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加密货币新闻

在机构支持下比特币可能达到 70 万美元

2024/08/01 23:45

大型投资者正在逐渐投资比特币。富达建议分配 1-3%,而贝莱德建议分配至 85%。

在机构支持下比特币可能达到 70 万美元

Bitcoin (BTC) price could reach as high as $700,000 or even $24 million per coin, according to crypto analyst Willy Woo. This projection is based on the assumption that financial institutions will continue to increase their adoption of cryptocurrency.

加密货币分析师 Willy Woo 表示,比特币 (BTC) 的价格可能高达每枚 70 万美元甚至 2400 万美元。该预测基于金融机构将继续增加对加密货币的采用的假设。

According to Woo's calculations, if institutions allocate 3% of global wealth to BTC, the price could reach $700,000. Woo’s analysis is based on the premise that BTC adoption will increase at an accelerating rate.

根据Woo的计算,如果机构将全球财富的3%分配给BTC,其价格可能会达到70万美元。 Woo 的分析基于 BTC 采用率将加速增长的前提。

Large investors have been gradually entering the crypto space. Fidelity has suggested a 1-3% allocation, while BlackRock has proposed up to 85%.

大型投资者已逐渐进入加密货币领域。富达建议分配 1-3%,而贝莱德建议分配至 85%。

Collectively, these institutions could have a significant impact on BTC price. If institutions opt for a 3% allocation, BTC price could reach $700,000.

总的来说,这些机构可能会对比特币价格产生重大影响。如果机构选择3%的配置,BTC价格可能会达到70万美元。

Woo's calculations factor in the world's total wealth, which exceeds $500 trillion. With increasing institutional interest, BTC's market capitalization could drastically increase.

吴的计算考虑了全球总财富,超过 500 万亿美元。随着机构兴趣的增加,比特币的市值可能会大幅增加。

However, for this to occur, the adoption rate must surpass 16%. It has taken 15 years for Bitcoin to achieve 4.7% global adoption.

然而,要实现这一点,采用率必须超过 16%。比特币花了 15 年的时间才达到 4.7% 的全球采用率。

According to Woo, adoption will accelerate, mirroring the growth of the internet. If this trend continues, BTC could reach its “ultimate price.”

Woo 表示,采用率将会加速,这反映了互联网的发展。如果这种趋势持续下去,比特币可能会达到其“最终价格”。

BTC price is influenced by ETF activity

BTC 价格受 ETF 活动影响

Based on historical chart patterns, BTC is set to hit a new all-time high by September. Currently, BTC is trading at $64,710, which is still 12% below the record high of $73,750 set on March 14.

根据历史图表模式,比特币预计将在 9 月份创下历史新高。目前,BTC 交易价格为 64,710 美元,仍比 3 月 14 日创下的历史高点 73,750 美元低 12%。

The recent price increase has been minimal, with a gain of only 2.9% over the past one month. This is largely due to the slowing inflows into spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the United States.

最近的价格涨幅很小,过去一个月仅上涨了2.9%。这主要是由于美国现货比特币交易所交易基金(ETF)的资金流入放缓。

As of July 31, only $300,000 was allocated to Bitcoin by US ETFs, compared with a net outflow of $18.3 million on July 30.

截至 7 月 31 日,美国 ETF 仅向比特币配置了 30 万美元,而 7 月 30 日净流出 1830 万美元。

Collectively, ETFs have a strong influence on BTC price. As of Feb. 15, 2023, an estimated 75% of new investment in BTC was through ETFs. Higher ETF inflows could significantly boost BTC price.

总的来说,ETF 对 BTC 价格有很大影响。截至 2023 年 2 月 15 日,估计 BTC 新增投资的 75%是通过 ETF 进行的。 ETF 资金流入增加可能会显着推高 BTC 价格。

BTC poised for major adoption growth

BTC 的采用率有望大幅增长

On July 24, over 75% of short-term BTC holders were in profit, which could put further upward pressure on Bitcoin. STH behavior is often linked to retail interest in BTC.

7 月 24 日,超过 75% 的短期 BTC 持有者获利,这可能会给比特币带来进一步的上涨压力。 STH 行为通常与散户对 BTC 的兴趣有关。

Woo also highlights the significance of the adoption curve. He notes that 16% marks the early majority and 50% signifies the late majority. Penetration into wealth management is expected to fall within this range.

Woo 还强调了采用曲线的重要性。他指出,16% 表示早期多数,50% 表示晚期多数。财富管理的渗透率预计将落在这个范围内。

Furthermore, Woo's analysis suggests that Bitcoin adoption could follow a pattern similar to the uptake of the internet. During the final five years, the internet experienced a rapid surge in users.

此外,吴的分析表明,比特币的采用可能遵循类似于互联网的采用模式。在过去五年中,互联网用户数量迅速激增。

BTC may experience a comparable surge in the upcoming years. Woo's projections suggest that BTC could reach its “ultimate price” as a result of this growth.

比特币在未来几年可能会经历类似的飙升。 Woo 的预测表明,由于这种增长,比特币可能会达到其“最终价格”。

Despite Woo's optimistic predictions, Bitcoin faces challenges. ETF inflows have slowed, affecting the price momentum. However, institutional investment remains a critical factor for future growth.

尽管吴做出了乐观的预测,但比特币仍面临挑战。 ETF 资金流入放缓,影响了价格走势。然而,机构投资仍然是未来增长的关键因素。

Woo's projection of $700K BTC hinges on continued institutional support. If adoption surpasses 16%, BTC could see substantial gains. But reaching this threshold depends on sustained interest from big investors.

Woo 对 70 万美元 BTC 的预测取决于持续的机构支持。如果采用率超过 16%,BTC 可能会出现大幅上涨。但达到这一门槛取决于大投资者的持续兴趣。

Collectively, these institutions could have a significant impact on BTC price. If institutions opt for a 3% allocation, BTC price could reach $700,000.

总的来说,这些机构可能会对比特币价格产生重大影响。如果机构选择3%的配置,BTC价格可能会达到70万美元。

原文来源:thecoinrepublic

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