比特币有望在 2025 年飙升 30 万美元，突破黄金的稀缺性

加密货币分析师“B 计划”预测，到 2025 年，比特币的价格将达到 30 万美元，理由是即将到来的减半事件会减少新币的创造。 Plan B 的 Stock-to-Flow 模型表明，比特币的稀缺性将因减半而增加，可能会推高价格。该分析师还建议采取时机策略，在减半前六个月购买比特币，并在减半后不久出售，以实现回报最大化。

Bitcoin Poised for Extraordinary Surge to $300,000 by 2025, Outpacing Gold's Scarcity

比特币有望在 2025 年大幅飙升至 30 万美元，超越黄金的稀缺性

In a groundbreaking forecast, renowned crypto analyst "Plan B" has predicted an unprecedented surge in Bitcoin's value, anticipating it to surpass $300,000 by 2025. This audacious projection stems from the pivotal Bitcoin halving event slated for 2024, which will reduce the rate of new coin issuance by half.

在一项开创性的预测中，著名加密货币分析师“Plan B”预测比特币的价值将出现前所未有的飙升，预计到 2025 年其价格将超过 30 万美元。这一大胆的预测源于定于 2024 年举行的关键比特币减半事件，该事件将降低新比特币减半的速度。硬币发行量减半。

Plan B's forecast is anchored in the Stock-to-Flow model, a metric that assesses Bitcoin's scarcity by comparing its circulating supply to the influx of new coins. As halving events curtail the supply of new Bitcoins, the cryptocurrency's scarcity escalates, potentially leading to astronomical price increases in the future.

Plan B 的预测基于 Stock-to-Flow 模型，该指标通过将流通供应量与新硬币的涌入进行比较来评估比特币的稀缺性。随着减半事件减少了新比特币的供应，加密货币的稀缺性不断升级，可能导致未来价格的天文数字上涨。

Beyond the price prediction, Plan B has meticulously outlined a strategy for maximizing returns around the Bitcoin halving. He recommends acquiring Bitcoin roughly six months prior to the halving and selling it shortly after, within an 18-minute window. This strategy capitalizes on the historical trend of Bitcoin prices rising both before and after halving events, driven by the diminishing supply. Plan B maintains that this approach will yield superior returns compared to the traditional "buy-and-hold" strategy, which entails holding Bitcoin indefinitely irrespective of short-term fluctuations.

除了价格预测之外，B 计划还精心概述了围绕比特币减半实现回报最大化的策略。他建议在减半前大约六个月购买比特币，并在减半后不久（18 分钟的窗口内）出售比特币。这一策略利用了比特币价格在减半事件前后因供应减少而上涨的历史趋势。 Plan B 认为，与传统的“买入并持有”策略相比，这种方法将产生更高的回报，传统的“买入并持有”策略需要无限期地持有比特币，无论短期波动如何。

Plan B also asserts that Bitcoin's ascent will outpace that of gold, emphasizing that Bitcoin's scarcity will double that of gold post-halving. The initial price projection of $300,000 is considered conservative, with estimates ranging from $250,000 to $1 million.

Plan B还断言，比特币的上涨速度将超过黄金，并强调减半后比特币的稀缺性将是黄金的两倍。最初的 300,000 美元价格预测被认为是保守的，预计价格范围为 250,000 美元至 100 万美元。

Plan B's bullish forecast aligns with the sentiments of other industry luminaries. Cathie Wood of Ark Invest has envisioned a potential surge in Bitcoin's price to $2.3 million per coin. Standard Chartered Bank has revised its year-end forecast to $150,000, with a projected peak of $250,000 in 2025. Robert Kiyosaki has predicted Bitcoin's price to skyrocket to $100,000 by June 2024, underscoring the significance of initiating investments, albeit in modest amounts.

Plan B 的乐观预测与其他行业杰出人士的观点一致。 Ark Invest 的 Cathie Wood 预计比特币的价格可能会飙升至每枚 230 万美元。渣打银行已将年终预测修正为 15 万美元，预计 2025 年峰值将达到 25 万美元。罗伯特·清崎 (Robert Kiyosaki) 预测，到 2024 年 6 月，比特币的价格将飙升至 10 万美元，这凸显了启动投资的重要性，尽管投资金额不大。

Glassnode has also anticipated that spot Bitcoin ETFs will play a pivotal role in boosting Bitcoin's price in 2024, with an estimated $70 billion of fresh capital projected to enter the market through these Bitcoin-linked products.

Glassnode 还预计，现货比特币 ETF 将在 2024 年推高比特币价格方面发挥关键作用，预计将有 700 亿美元的新资本通过这些与比特币相关的产品进入市场。

As Bitcoin currently trades around $63,400, posting a 3.46% gain in the past 24 hours, the anticipation for a bullish surge intensifies. The impending Bitcoin halving has sparked excitement among enthusiasts and global communities, who eagerly await a potential market rally.

由于比特币目前交易价格约为 63,400 美元，过去 24 小时内上涨 3.46%，看涨飙升的预期加剧。即将到来的比特币减半引发了比特币爱好者和全球社区的兴奋，他们热切地等待着潜在的市场反弹。

The overwhelming consensus among experts and analysts points to a promising future for Bitcoin's price, fueled by the impending halving event, increasing scarcity, and burgeoning institutional interest in the cryptocurrency. While projections may vary, the general sentiment firmly suggests that Bitcoin's price will continue its upward trajectory in the coming years, potentially eclipsing significant milestones such as $100,000 and even $300,000 by 2025. With catalysts like spot Bitcoin ETFs poised to drive investment and capital inflows, the future outlook for Bitcoin remains exceptionally bright in the eyes of many experts and analysts.

专家和分析师的压倒性共识表明，在即将到来的减半事件、日益稀缺以及机构对加密货币的兴趣不断增长的推动下，比特币价格前景光明。尽管预测可能有所不同，但总体情绪坚定地表明，比特币的价格将在未来几年继续呈上升趋势，到 2025 年可能会超越 10 万美元甚至 30 万美元等重要里程碑。随着现货比特币 ETF 等催化剂准备推动投资和资本流入，在许多专家和分析师眼中，比特币的未来前景仍然异常光明。