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加密货币新闻

比特币的量子困境:2026 年是最后期限吗?

2025/10/09 18:09

时钟正在滴答作响!专家警告称,到 2026 年,比特币将面临量子计算威胁。加密世界准备好迎接 Q-Day 了吗?

比特币的量子困境:2026 年是最后期限吗?

Bitcoin's Quantum Quandary: A 2026 Deadline?

比特币的量子困境:2026 年是最后期限吗?

The looming threat of quantum computing to Bitcoin is generating buzz in the crypto space. With experts suggesting a potential 'Q-Day' as early as 2026, the race is on to develop quantum-resistant solutions. Will Bitcoin be ready?

量子计算对比特币迫在眉睫的威胁正在加密货币领域引起热议。专家建议最早可能在 2026 年举办“Q-Day”,开发抗量子解决方案的竞赛已经开始。比特币准备好了吗?

The Quantum Threat: A Ticking Time Bomb?

量子威胁:定时炸弹?

Market analyst Charles Edwards is sounding the alarm. He believes the crypto community needs to stop downplaying the quantum computing threat and find a solution by 2026. According to Edwards, failing to address this issue could prevent Bitcoin from ever reaching its projected $1 million valuation.

市场分析师查尔斯·爱德华兹拉响了警报。他认为加密社区需要停止淡化量子计算威胁,并在 2026 年之前找到解决方案。Edwards 认为,如果不解决这个问题,比特币可能无法达到其预计的 100 万美元估值。

Edwards points out that some large Bitcoin holders are claiming the risk is “10+ years out,” possibly to enable short-term BTC price pumps. He emphasized the urgency of the situation.

爱德华兹指出,一些大型比特币持有者声称这种风险是“10多年后”的,可能是为了实现短期比特币价格上涨。他强调了局势的紧迫性。

Google's Quantum AI Researcher Weighs In

谷歌的量子人工智能研究员参与其中

Craig Gidney, a Quantum AI researcher at Google, has consistently warned that Bitcoin’s encryption is at risk. He notes the rapid advancements in quantum computing and estimates that breaking RSA encryption now requires significantly fewer quantum resources than previously thought. He revised the previous estimation from 20 million qubits and eight hours of computation to fewer than one million noisy qubits.

谷歌量子人工智能研究员克雷格·吉德尼(Craig Gidney)一直警告说,比特币的加密面临风险。他注意到量子计算的快速进步,并估计破解 RSA 加密现在所需的量子资源比以前想象的要少得多。他将之前的估计从 2000 万个量子位和 8 小时的计算修改为少于 100 万个噪声量子位。

Trading Strategies in the Face of Quantum Uncertainty

面对量子不确定性的交易策略

The potential arrival of Q-Day injects volatility into BTC markets. Traders are weighing the long-term risks against short-term gains. Historically, discussions around tech threats have led to temporary dips in BTC prices. Traders might consider hedging strategies, such as diversifying into quantum-secure altcoins.

Q-Day 的潜在到来给 BTC 市场带来了波动。交易员正在权衡长期风险和短期收益。从历史上看,围绕技术威胁的讨论导致比特币价格暂时下跌。交易者可能会考虑对冲策略,例如多元化投资量子安全的山寨币。

Savvy traders can capitalize on market reactions by focusing on verified developments and avoiding unverified speculation. Employing options strategies on BTC, such as buying puts for downside protection while holding core positions, could be a strategy. Diversifying into stocks in quantum computing firms might indirectly boost crypto innovation.

精明的交易者可以通过关注经过验证的发展并避免未经验证的投机来利用市场反应。采用比特币期权策略,例如在持有核心头寸的同时买入看跌期权以进行下行保护,可能是一种策略。多元化投资量子计算公司的股票可能会间接促进加密货币创新。

The Big Picture: What Does This Mean for Bitcoin?

大局:这对比特币意味着什么?

The quantum threat is real, and the timeline is shrinking. While some downplay the risk, experts like Edwards and Gidney urge immediate action. The crypto community must prioritize developing and implementing quantum-resistant upgrades to safeguard Bitcoin's future.

量子威胁是真实存在的,而且时间正在缩短。尽管有些人淡化了这一风险,但爱德华兹和吉德尼等专家敦促立即采取行动。加密社区必须优先开发和实施抗量子升级,以保障比特币的未来。

A Humorous Takeaway

幽默的外卖

So, will Bitcoin survive the quantum onslaught? Only time will tell. But one thing's for sure: if quantum computers do crack Bitcoin, at least we'll have a good excuse for why we're not all millionaires yet. Until then, keep calm and hodl on... or maybe invest in a quantum-resistant shield. Just kidding (mostly)!

那么,比特币能在量子攻击中幸存下来吗?只有时间才能证明一切。但有一件事是肯定的:如果量子计算机确实破解了比特币,至少我们会有一个很好的借口来解释为什么我们还不是百万富翁。在那之前,请保持冷静并继续……或者投资一个抗量子防护罩。只是开玩笑(大部分)!

原文来源:coinspeaker

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