析了 2012 年、2016 年和 2020 年的比特币减半事件。他观察到了一个一致的模式：比特币的价格在这些事件发生后表现出强烈的上涨趋势，从未恢复到减半前的水平。

Based on this historical precedence, Krown postulates that the lowest price point for Bitcoin during the upcoming halving is likely to occur around the time of the event or shortly afterward.

根据这一历史先例，Krown 假设，即将到来的减半期间比特币的最低价格点可能会出现在减半事件发生前后或之后不久。

Technical Analysis Reveals Key Resistance and Support Levels

技术分析揭示关键阻力位和支撑位

On the daily chart, Krown identifies a crucial resistance level at $71,400, which has been exerting downward pressure on Bitcoin's price while trading below this threshold. Conversely, a decisive move above $68,400 could signal a shift in market sentiment toward bullishness.

在日线图上，Krown 确定了 71,400 美元的关键阻力位，当交易价格低于该阈值时，该阻力位一直对比特币价格施加下行压力。相反，如果决定性突破 68,400 美元，则可能预示着市场情绪转向看涨。

Similar downward momentum is evident on the two-day and five-day charts, with key resistance levels at $71,900 and $73,800, respectively.

类似的下行势头在两天和五日图表上也很明显，关键阻力位分别为 71,900 美元和 73,800 美元。

Corrective Phase Presents Potential Buying Opportunities

调整阶段带来潜在的买入机会

Krown notes that Bitcoin remains in a corrective phase despite a recent brief bounce. Should the price retreat to the low $60,000s or upper $50,000s, it could present another opportune moment for investors to accumulate.

Krown 指出，尽管最近出现短暂反弹，但比特币仍处于修正阶段。如果价格回落至 60,000 美元低位或 50,000 美元高位，可能会为投资者提供另一个吸筹良机。

However, a breach below $59,000 could indicate a potential shift in the market cycle, potentially leading to a decline toward the low $50,000s, around $53,000 per Bitcoin.

然而，低于 59,000 美元可能表明市场周期可能发生转变，可能导致比特币跌向 50,000 美元的低点，即每比特币 53,000 美元左右。

External Factors: Bitcoin ETFs in China

外部因素：中国的比特币ETF

Krown also addressed the potential impact of external factors, such as the introduction of Bitcoin ETFs in China, cautioning viewers about the uncertain nature surrounding such developments.

Krown 还谈到了外部因素的潜在影响，例如中国推出比特币 ETF，并提醒观众注意此类发展的不确定性。

Bullish Outlook with Potential Short-Lived Market Cycle

前景乐观，市场周期可能短暂

"Bitcoin is below the median as of right now," Krown states. "If it remains bullish and the halving produces the low, or around the low, we would expect it to pop back up and close above the median again this week, at $68,400."

“截至目前，比特币价格低于中位数，”克朗表示。 “如果它仍然看涨，并且减半产生低点或低点附近，我们预计它会反弹并在本周再次收于中值上方，即 68,400 美元。”

In such a scenario, Krown believes the market is poised for an upward trajectory. However, he predicts that this market cycle will be relatively short-lived, potentially concluding by 2024.

在这种情况下，克朗认为市场将呈上升趋势。不过，他预计这一市场周期将相对短暂，可能会在 2024 年结束。