比特币跌破关键支撑位后面临严峻考验

比特币周二下跌 5%，测试 60,000 美元的关键心理水平。在经历了长达数周的下跌之后，随着比特币跌破技术支撑位并发出技术性卖出信号，跌势可能会加剧。尽管存在短期看跌，但在 3 月份创下历史新高后，分析师仍对比特币的长期前景保持乐观。

Bitcoin Faces Crucial Test After Breaking Key Support Level

比特币在突破关键支撑位后面临严峻考验

The price of Bitcoin (BTC) has experienced a significant decline, falling 5% on Tuesday and testing a key psychological level of $60,000. This decline marks a continuation of a downward trend that began in mid-March, when Bitcoin was trading just below its record high of $75,000.

比特币（BTC）的价格经历了大幅下跌，周二下跌了 5%，并测试了 60,000 美元的关键心理水平。此次下跌标志着 3 月中旬开始的下跌趋势的延续，当时比特币的交易价格略低于 75,000 美元的历史高点。

According to Katie Stockton, founder of Fairlead Strategies, Bitcoin is facing a double threat due to its breach of a key technical support level ($61,100 to $62,200) and the potential issuance of a technical sell signal. Stockton noted that a breakdown below the daily "cloud," a technical indicator used to determine support and resistance levels, would constitute an "intermediate-term bearish development" for Bitcoin, accompanied by a "weekly MACD 'sell' signal."

Fairlead Strategies 创始人凯蒂·斯托克顿 (Katie Stockton) 表示，由于突破了关键技术支撑位（61,100 美元至 62,200 美元）以及可能发出技术性卖出信号，比特币面临着双重威胁。斯托克顿指出，跌破每日“云”（用于确定支撑位和阻力位的技术指标）将构成比特币的“中期看跌发展”，并伴随着“每周MACD‘卖出’信号”。

The "cloud" refers to a technical method of identifying various levels of support and resistance, while the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) is a momentum indicator that assists traders in determining the prevailing direction of a security. Stockton further observed that Bitcoin has lost momentum near its 50-day moving average of approximately $66,900, which served as a formidable technical resistance.

“云”是指识别各种支撑位和阻力位的技术方法，而MACD（移动平均线收敛分歧）是一种动量指标，可帮助交易者确定证券的主要方向。斯托克顿进一步观察到，比特币在其 50 日移动均线（约 66,900 美元）附近失去了动力，该均线是一个强大的技术阻力位。

Given Bitcoin's current bearish short-term momentum and impending shift from neutral to bearish intermediate-term momentum, Stockton has identified a potential downside test of the next support level near $51,500, representing a 15% decline from current levels.

鉴于比特币目前的看跌短期动能以及即将从中性转向看跌中期动能，Stockton 已经确定了对 51,500 美元附近下一个支撑位的潜在下行测试，该支撑位较当前水平下跌 15%。

Despite the looming potential for a further price drop, Stockton maintains a long-term bullish outlook for Bitcoin, believing it is still in a long-term uptrend after reaching record highs in March. She anticipates that Bitcoin prices may ultimately rise again once it emerges from its current corrective phase.

尽管价格进一步下跌的可能性迫在眉睫，斯托克顿仍对比特币保持长期看涨前景，认为在三月份触及历史高位后，比特币仍处于长期上升趋势。她预计，一旦比特币价格摆脱当前的调整阶段，最终可能会再次上涨。

"While Bitcoin is caught up in a corrective phase, we ultimately expect it to resolve higher given the bullish posture of our long-term indicators after a major breakout to new highs last month," Stockton said.

斯托克顿表示：“虽然比特币陷入修正阶段，但考虑到我们的长期指标在上个月大幅突破新高后的看涨态势，我们最终预计它会走高。”

While Stockton's long-term technical view on Bitcoin remains optimistic, other technical analysts have expressed more bearish views, suggesting that the token could potentially experience a 50% price decline. Bitcoin's future direction remains uncertain, but the breach of key support levels and the possibility of a sell signal raise concerns of further downside potential in the near term.

尽管斯托克顿对比特币的长期技术观点仍然乐观，但其他技术分析师表达了更为悲观的观点，表明该代币的价格可能会下跌 50%。比特币的未来方向仍不确定，但突破关键支撑位和发出卖出信号的可能性引发了人们对短期内进一步下行潜力的担忧。