据 CNBC 报道，由于美国大选，比特币价格将飙升

这篇文章发表在加密世界版块，作者是 Tanaya Macheel。 Macheel 确实是 CNBC 的记者，自 2014 年以来，她一直关注市场和投资，特别关注加密货币。

CNBC recently published an article suggesting that the U.S. presidential election outcome may not significantly impact Bitcoin's long-term price trajectory.

CNBC 最近发表文章称，美国总统选举结果可能不会对比特币的长期价格轨迹产生重大影响。

The article presents a bullish hypothesis, speculating that a new bull market could emerge after the elections, potentially driving Bitcoin's price above $100,000.

文章提出了一个看涨假设，推测选举后可能会出现新的牛市，有可能推动比特币价格突破 10 万美元。

CNBC journalist Tanaya Macheel, who covers markets and investments with a focus on cryptocurrencies, penned the piece.

CNBC 记者 Tanaya Macheel 撰写了这篇文章，她主要报道加密货币市场和投资。

Macheel, who joined CNBC in 2014, frequently contributes articles to CNBC.com and appears on the network's daily digital show, "Crypto World."

Macheel 于 2014 年加入 CNBC，经常向 CNBC.com 发表文章，并出现在该网络的每日数字节目“加密世界”中。

The article cites statements made by Steven Lubka, head of private clients and family offices at Swan Bitcoin, regarding his belief that Bitcoin's price will likely exceed $100,000 by 2025, irrespective of the election results.

文章引用了 Swan Bitcoin 私人客户和家族办公室主管 Steven Lubka 的声明，他认为，无论选举结果如何，到 2025 年，比特币的价格可能会超过 10 万美元。

Macheel begins the article by asserting that Bitcoin is poised to thrive in the long term, regardless of who wins the U.S. presidential election in November, a view that is reportedly gaining traction among crypto investors.

Macheel 在文章开头断言，无论谁赢得 11 月的美国总统大选，比特币都将长期繁荣，据报道，这一观点在加密货币投资者中越来越受欢迎。

She suggests that while a Trump victory may provide a short-term boost to crypto markets, a Harris win might not have an immediate positive impact, but the differences could narrow over the medium to long term.

她认为，虽然特朗普的胜利可能会在短期内提振加密货币市场，但哈里斯的胜利可能不会立即产生积极影响，但从中长期来看，差异可能会缩小。

Lubka expresses his optimism, stating that he doesn't believe either candidate can change Bitcoin's fundamentals, which are rooted in the fiscal and monetary health of nations, particularly the United States.

卢布卡表达了他的乐观态度，表示他不相信任何一位候选人都能改变比特币的基本面，比特币的基本面植根于各国（尤其是美国）的财政和货币健康状况。

The article also includes perspectives from other experts who share a generally positive outlook on Bitcoin's future price trajectory.

本文还包括其他专家的观点，他们对比特币未来的价格轨迹普遍持积极的看法。

For instance, James Davies, co-founder of the trading platform Crypto Valley Exchange, downplays concerns that a Harris presidency could hinder Bitcoin's price growth or even lead to a decline.

例如，交易平台 Crypto Valley Exchange 的联合创始人 James Davies 淡化了人们对哈里斯担任总统可能会阻碍比特币价格增长甚至导致比特币价格下跌的担忧。

Davies suggests that while the crypto sector as a whole may face challenges, this could have only a marginal impact on BTC's medium- to long-term price trend.

戴维斯表示，虽然整个加密行业可能面临挑战，但这对比特币中长期价格趋势的影响可能很小。

According to Lubka, some exaggerate the risks posed by a potential Harris presidency, especially given the hostility experienced by the sector during the Biden administration.

卢布卡表示，一些人夸大了哈里斯当选总统所带来的风险，特别是考虑到拜登政府期间该行业所经历的敌意。

However, he notes that Harris's態度 towards crypto appears to be signaling a shift away from the Biden era's contrarian rhetoric.

然而，他指出，哈里斯对加密货币的态度似乎标志着拜登时代逆势言论的转变。

An aspect not covered in the article but potentially relevant to both the escalation and de-escalation is the involvement of several Democratic politicians in the FTX case.

本文未涉及但可能与升级和降级相关的一个方面是几位民主党政客参与 FTX 案件。

Sam Bankman-Fried, founder and former CEO of FTX, donated heavily to Democratic candidates, using funds reportedly belonging to FTX users.

FTX 创始人兼前首席执行官 Sam Bankman-Fried 向民主党候选人大量捐赠，据报道使用的资金属于 FTX 用户。

FTX filed for bankruptcy in November 2022, and SBF was subsequently arrested and charged.

FTX 于 2022 年 11 月申请破产，SBF 随后被捕并受到指控。

The escalation in the administration's stance on cryptocurrencies began shortly after and may have contributed to the recent easing of tensions following SBF's conviction.

不久之后，政府对加密货币的立场开始升级，这可能有助于最近 SBF 定罪后紧张局势的缓和。

According to Tyrone Ross, founder and president of investment advisory firm 401 Financial, the U.S. presidential election results will have a negligible impact on Bitcoin's performance over the next 12 to 18 months.

投资咨询公司401 Financial创始人兼总裁Tyrone Ross表示，美国总统大选结果对比特币未来12至18个月的表现影响可以忽略不计。

Lubka adds that a Trump victory could trigger an immediate surge, while a Harris win might initially amplify selling pressure, but these effects would diminish over the medium term.

卢布卡补充说，特朗普的胜利可能会立即引发股市飙升，而哈里斯的胜利可能最初会放大抛售压力，但这些影响将在中期内减弱。

notably, Bitcoin's price has risen from around $35,000 when Biden took office in January 2021 to the current $58,000, despite the administration's sustained efforts to target the crypto sector.

值得注意的是，尽管政府持续努力瞄准加密货币领域，但比特币的价格已从拜登 2021 年 1 月上任时的 35,000 美元左右上涨至目前的 58,000 美元。

Macheel highlights that Bitcoin has been the best-performing asset in all but three years since 2012.

Macheel 强调，自 2012 年以来，除了三年之外，比特币一直是表现最好的资产。

Daniel Cawrey, head of strategy at crypto wallet operator Tonkeeper, anticipates a recovery in the crypto market, fueled by the election's role in bringing cryptocurrency to the forefront of public discourse.

加密钱包运营商 Tonkeeper 的策略主管 Daniel Cawrey 预计，在选举将加密货币推向公众讨论前沿的推动下，加密市场将会复苏。

He adds that Harris, unlike Biden, has engaged with crypto stakeholders since becoming the Democratic candidate and adopted a non-interventionist approach towards cryptocurrencies.

他补充说，与拜登不同，哈里斯自成为民主党候选人以来一直与加密货币利益相关者进行接触，并对加密货币采取了不干预主义的态度。

Therefore, while the U.S. presidential election outcome on November 5 could temporarily impact Bitcoin's price, its long-term trajectory is likely to unfold independently of these political dynamics.

因此，虽然 11 月 5 日的美国总统选举结果可能会暂时影响比特币的价格，但其长期轨迹可能会独立于这些政治动态而展开。