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加密货币新闻

预测库存流动模型,比特币将在未来十年内实现天文数字般的上涨

2024/05/08 23:04

著名加密货币分析师 PlanB 预测,未来几年比特币价格将大幅上涨,预测 2024-2028 年减半周期的平均价格为 50 万美元,2028-2032 年减半周期的平均价格为 400 万美元。 PlanB 的 S2F 模型准确预测了比特币在之前周期中的价格走势,表明 2025 年市场可能达到峰值,价格可能超过 20 万美元。其他专家也有类似的预测,支持比特币价格长期持续上涨的观点。

预测库存流动模型,比特币将在未来十年内实现天文数字般的上涨

Bitcoin Projected to Soar in Value Over the Next Decade, According to Stock-to-Flow Model

根据库存流量模型,比特币的价值预计将在未来十年飙升

Cryptocurrency Market Analysis

加密货币市场分析

Amidst the ongoing market volatility in the cryptocurrency sector, particularly surrounding Bitcoin (BTC), renowned crypto trading expert PlanB has released updated projections indicating significant value appreciation for the flagship decentralized finance (DeFi) asset over the next decade.

在加密货币领域,特别是围绕比特币(BTC)的持续市场波动中,著名的加密货币交易专家 PlanB 发布了最新的预测,表明旗舰去中心化金融(DeFi)资产在未来十年将大幅升值。

Historical Performance and Future Predictions

历史表现和未来预测

PlanB's stock-to-flow (S2F) model, which analyzes the relationship between Bitcoin's existing supply and newly mined supply, has historically provided accurate predictions for the asset's price movements. In the 2020-2024 halving cycle, the average Bitcoin price was $34,000, closely aligning with PlanB's 2019 prediction of $55,000.

PlanB 的库存流量(S2F)模型分析了比特币现有供应和新开采供应之间的关系,历来为该资产的价格变动提供了准确的预测。在 2020-2024 年减半周期中,比特币平均价格为 34,000 美元,与 PlanB 2019 年预测的 55,000 美元紧密一致。

Applying the S2F model to future halving cycles, PlanB estimates the following average Bitcoin prices:

将 S2F 模型应用于未来的减半周期,PlanB 估计了以下平均比特币价格:

  • 2024-2028 Halving Cycle: $500,000
  • 2028-2032 Halving Cycle: $4 million

Near-Term Outlook

2024-2028 减半周期:500,000 美元2028-2032 减半周期:400 万美元近期展望

PlanB predicts that Bitcoin will reach a price point of $100,000 in the latter half of 2024. This projection is based on the asset's April 2023 closing price of $60,000, a 36% year-to-date increase. Furthermore, May 2024 marks the final month before the next halving cycle, which historically triggers price surges.

PlanB 预测,比特币的价格将在 2024 年下半年达到 100,000 美元。这一预测是基于该资产 2023 年 4 月的收盘价 60,000 美元,今年迄今上涨了 36%。此外,2024 年 5 月是下一个减半周期之前的最后一个月,历史上这会引发价格飙升。

Market Peak and Long-Term Prospects

市场高峰和长期前景

Beyond 2024, PlanB anticipates a market peak in 2025, where Bitcoin's value could potentially surpass $200,000. This aligns with similar predictions made by other industry experts, such as CoinRoutes chairman Dave Weisberger and Standard Chartered, a financial institution with over $800 billion in assets.

PlanB 预计 2024 年之后市场将在 2025 年达到顶峰,届时比特币的价值可能会超过 20 万美元。这与 CoinRoutes 董事长 Dave Weisberger 和资产超过 8000 亿美元的金融机构渣打银行等其他行业专家做出的类似预测一致。

Market Sentiment and Disclaimer

市场情绪及免责声明

At press time, Bitcoin trades at $62,330, experiencing a slight decline in the past 24 hours. Despite this short-term fluctuation, the asset has exhibited a 7.42% gain over the past week.

截至发稿,比特币交易价格为 62,330 美元,在过去 24 小时内小幅下跌。尽管存在短期波动,但该资产在过去一周仍上涨了 7.42%。

It is important to note that all investment decisions should be made with due diligence and caution. The information provided in this article does not constitute financial advice, and investors are advised to seek professional guidance before making any trades.

需要注意的是,所有投资决策都应经过尽职调查和谨慎做出。本文提供的信息不构成财务建议,建议投资者在进行任何交易之前寻求专业指导。

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