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加密货币新闻

比特币(BTC-USD)支持者加倍押注他们对历史新高的预测

2024/08/07 04:07

在周末跌至 50,000 美元以下(自 2 月份以来的最低点)之后,比特币价格已回升至约 6,000 美元,在过去 7 天里下跌了 14%。

比特币(BTC-USD)支持者加倍押注他们对历史新高的预测

Bitcoin (BTC-USD) backers are doubling down on their predictions of new all-time highs for the world’s largest cryptocurrency after shaking off a rout that sent the digital asset tumbling as much as 20% between Sunday and Monday.

比特币(BTC-USD)的支持者在摆脱了周日至周一期间暴跌 20% 的暴跌后,对这一全球最大加密货币创下历史新高的预测加倍下注。

After crashing over the weekend to below $50,000 — a low not seen since February — bitcoin’s price has regained roughly $6,000, putting it down 14% for the last seven days.

在周末跌至 50,000 美元以下(自 2 月份以来的最低点)之后,比特币价格已回升至约 6,000 美元,在过去 7 天里下跌了 14%。

As the dust settles on the worst week for bitcoin since the collapse of the FTX cryptocurrency exchange in 2022, bulls said they still expect another leg in a rally that would put the cryptocurrency above $100,000 by the end of 2024. It set an all-time high of $74,000 last March.

随着比特币自 2022 年 FTX 加密货币交易所倒闭以来最糟糕的一周尘埃落定,多头表示,他们仍然预计比特币将再次上涨,到 2024 年底,该加密货币将突破 10 万美元。去年3月达到74,000美元的高点。

The case for it to make new all-time highs in 2024 "is still very much in play," Martin Leinweber, director of digital asset research at MarketVector, told Yahoo Finance.

MarketVector 数字资产研究总监 Martin Leinweber 告诉雅虎财经,它在 2024 年创下历史新高的可能性“仍然很大”。

"If we can regain the old highs around $72,000, I think it's not unrealistic to see bitcoin between $80K and $100K."

“如果我们能够重新回到 72,000 美元左右的旧高点,我认为比特币价格在 8 万美元到 10 万美元之间也并非不现实。”

Another bull — Onramp Bitcoin head of macro strategy Mark Connors — said Tuesday that a prediction he made in March that bitcoin will hit $110,000 in 2024 remains unchanged.

另一位看涨者、Onramp 比特币宏观策略主管 Mark Connors 周二表示,他在 3 月份做出的比特币将在 2024 年达到 11 万美元的预测仍然没有改变。

Bitwise Asset Management chief investment officer Matt Hougan also predicted new all-time highs later this year following the pullback earlier this week.

Bitwise 资产管理公司首席投资官 Matt Hougan 也预测,继本周早些时候的回调之后,今年晚些时候将创下历史新高。

"We’re seeing that bitcoin investors are long-term investors," Hougan told Yahoo Finance Monday. "They’re not, sort of, paper hands that are folding."

“我们看到比特币投资者是长期投资者,”霍根周一告诉雅虎财经。 “它们并不是折叠的纸手。”

Amid all of this optimism are some renewed questions about whether the largest cryptocurrency is still performing as its supporters have touted.

在所有这些乐观情绪中,有人再次质疑最大的加密货币是否仍然像其支持者吹捧的那样表现。

On Monday, skeptics were quick to sound the alarm on whether bitcoin is, in fact, a safe haven or uncorrelated asset — a refrain that backers and even BlackRock CEO Larry Fink like to tout. Such a correction, in exaggerated lockstep with technology stocks, would appear to prove the opposite.

周一,怀疑论者很快就比特币实际上是否是一种避险资产或不相关资产发出了警报——支持者甚至贝莱德首席执行官拉里·芬克(Larry Fink)都喜欢吹捧这一说法。这种与科技股夸张同步的调整似乎证明了相反的情况。

"Bitcoin is still a risk asset," said Leinweber. "It's not the same kind of store of value as gold. It's still the smaller cousin because it’s lacking the track record and institutional buy-in."

“比特币仍然是一种风险资产,”莱因韦伯说。 “它与黄金不是同一种价值储存手段。它仍然是较小的表亲,因为它缺乏记录和机构买入。”

Leinweber and others also pointed out that because bitcoin trades 24/7, it's often sold first during market-wide drawdowns.

Leinweber 和其他人还指出,由于比特币的交易时间为 24/7,因此它通常会在整个市场下跌期间首先被出售。

Bitcoin’s price declines over the last week appear to be tied to a cross-market unwinding of trades related to the US dollar’s relative strength to the Japanese yen.

上周比特币价格下跌似乎与美元兑日元相对强势相关的跨市场交易平仓有关。

With such levered bets gone, several firms said they will be paying closer attention to flows in and out of a series of new bitcoin exchange-traded funds overseen by large Wall Street money managers.

随着这种杠杆押注的消失,几家公司表示,他们将更加密切地关注由华尔街大型基金经理监管的一系列新比特币交易所交易基金的流入和流出。

On Monday US bitcoin ETFs saw net outflows of $168 million while volumes exceeded $5.2 billion, doubled compared to the previous day, according to preliminary estimates from JPMorgan.

根据摩根大通的初步估计,周一美国比特币 ETF 净流出 1.68 亿美元,成交量超过 52 亿美元,较前一天翻倍。

"Traders will be more cautious now that they've burned their fingers, so it's more an investor's market going forward," MarketVector’s Leinweber said.

MarketVector 的 Leinweber 表示:“交易员现在会更加谨慎,因为他们已经被烧伤了手指,因此未来更多的是投资者的市场。”

Fundstrat Global Advisors’ digital asset group said in a note Monday that it is keeping its prediction for bitcoin to reach $126,000 in 2024 and it does not see the recent drawdown as crypto’s “market top.”

Fundstrat Global Advisors 的数字资产团队在周一的一份报告中表示,它维持对比特币 2024 年达到 126,000 美元的预测,并且不认为最近的下跌是加密货币的“市场顶部”。

Bitcoin’s double-digit decline in recent days is "really just a drop in the bucket," Mark Newton, head of technical strategy with Fundstrat, told Yahoo Finance.

Fundstrat 技术策略主管马克·牛顿 (Mark Newton) 告诉雅虎财经,比特币最近几天两位数的跌幅“实际上只是杯水车薪”。

David Hollerith is a senior reporter for Yahoo Finance covering banking, crypto, and other areas in finance.

David Hollerith 是雅虎财经的高级记者,报道银行、加密货币和其他金融领域。

Click here for the latest crypto news, updates, and more related to ethereum and bitcoin prices, crypto ETFs, and market implications for cryptocurrencies

单击此处了解最新的加密新闻、更新以及有关以太坊和比特币价格、加密 ETF 以及加密货币市场影响的更多信息

Read the latest financial and business news from Yahoo Finance

阅读雅虎财经的最新金融和商业新闻

原文来源:yahoo

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